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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
JPMorgan Chase & Co. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-07-10🇺🇸 S&Pfinancials
335.47 USD
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$279.10
$343.45

Tilanne 2026-07-10: 5 AI-mallia arvioi JPM:n mediaaniksi 258.10 USD (-23.1% suhteessa spotiin 335.47 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.92). Analyytikkokonsensus 352.76 USD (21 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$258.10
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-23.1%
Yksimielisyys
0.925/5 mallia
Raaka 0.87shrinkagen aiheuttama
Hajonta
σ 3.0%
Analyytikkokonsensus
$352.76(21 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia JPM. Huomioitavaa: Potential for economic downturns or recessions could impact lending volumes, ... AI-konsensusarvio 258.10 23.1% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.92). Analyytikkokonsensus: 352.76 (AI -26.8%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokJPMJPMorgan Ch…335.5spot352.8analysts229257284311339366
Pessimistinen (min)
$195.13
-41.8%
Perus (mediaani)
$258.10
-23.1%
Optimistinen (max)
$228.91
-31.8%
Bear/Bull: mallien oma haarukka · Base sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurin

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:258.00→258.10(+0.0%)
ROE
-5.0pp(1 ↓)
no-material-changeearnings-imminentassumptions-stable

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-07-03 → 2026-07-10: JPM: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui $255.69 → $258.10 (+0.9 %); mediaani-WACC 10.5 % → 10.5 % (+0.00 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.0 % → 2.0 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 3.3 % → 3.0 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-07-03)Nyt (2026-07-10)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio$255.69$258.10+0.9%
Mediaani-WACC10.50%10.50%+0.00 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)6.5%7.0%+0.50 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite38.0%40.0%+2.00 pp
Mallien hajonta σ3.3%3.0%-0.31 pp

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →
Est.
266.07
Ero
-20.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 228.91 → Kal. 266.07
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022–2025) reflects post-pandemic recovery …
  • Trailing ROE of 15.9% and net income of ~$57.5B demonstrate best-in-class pro…
  • Forward EPS of $23.93 implies ~17.2% growth vs trailing EPS of $21.20, with Q…
Suurin riski
  • Interest rate sensitivity: a Fed rate cut cycle could compress net interest margins and…
  • Credit cycle risk: consumer and commercial loan losses could rise if the US economy slo…
  • Regulatory capital requirements (Basel III endgame) may constrain capital return capaci…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model. The spot price has risen modestly to $335.47 from ~$330.62, movin…
Ei muutosta
no-material-changeearnings-imminentassumptions-stable
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
258.10
Ero
-23.1%
Conf
0.75
DCF 217.53 → Kal. 258.10
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022-2025) driven by rising net interest in…
  • Forward revenue growth estimate of 12.7% for next year, supported by strong c…
  • Trailing ROE of 15.9% indicates strong profitability; target ROE reflects sus…
Suurin riski
  • Potential cyberattack threats could disrupt operations and increase regulatory costs
  • Interest rate normalization and Fed policy shifts may compress net interest margins
  • Global economic slowdown or recession could increase loan loss provisions and reduce fe…
Muutos
No material change from previous model; assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's framework.
Ei edellistä dataa
no changestable outlook
GROK →
Est.
258.10
Ero
-23.1%
Conf
0.65
DCF 217.53 → Kal. 258.10
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR 12.5% (2022-2025) provides strong base
  • Trailing ROE 15.9% supports sustainable profitability
  • Beta 0.98 anchors WACC near 10.5% via CAPM
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and capital requirement changes
  • Cybersecurity threats highlighted in recent warnings
  • Interest rate and Fed policy sensitivity
Muutos
No material change in assumptions; data consistent with prior day.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GEMINI →
Est.
257.22
Ero
-23.3%
Conf
0.80
DCF 216.27 → Kal. 257.22
Avaintekijät
  • JPMorgan Chase's diversified business segments (Consumer & Community Banking,…
  • Strong historical revenue growth (12.5% CAGR 2022-2025) and positive analyst …
  • High profitability, as indicated by a strong trailing ROE of 15.9% and a net …
Suurin riski
  • Potential for economic downturns or recessions could impact lending volumes, credit qua…
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential changes in financial regulations could increase compl…
  • Fluctuations in interest rates could negatively impact net interest margin if not manag…
Muutos
The EBIT margin target has been adjusted downwards from 0.40 to 0.35 to better align with the company's derived net i…
ROE
-5.0pp
margin adjustmentroe update
GPT →
Est.
242.42
Ero
-27.7%
Conf
0.80
DCF 195.13 → Kal. 242.42
Avaintekijät
  • Stable revenue growth through diversified segments
  • Continued investment in technology and digital banking
  • Strong market position and brand recognition
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory pressures affecting profitability
  • Economic downturn impacting lending and investment
  • Cybersecurity threats to operations
Muutos
There have been no significant changes in the assumptions since the last report.
Ei edellistä dataa
no changestable

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V6.0%7.0%10.0%6.0%8.0%
ROE-tavoite15.5%16.0%15.9%15.9%16.0%
WACC10.5%10.5%10.5%11.5%10.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali–%
EBITDA-marginaali–%
ROE15.9%
Nettovelka / EBITDA–x
P/E15.6x
EV / EBITDA–x
P/B2.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli295.00 – 411.00
JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking. It also provides investment banking, market-making, financing, custody, and securities products and services; corporate strategy and structure advisory, equity and debt market capital-raising, and loan origination and syndication services; cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, clearing, and research; and fund services, liquidity and trading services, and data solutions products for large corporations, financial institutions, merchants, start-ups, sm
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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