← Takaisin etusivulle

Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Apple Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-07-10🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
316.22 USD
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$201.50
$317.40

Tilanne 2026-07-10: 5 AI-mallia arvioi AAPL:n mediaaniksi 190.82 USD (-39.7% suhteessa spotiin 316.22 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.88). Analyytikkokonsensus 315.57 USD (42 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$190.82
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-39.7%
Yksimielisyys
0.885/5 mallia
Raaka 0.80
Hajonta
σ 4.3%
Analyytikkokonsensus
$315.57(42 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia AAPL. Huomioitavaa: Geopolitical tensions (US-China trade, Taiwan supply chain) could disrupt man... AI-konsensusarvio 190.82 39.7% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.88). Analyytikkokonsensus: 315.57 (AI -39.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokAAPLApple Inc.316.2spot315.6analysts167200233266299332
Pessimistinen (min)
$126.23
-60.1%
Perus (mediaani)
$190.82
-39.7%
Optimistinen (max)
$153.30
-51.5%
Bear/Bull: mallien oma haarukka · Base sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurin

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

Loading...

Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:190.82→190.82(+0.0%)
no-assumption-changeincremental-news-supportivestable-model

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-07-03 → 2026-07-10: AAPL: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui $190.68 → $190.82 (+0.1 %); mediaani-WACC 10.5 % → 11.0 % (+0.50 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.0 % → 2.0 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 6.3 % → 4.3 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-07-03)Nyt (2026-07-10)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio$190.68$190.82+0.1%
Mediaani-WACC10.50%11.00%+0.50 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)8.0%8.0%+0.00 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite30.0%30.0%+0.00 pp
Mallien hajonta σ6.3%4.3%-1.92 pp

Mallien erittely

GPT →
Est.
201.98
Ero
-36.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 153.30 → Kal. 201.98
Avaintekijät
  • Strong product ecosystem driving user retention
  • Continued investment in innovation and new technologies
  • Scale advantages in manufacturing and distribution
Suurin riski
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting production
  • Competitive pressures in the technology sector
  • Potential regulatory scrutiny in various markets
Muutos
Assumptions have been refined based on recent performance metrics and strategic outlook.
Ei edellistä dataa
updateassumptions
GEMINI →
Est.
201.23
Ero
-36.4%
Conf
0.75
DCF 152.23 → Kal. 201.23
Avaintekijät
  • Strong brand loyalty and extensive customer ecosystem, driving recurring reve…
  • Continued innovation in product lines, including new ventures like Apple Visi…
  • Growth in high-margin services segment, which provides a stable and expanding…
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition across all product categories, particularly in smartphones, wearabl…
  • Potential supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions impacting manufacturing an…
  • Increasing regulatory scrutiny and antitrust concerns in major markets, potentially aff…
Muutos
No significant changes in core valuation assumptions from the previous day.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
CLAUDE →
Est.
190.82
Ero
-39.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 137.36 → Kal. 190.82
Avaintekijät
  • Services segment (App Store, Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, Apple Card) cont…
  • Analyst consensus projects 16.6% revenue growth in next 12 months driven by i…
  • Apple Intelligence / on-device AI integration across iPhone, Mac, and iPad cr…
Suurin riski
  • Geopolitical tensions (US-China trade, Taiwan supply chain) could disrupt manufacturing…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of only 1.8% (2022-2025) reflects hardware saturation; sustaini…
  • Regulatory pressure on App Store economics (EU Digital Markets Act, DOJ antitrust) coul…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model. The India manufacturing expansion news (July 10, 2026) is increme…
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changeincremental-news-supportivestable-model
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
183.03
Ero
-42.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 126.23 → Kal. 183.03
Avaintekijät
  • Services segment (App Store, Apple Music, iCloud, Apple TV+) continues to gen…
  • Strong brand loyalty and ecosystem lock-in support stable hardware demand and…
  • Capital-light business model with low capex-to-revenue (2.8%) yields robust f…
Suurin riski
  • Mature smartphone market limits unit growth; revenue depends on upgrade cycles and pric…
  • Regulatory and antitrust pressure on App Store fees and digital services could compress…
  • Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, particularly in China, may impact p…
Muutos
Assumptions unchanged from yesterday as fundamental outlook remains consistent; strong near-term revenue growth estim…
Ei muutosta
cagr stablewacc stablemargin stable
GROK →ADJ
Est.
183.03
Ero
-42.1%
Conf
0.75
DCF 126.23 → Kal. 183.03
Avaintekijät
  • Services and ecosystem recurring revenue growing faster than hardware
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 29.5% provides high steady-state base
  • Low net debt (0.1x EBITDA) supports flexibility
Suurin riski
  • Geopolitical supply-chain concentration in Asia
  • Hardware maturation and slower smartphone replacement cycles
  • Regulatory pressure on App Store and services margins
Muutos
No material change to assumptions; as-of date advanced with no new primary data altering outlook.
Ei muutosta
no revision

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V8.0%6.0%11.0%8.0%7.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite31.0%30.0%30.0%35.0%30.0%
WACC10.5%11.0%11.0%10.5%11.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)8.0%22.1%+14.1pp
WACC11.0%6.1%-4.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $316.22 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali29.5%
EBITDA-marginaali35.4%
ROE166.2%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.1x
P/E37.9x
EV / EBITDA29.1x
P/B43.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli215.00 – 400.00
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV, which offers exclusive original content and live sports; Apple Card, a co-branded credit ca
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

Viimeisimmät uutiset

After Apple, India’s smartphone manufacturing boom enters new phase with Vivo JV2026-07-10
Jim Cramer says one AI giant holds key to market’s next move2026-07-10
Is Digital Turbine’s (APPS) AI Partnership Blitz Quietly Rewriting Its Mobile Advertising Thesis?2026-07-10
Broadcom Is Less Than 5% From the $2 Trillion Club -- and Apple Just Committed $30 Billion for More Chips2026-07-10

Lisää technology-sektorilta

GOOGL · Alphabet Inc.META · Meta Platforms Inc.MSFT · Microsoft CorporationNVDA · NVIDIA CorporationTSLA · Tesla Inc.NOKIA · Nokia Oyj
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-07-10
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Tietoa · Metodologia · Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja