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AAPLApple Inc.

📅 2026-04-03🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
255.92 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$169.21
$288.62

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$222.78
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-12.9%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$295.07(40 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia AAPL. Huomioitavaa: Potential saturation in premium smartphone and hardware markets could limit r... AI-konsensusarvio 222.78 12.9% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 295.07 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokAAPLApple Inc.255.9spot295.1analysts214232250268286304
Pessimistinen (min)
$191.80
-25.1%
Perus (mediaani)
$222.78
-12.9%
Optimistinen (max)
$191.80
-25.1%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:222.78222.78(+0.0%)
CAGR
+0.5pp(3 ↑)
MARG
+0.5pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
WACC
+0.1pp(1 ↑)
stable-assumptions×2no-changeday-over-day-hold
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE
Est.
222.78
Ero
-12.9%
Conf
0.73
DCF 191.80Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
  • Services segment (App Store, Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, advertising) con…
  • Analyst consensus 1-year revenue growth of 15.7% and EPS growth of 18.3% sign…
  • Apple Intelligence / Siri AI integration into iOS ecosystem could accelerate …
Suurin riski
  • Geopolitical risk: US-China tensions and tariff escalation could disrupt iPhone manufac…
  • iPhone concentration: iPhone remains ~50%+ of total revenue; any demand shortfall, comp…
  • Regulatory risk: App Store antitrust scrutiny in the EU (Digital Markets Act) and US co…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model (2026-04-02). No new material primary-source data from allowed sou…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
DEEPSEEK
Est.
222.78
Ero
-12.9%
Conf
0.75
DCF 191.80Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR (2022-2025) of 1.8% provides a low base, but analyst …
  • Strong trailing EBIT margin of 30.5% demonstrates pricing power and operation…
  • Services and subscription segment growth provides higher-margin, recurring re…
Suurin riski
  • High dependence on iPhone sales, which face market saturation and intense competition i…
  • Regulatory scrutiny on App Store practices and potential antitrust actions across multi…
  • Geopolitical tensions, particularly related to supply chains in Asia, could disrupt man…
Muutos
Maintaining consistent assumptions with yesterday's model, with revenue growth increased slightly to reflect analyst …
CAGR
+0.5pp
MARG
-0.5pp
stable-assumptionsminor-adjustment
GEMINI
Est.
222.78
Ero
-12.9%
Conf
0.80
DCF 191.80Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
  • Continued innovation in core product lines, particularly with potential new o…
  • Sustained growth and expansion of the high-margin Services segment.
  • Strong global brand loyalty and robust ecosystem driving recurring revenue.
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition across all product and service categories, particularly in smartpho…
  • Increasing regulatory scrutiny regarding App Store policies and market dominance.
  • Potential for slower global consumer spending impacting hardware sales.
Muutos
An upward adjustment in the 5-year revenue CAGR reflects the strong 1-year analyst growth estimate and potential for …
CAGR
+1.5pp
revenue cagr increased
GPT
Est.
222.78
Ero
-12.9%
Conf
0.70
DCF 191.80Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
  • Strong brand loyalty and ecosystem
  • Expansion in subscription-based services
  • Continuous product innovation
Suurin riski
  • Increased competition in the smartphone market
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Regulatory scrutiny on data privacy
Muutos
No significant changes in assumptions since yesterday's assessment.
Ei edellistä dataa
stableconsistent
GROK
Est.
222.78
Ero
-12.9%
Conf
0.85
DCF 191.80Kal. 222.78
Avaintekijät
  • Strong historical EBIT margin of 30.5% expected to expand to 34.5% due to inc…
  • Revenue growth projected to significantly outpace historical 1.8% CAGR, drive…
  • Exceptional ROE of 159.7% underscores superior capital efficiency, supporting…
Suurin riski
  • Potential saturation in premium smartphone and hardware markets could limit revenue gro…
  • Intensifying competition in AI, cloud, and subscription services may pressure margins o…
  • Geopolitical risks, including U.S.-China trade tensions, could disrupt supply chains or…
Muutos
Minor updates to assumptions based on reaffirmed growth outlook and recent market context; revenue CAGR slightly incr…
CAGR
+0.4pp
MARG
+0.5pp
WACC
+0.1pp
minor updategrowth outlook

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V8.0%6.0%
+0.5pp
12.5%
+1.5pp
6.0%10.2%
+0.4pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite32.0%29.0%
-0.5pp
30.5%34.0%34.5%
+0.5pp
WACC9.4%9.8%11.0%9.5%10.9%
+0.1pp
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali30.5%
EBITDA-marginaali35.1%
ROE159.7%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.1x
P/E31.9x
EV / EBITDA24.8x
P/B42.7x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli

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