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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Alphabet Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
387.66 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$162.00
$408.61

5 AI-mallia arvioi GOOGL:n mediaaniksi 402.50 USD (+3.8% suhteessa spotiin 387.66 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.81). Analyytikkokonsensus 428.96 USD (53 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$402.50
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+3.8%
Yksimielisyys
0.814/5 mallia ⚠
Raaka 0.74
Hajonta
σ 0.08
Analyytikkokonsensus
$428.96(53 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
3 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia GOOGL. Avaintekijä: Continued growth in Google Services, particularly Search and YouTube advertis... AI-konsensusarvio 402.50 3.8% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.81). Analyytikkokonsensus: 428.96 (AI -6.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokGOOGLAlphabet In…387.7spot429.0analysts340362384406428449
Pessimistinen (min)
$317.60
-18.1%
Perus (mediaani)
$402.50
+3.8%
Optimistinen (max)
$443.20
14.3%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:411.46→402.50(-2.2%)
CAGR
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
MARG
-1.0pp(1 ↓)
no changeno yesterday datavaluation

Mallien erittely

GPT →
Est.
438.93
Ero
+13.2%
Conf
0.70
DCF 443.20 → Kal. 438.93
Avaintekijät
  • Strong growth in cloud services and AI
  • Robust advertising revenue performance
  • Innovation in Google Services and products
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition in AI and cloud sectors
  • Regulatory scrutiny and compliance challenges
  • Economic fluctuations impacting ad spend
Muutos
No significant changes from the previous day's assumptions.
Ei edellistä dataa
valuationtechnologygrowth
GEMINI →
Est.
402.50
Ero
+3.8%
Conf
0.75
DCF 391.15 → Kal. 402.50
Avaintekijät
  • Continued growth in Google Services, particularly Search and YouTube advertis…
  • Expansion and increasing profitability of Google Cloud, driven by AI solution…
  • Strategic investments in AI and other emerging technologies across segments.
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition in the digital advertising and cloud computing markets.
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions impacting business operations.
  • Economic downturns leading to reduced advertising budgets.
Muutos
Yesterday's model run was unavailable due to a server error, preventing a comparison of assumptions.
Ei edellistä dataa
no yesterday data
GROK →
Est.
392.39
Ero
+1.2%
Conf
0.72
DCF 376.71 → Kal. 392.39
Avaintekijät
  • Google Cloud and AI infrastructure scaling with high incremental margins
  • Search and YouTube advertising resilience with 12.5% historical revenue CAGR …
  • Operating leverage from 30.5% trailing EBIT margin expanding modestly at scale
Suurin riski
  • Antitrust and regulatory actions across core search and ad businesses
  • Accelerating AI capex could pressure near-term free cash flow
  • Competition from Microsoft/OpenAI in generative AI and cloud
Muutos
Slight downward revision to revenue CAGR reflecting maturing core search offset by AI momentum; EBIT margin target lo…
CAGR
-0.5pp
MARG
-1.0pp
update
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
351.01
Ero
-9.5%
Conf
0.70
DCF 317.60 → Kal. 351.01
Avaintekijät
  • Strong historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022-2025) driven by Search, YouTube…
  • Google Cloud segment accelerating with AI solutions (Vertex AI, Gemini) provi…
  • High trailing EBIT margin of 30.5% indicates significant operating leverage a…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and antitrust scrutiny in the US, EU, and other jurisdictions could impact o…
  • Intense competition in digital advertising from Meta, Amazon, and emerging AI search pl…
  • Capital expenditure intensity (21.6% of revenue) may pressure free cash flow if growth …
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. The company's fundamentals and outlook remain consistent.
Ei muutosta
no change
CLAUDE →EI VALIDI
Est.
387.66
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

DEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V10.0%15.0%12.0%13.5%
-0.5pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite33.0%31.0%39.0%33.0%
-1.0pp
WACC10.5%11.0%10.5%11.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)12.8%13.3%+0.6pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite33.0%34.2%+1.2pp
WACC10.8%10.5%-0.2pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $387.66 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali30.5%
EBITDA-marginaali38.2%
ROE38.6%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.2x
P/E29.3x
EV / EBITDA28.9x
P/B9.8x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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