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Alphabet Inc.

2026-05-01🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
384.80 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$147.84
$385.84

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$464.20
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+20.6%
Yksimielisyys
0.765/5 mallia
Raaka 0.70
Hajonta
σ 0.11
Analyytikkokonsensus
$378.50(56 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia GOOGL. Avaintekijä: Continued strong growth in Google Cloud, driven by AI solutions like Gemini e... AI-konsensusarvio 464.20 20.6% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.76). Analyytikkokonsensus: 378.50 (AI +22.6%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokGOOGLAlphabet In…384.8spot378.5analysts356386417448478509
Pessimistinen (min)
$367.18
-4.6%
Perus (mediaani)
$464.20
+20.6%
Optimistinen (max)
$543.33
41.2%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:463.61→464.20(+0.1%)
CAGR
+0.5pp(1 ↑)
WACC
-0.2pp(1 ↓)
no-assumption-changepost-earningsq1-2026-beat
Mallien erittely
GPT
Est.
493.88
Ero
+28.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 543.33 → Kal. 493.88
Avaintekijät
  • Strong growth in the Google Cloud segment fueled by AI.
  • Investments in new technologies and products.
  • Expansion in advertising and subscription services.
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory pressures, especially in international markets.
  • Competition in cloud services and advertising space.
  • Potential economic slowdown affecting ad spending.
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable, reflecting consistent underlying business growth and market positioning.
Ei edellistä dataa
valuationtechassumptions
GEMINI
Est.
489.89
Ero
+27.3%
Conf
0.80
DCF 537.63 → Kal. 489.89
Avaintekijät
  • Continued strong growth in Google Cloud, driven by AI solutions like Gemini e…
  • Dominant market position in digital advertising through Google Services (Sear…
  • Significant scale and operating leverage, contributing to robust profitability.
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition in the cloud computing and AI markets from established and emerging…
  • Ongoing regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions in key markets, particularl…
  • Dependence on advertising revenue, which can be susceptible to economic cycles and chan…
Muutos
Revenue CAGR slightly increased to reflect continued strong growth prospects, particularly in AI and Google Cloud. WA…
CAGR
+0.5pp
WACC
-0.2pp
minor adjustmentrevenue outlook improvedwacc recalibration
CLAUDE
Est.
464.20
Ero
+20.6%
Conf
0.77
DCF 500.93 → Kal. 464.20
Avaintekijät
  • Q1 2026 earnings confirmed Google Cloud revenue and CapEx beat estimates, val…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022–2025) is accelerating; analyst consens…
  • Google Cloud (Vertex AI, Gemini enterprise, cybersecurity, Workspace) is the …
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and antitrust risk: DOJ search monopoly ruling and potential structural reme…
  • AI disruption to Search: LLM-based alternatives (OpenAI, Perplexity, Microsoft Copilot)…
  • Elevated capex intensity (22.7% of revenue) for AI infrastructure creates execution ris…
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (revenue_cagr_5y 14%, ebit_margin_target 34%…
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changepost-earningsq1-2026-beat
GROK
Est.
410.54
Ero
+6.7%
Conf
0.80
DCF 424.27 → Kal. 410.54
Avaintekijät
  • Strong historical revenue growth (12.5% CAGR) supports a forward-looking CAGR…
  • AI solutions like Gemini and Vertex AI platform expected to fuel growth in hi…
  • Dominant position in digital advertising and subscription services (YouTube, …
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition in AI and cloud computing could pressure margins if pricing becomes…
  • Regulatory scrutiny over data privacy and antitrust issues may limit operational flexib…
  • High capex (22.7% of revenue) could strain cash flows if growth initiatives underperform.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, reflecting a stable outlook based on current financial data and…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsupdated headlines
DEEPSEEK
Est.
370.58
Ero
-3.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 367.18 → Kal. 370.58
Avaintekijät
  • Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android) provides stable ad revenue with hi…
  • Google Cloud accelerating growth via AI/ML and enterprise partnerships (Gemin…
  • Continued investment in AI infrastructure and data centers supports long-term…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory scrutiny and antitrust actions in US, EU, and other jurisdictions
  • Competition from Microsoft (Bing/Copilot), Amazon (AWS), and emerging AI startups
  • Heavy capex requirements (22.7% of revenue) pressure free cash flow and margins
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. Revenue CAGR, EBIT margin, WACC, and terminal growth remain…
Ei muutosta
no change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V14.0%12.0%17.0%
+0.5pp
14.0%14.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite34.0%34.0%33.0%36.0%34.0%
WACC9.6%10.5%10.2%
-0.2pp
9.5%10.5%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)14.0%11.9%-2.1pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite34.0%29.7%-4.3pp
WACC10.2%11.1%+0.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $384.80 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali32.0%
EBITDA-marginaali37.3%
ROE31.8%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.4x
P/E35.3x
EV / EBITDA30.6x
P/B11.2x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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