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ELISAElisa Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHtelecom
41.48 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
34.48 €
55.00 €

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
42.44 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+2.3%
Yksimielisyys
0.895/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.04
Analyytikkokonsensus
41.74 €(18 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia ELISA. Avaintekijä: Stable demand for core telecommunications and ICT services in Finland and Eur... AI-konsensusarvio 42.44 2.3% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.89). Analyytikkokonsensus: 41.74 (AI +1.7%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokELISAElisa Oyj41.5spot41.7analysts38.539.941.242.643.945.3
Pessimistinen (min)
38.08 €
-8.2%
Perus (mediaani)
42.44 €
+2.3%
Optimistinen (max)
45.85 €
10.5%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:42.44→42.44(+0.0%)
stable assumptions×2no-changestable-assumptions
Mallien erittely
GEMINI
Est.
44.62
Ero
+7.6%
Conf
0.80
DCF 45.85 → Kal. 44.62
Avaintekijät
  • Stable demand for core telecommunications and ICT services in Finland and Eur…
  • Strategic diversification into Elisa IndustrIQ software solutions and energy …
  • Strong historical profitability (EBIT margin 20.5%).
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition within the telecommunications sector, potentially impacting pricing…
  • Regulatory changes or interventions that could affect service offerings or revenue stre…
  • High capital expenditure requirements for network upgrades and maintenance, impacting f…
Muutos
No significant changes in key valuation assumptions compared to yesterday's model.
Ei muutosta
no change
CLAUDE
Est.
42.61
Ero
+2.7%
Conf
0.70
DCF 42.98 → Kal. 42.61
Avaintekijät
  • Stable Finnish telecom core with subscription-based recurring revenues provid…
  • Elisa IndustrIQ B2B software segment (sedApta, camLine, CalcuQuote, TenForce,…
  • Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advance…
Suurin riski
  • Analyst 1Y EPS growth estimate of -28.4% signals a meaningful near-term earnings headwi…
  • Competitive pressure in Finnish mobile and broadband markets from DNA/Telia could const…
  • High payout ratio typical of telecom dividend plays limits retained earnings available …
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior day's model run. The data inputs, market anchors, an…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
GPT
Est.
42.44
Ero
+2.3%
Conf
0.60
DCF 42.74 → Kal. 42.44
Avaintekijät
  • Stable demand from telecommunications subscriptions
  • Investment in network infrastructure and digital services
  • Regulatory environment supporting steady growth
Suurin riski
  • High capital expenditure impacting cash flows
  • Competition from other telecom operators
  • Regulatory changes that could affect margins
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with previous evaluations.
Ei edellistä dataa
stabletelecom
GROK
Est.
41.89
Ero
+1.0%
Conf
0.75
DCF 41.95 → Kal. 41.89
Avaintekijät
  • Stable revenue growth expected from subscription-based telecom services in Fi…
  • Continued investment in 5G and fiber infrastructure to support long-term growth.
  • Margin expansion potential from operational efficiencies and digital service …
Suurin riski
  • High capex requirements for network upgrades may pressure free cash flow.
  • Regulatory constraints in telecom sector could limit pricing power.
  • Competitive pressures in mature European markets may cap growth.
Muutos
No significant changes in assumptions since yesterday's model run.
Ei muutosta
no changestable assumptions
DEEPSEEK
Est.
39.17
Ero
-5.6%
Conf
0.65
DCF 38.08 → Kal. 39.17
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 2.0% (2022-2025) provides stable baseline for matu…
  • Analyst consensus projects near-term revenue growth of 1.5%, aligning with hi…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 20.5% is strong for telecom sector and serves as real…
Suurin riski
  • Mature, saturated domestic telecom market in Finland limits organic growth opportunities.
  • High capital intensity (Capex/Revenue 12.4%) required for network maintenance and 5G/fi…
  • Moderate net debt level (Net Debt/EBITDA 2.11x) could constrain financial flexibility d…
Muutos
Model assumptions remain unchanged from yesterday as company fundamentals and market context are stable. Revenue grow…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno material change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V2.5%1.8%3.0%2.0%2.5%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite21.0%20.5%21.0%21.0%21.0%
WACC6.9%7.0%6.8%6.5%7.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali20.5%
EBITDA-marginaali31.6%
ROE27.3%
Nettovelka / EBITDA2.1x
P/E19.5x
EV / EBITDA11.5x
P/B5.3x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

Viimeisimmät uutiset

Assessing Elisa Oyj’s (HLSE:ELISA) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum2026-03-17
Assessing Elisa Oyj’s (HLSE:ELISA) Valuation After A Strong Recent Share Price Run2026-02-12
Elisa Oyj (ELMUF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Advancements2026-01-30
Evaluating Elisa Oyj (HLSE:ELISA)'s Valuation as Shares Cool Off This Week2025-09-20
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-04-03
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja