295.77 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$140.53
$349.00
AI-konsensus
Mallin arvio
$421.89
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+42.6%
Yksimielisyys
0.725/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.13
Analyytikkokonsensus
$376.93(56 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia GOOGL. Avaintekijä: Continued strong growth in Google Cloud, driven by AI solutions and enterpris... AI-konsensusarvio 421.89 42.6% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.72). Analyytikkokonsensus: 376.93 (AI +11.9%).Pessimistinen (min)
$284.70
-3.7%
Perus (mediaani)
$421.89
+42.6%
Optimistinen (max)
$501.08
69.4%
Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli
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Mikä muuttui tänään
Konsensusarvio:421.89→421.89(+0.0%)
CAGR-1.0pp(1 ↓)
MARG-1.0pp(1 ↓)
no-assumption-changerisks-updatedopenai-competitive-risk-noted
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE
DCF 501.08 → Kal. 463.83
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022–2025) provides a strong baseline; anal…
- Google Cloud (Vertex AI, Gemini Enterprise, cybersecurity) remains the primar…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 32% is already elevated for the sector; operating lev…
Suurin riski
- Ongoing antitrust and regulatory scrutiny (DOJ search monopoly case, EU investigations)…
- AI-driven disruption to core Search advertising model: if LLM-based search alternatives…
- Elevated capex intensity (22.7% of revenue) compresses near-term free cash flow and cre…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changerisks-updatedopenai-competitive-risk-noted
GEMINI
DCF 466.37 → Kal. 439.54
Avaintekijät
- Continued strong growth in Google Cloud, driven by AI solutions and enterpris…
- Resilient performance of Google Services, particularly Search and YouTube adv…
- Potential for operating leverage and margin expansion as high-growth segments…
Suurin riski
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions, impacting business prac…
- Intense competition in core advertising, cloud computing, and AI markets.
- Dependence on advertising revenue, making the company susceptible to economic downturns.
Muutos
Ei muutosta
no change
GPT
DCF 441.16 → Kal. 421.89
Avaintekijät
- Continuous growth in cloud services and AI solutions
- Expansion of subscription services like YouTube TV and Google One
- Strong historical revenue growth with a positive outlook
Suurin riski
- Regulatory challenges in multiple jurisdictions
- Intense competition in cloud and AI markets
- Economic downturns affecting advertising spend
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
no changeconsistent
GROK
DCF 424.40 → Kal. 410.16
Avaintekijät
- Projected revenue growth of 14% CAGR over 5 years, supported by historical 12…
- EBIT margin target of 34% reflects expected operating leverage from scaling h…
- Diversified revenue from Google Services, including ads, apps, and consumer s…
Suurin riski
- Regulatory and legal challenges could impact growth and profitability in key markets.
- Intense competition in AI and cloud computing may pressure margins and market share.
- High capex levels (22.7% of revenue) could strain cash flows if growth initiatives unde…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno update
DEEPSEEK
DCF 284.70 → Kal. 312.37
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022-2025) provides strong baseline for fut…
- Google Cloud and AI solutions (Vertex AI, Gemini) represent significant growt…
- High trailing EBIT margin (32%) and ROE (31.8%) demonstrate operational effic…
Suurin riski
- Regulatory and legal headwinds, including potential antitrust actions and ongoing inves…
- High capital intensity (capex/revenue 22.7%) required to maintain AI and cloud infrastr…
- Competitive pressure in AI and cloud services from Microsoft, Amazon, and emerging AI c…
Muutos
CAGR-1.0pp
MARG-1.0pp
growth updatemargin refinementwacc stable
Arvostusoletukset
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V | 14.0% | 10.5% -1.0pp | 17.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| EBIT-marginaalitavoite | 34.0% | 31.0% -1.0pp | 33.0% | 34.0% | 34.0% |
| WACC | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Terminaalikasvu | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali32.0%
EBITDA-marginaali37.3%
ROE31.8%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.4x
P/E27.1x
EV / EBITDA23.4x
P/B8.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
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