255.92 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$169.21
$288.62
AI-konsensus
Mallin arvio
$222.78
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-12.9%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$295.07(40 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia AAPL. Huomioitavaa: Potential saturation in premium smartphone and hardware markets could limit r... AI-konsensusarvio 222.78 12.9% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 295.07 (AI -24.5%).Pessimistinen (min)
$191.80
-25.1%
Perus (mediaani)
$222.78
-12.9%
Optimistinen (max)
$191.80
-25.1%
Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli
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Mikä muuttui tänään
Konsensusarvio:222.78→222.78(+0.0%)
CAGR+0.5pp(3 ↑)
MARG+0.5pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
WACC+0.1pp(1 ↑)
stable-assumptions×2no-changeday-over-day-hold
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE⚖
DCF 191.80 → Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
- Services segment (App Store, Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, advertising) con…
- Analyst consensus 1-year revenue growth of 15.7% and EPS growth of 18.3% sign…
- Apple Intelligence / Siri AI integration into iOS ecosystem could accelerate …
Suurin riski
- Geopolitical risk: US-China tensions and tariff escalation could disrupt iPhone manufac…
- iPhone concentration: iPhone remains ~50%+ of total revenue; any demand shortfall, comp…
- Regulatory risk: App Store antitrust scrutiny in the EU (Digital Markets Act) and US co…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
DEEPSEEK⚖
DCF 191.80 → Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR (2022-2025) of 1.8% provides a low base, but analyst …
- Strong trailing EBIT margin of 30.5% demonstrates pricing power and operation…
- Services and subscription segment growth provides higher-margin, recurring re…
Suurin riski
- High dependence on iPhone sales, which face market saturation and intense competition i…
- Regulatory scrutiny on App Store practices and potential antitrust actions across multi…
- Geopolitical tensions, particularly related to supply chains in Asia, could disrupt man…
Muutos
CAGR+0.5pp
MARG-0.5pp
stable-assumptionsminor-adjustment
GEMINI⚖
DCF 191.80 → Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
- Continued innovation in core product lines, particularly with potential new o…
- Sustained growth and expansion of the high-margin Services segment.
- Strong global brand loyalty and robust ecosystem driving recurring revenue.
Suurin riski
- Intense competition across all product and service categories, particularly in smartpho…
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny regarding App Store policies and market dominance.
- Potential for slower global consumer spending impacting hardware sales.
Muutos
CAGR+1.5pp
revenue cagr increased
GPT⚖
DCF 191.80 → Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
- Strong brand loyalty and ecosystem
- Expansion in subscription-based services
- Continuous product innovation
Suurin riski
- Increased competition in the smartphone market
- Supply chain disruptions
- Regulatory scrutiny on data privacy
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
stableconsistent
GROK⚖
DCF 191.80 → Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
- Strong historical EBIT margin of 30.5% expected to expand to 34.5% due to inc…
- Revenue growth projected to significantly outpace historical 1.8% CAGR, drive…
- Exceptional ROE of 159.7% underscores superior capital efficiency, supporting…
Suurin riski
- Potential saturation in premium smartphone and hardware markets could limit revenue gro…
- Intensifying competition in AI, cloud, and subscription services may pressure margins o…
- Geopolitical risks, including U.S.-China trade tensions, could disrupt supply chains or…
Muutos
CAGR+0.4pp
MARG+0.5pp
WACC+0.1pp
minor updategrowth outlook
Arvostusoletukset
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V | 8.0% | 6.0% +0.5pp | 12.5% +1.5pp | 6.0% | 10.2% +0.4pp |
| EBIT-marginaalitavoite | 32.0% | 29.0% -0.5pp | 30.5% | 34.0% | 34.5% +0.5pp |
| WACC | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% +0.1pp |
| Terminaalikasvu | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali30.5%
EBITDA-marginaali35.1%
ROE159.7%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.1x
P/E31.9x
EV / EBITDA24.8x
P/B42.7x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
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