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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Apple Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
304.99 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$193.46
$305.54

5 AI-mallia arvioi AAPL:n mediaaniksi 233.03 USD (-23.6% suhteessa spotiin 304.99 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 308.65 USD (43 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$233.03
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-23.6%
Yksimielisyys
1.004/5 mallia
Raaka 1.00
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$308.65(43 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia AAPL. Huomioitavaa: Intensifying competition in the global smartphone and technology markets. AI-konsensusarvio 233.03 23.6% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 308.65 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokAAPLApple Inc.305.0spot308.6analysts224243261280299318
Pessimistinen (min)
$200.62
-34.2%
Perus (mediaani)
$233.03
-23.6%
Optimistinen (max)
$200.62
-34.2%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:233.03233.03(+0.0%)
WACC
+0.2pp(1 ↑)
unavailable yesterdaystableoptimistic

Mallien erittely

DEEPSEEK ADJ
Est.
233.03
Ero
-23.6%
Conf
0.70
DCF 200.62Kal. 233.03
Avaintekijät
  • Services segment (App Store, Apple Music, iCloud) continues to grow faster th…
  • iPhone 17 cycle in China faces discounting pressure, testing ecosystem loyalt…
  • Apple Vision Pro and wearables represent new product categories with potentia…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory scrutiny on App Store practices in EU and US could pressure services margins
  • China revenue exposure creates geopolitical and competitive risk (local rivals like Hua…
  • Mature smartphone market limits unit growth; reliance on price mix and services for rev…
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. Revenue CAGR, margin target, WACC, and terminal growth rema…
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GEMINI ADJ
Est.
233.03
Ero
-23.6%
Conf
0.80
DCF 200.62Kal. 233.03
Avaintekijät
  • Continued expansion and strong performance of the high-margin Services segment.
  • Anticipated growth from new product categories and potential AI integration.
  • Global brand strength and customer loyalty driving consistent product demand.
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition in the global smartphone and technology markets.
  • Potential for regulatory scrutiny impacting App Store policies and business practices (…
  • Reliance on global supply chains, susceptible to geopolitical and logistical disruptions.
Muutos
Yesterday's model output was unavailable due to a server error. Cannot compare assumptions.
Ei edellistä dataa
unavailable yesterday
GPT ADJ
Est.
233.03
Ero
-23.6%
Conf
0.75
DCF 200.62Kal. 233.03
Avaintekijät
  • Continuous innovation in hardware and software products
  • Growth in subscription services driving recurring revenue
  • Strong brand loyalty enhancing customer retention
Suurin riski
  • Increased competition in the technology sector
  • Potential supply chain disruptions impacting production
  • Market saturation in core product lines
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable with a continued focus on revenue growth due to subscription services.
Ei edellistä dataa
stableoptimistic
GROK ADJ
Est.
233.03
Ero
-23.6%
Conf
0.65
DCF 200.62Kal. 233.03
Avaintekijät
  • Services mix shift continues to support margins above hardware average
  • 1-year analyst revenue growth anchor of 16.6% moderates to 7% long-term CAGR
  • Beta 1.065 and low net debt support WACC near 10%
Suurin riski
  • China iPhone demand softness and potential margin pressure from discounts
  • Hardware cyclicality and slower upgrade cycles in mature smartphone market
  • Regulatory and geopolitical exposure in key supply chain regions
Muutos
Assumptions held steady versus prior day with minor WACC adjustment for updated beta.
WACC
+0.2pp
minor revision
CLAUDE EI VALIDI
Est.
304.99
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

DEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V5.0%13.0%6.0%7.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite31.0%30.0%32.0%30.0%
WACC9.5%10.8%9.5%10.0%
+0.2pp
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.5%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)6.5%18.4%+11.8pp
WACC9.8%5.9%-3.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $304.99 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali29.5%
EBITDA-marginaali35.4%
ROE166.2%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.1x
P/E36.5x
EV / EBITDA28.1x
P/B42.0x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV, which offers exclusive original content and live sports; Apple Card, a co-branded credit ca
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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