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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
JPMorgan Chase & Co. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-08-28🇺🇸 S&Pfinancials
354.22 USD
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$279.10
$366.50

Tilanne 2026-08-28: 5 AI-mallia arvioi JPM:n mediaaniksi 301.12 USD (-15.0% suhteessa spotiin 354.22 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.78). Analyytikkokonsensus 374.57 USD (21 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$301.12
Mallin puhdas arvio — ei analyytikkosekoitusta
Ero
-15.0%
Yksimielisyys
0.785/5 mallia
Raaka 0.78
Hajonta
σ 9.5%
Analyytikkokonsensus
$374.57(21 analyytikkoa)
Kalibroitu sekoitus (tutkimussarja)
$323.16
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia JPM. Huomioitavaa: Potential credit quality normalization and rising net charge-offs in a slowin... AI-konsensusarvio 301.12 15.0% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.78). Analyytikkokonsensus: 374.57 (AI -19.6%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokJPMJPMorgan Ch…354.2spot374.6analysts256282308335361387
Pessimistinen (min)
$268.63
-24.2%
Perus (mediaani)
$301.12
-15.0%
Optimistinen (max)
$357.67
1.0%
Bear/Base/Bull: mallien oma haarukka (12 kk:n arvot)

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:301.12→301.12(+0.0%)
no-assumption-changestable-fundamentalscib-activity-confirmed

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-08-21 → 2026-08-28: JPM: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui $310.17 → $301.12 (-2.9 %); mediaani-WACC 9.5 % → 9.5 % (+0.00 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.0 % → 2.0 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 11.3 % → 9.5 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-08-21)Nyt (2026-08-28)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio$310.17$301.12-2.9%
Mediaani-WACC9.50%9.50%+0.00 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)6.0%5.5%-0.50 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite40.0%39.0%-1.00 pp
Mallien hajonta σ11.3%9.5%-1.84 pp

Mallien erittely

GPT →
Est.
357.67
Ero
+1.0%
Conf
0.58
DCF 357.67 → Kal. 362.74
Avaintekijät
  • Trailing ROE of 17.6% suggests the franchise can sustain a high-teens return …
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% is strong, but a mature large-cap bank shoul…
  • Beta of 0.977 and the provided US rate/ERP context support a cost of equity a…
Suurin riski
  • Net interest income and capital markets revenue are cyclical and rate-sensitive.
  • Credit losses can rise quickly in a downturn and pressure profitability.
  • Regulatory capital, liquidity, and compliance requirements can constrain returns.
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior view. The model remains anchored to JPMorgan's strong profitability, near-ma…
Ei muutosta
no material changebanking cyclestable profitability
CLAUDE →
Est.
321.94
Ero
-9.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 321.94 → Kal. 337.73
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022–2025) was materially elevated by net i…
  • Diversified three-segment model (Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & I…
  • Trailing ROE of 17.6% materially exceeds estimated cost of equity (~9.4%); su…
Suurin riski
  • Rising bond yields and potential credit quality deterioration if the macro environment …
  • Interest rate sensitivity: net interest income could compress meaningfully if the Fed c…
  • Regulatory capital requirements (Basel III endgame and potential new GSIB surcharges) m…
Muutos
Assumptions are held fully stable versus the prior day model. August 28 headlines introduce no material new fundament…
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changestable-fundamentalscib-activity-confirmed
GROK →
Est.
301.12
Ero
-15.0%
Conf
0.55
DCF 301.12 → Kal. 323.16
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR 12.5% moderated to 6% for maturing large-cap bank
  • Net interest income and fee growth supported by scale in CCB and CIB segments
  • Sustainable ROE near 17% from 17.6% trailing
Suurin riski
  • Interest rate volatility impacting net interest margin
  • Regulatory and capital requirements constraining leverage
  • Credit cycle deterioration in consumer and commercial lending
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from prior day
Ei edellistä dataa
stable
GEMINI →
Est.
299.04
Ero
-15.6%
Conf
0.85
DCF 299.04 → Kal. 321.70
Avaintekijät
  • Dominant market position across consumer banking, investment banking, and ass…
  • Net interest income remains robust, supported by a stabilized interest rate e…
  • Strong capital position with high CET1 ratios supporting consistent dividend …
Suurin riski
  • Potential credit quality normalization and rising net charge-offs in a slowing macroeco…
  • Regulatory headwinds, including Basel III endgame capital requirement increases, which …
  • Compression of net interest margins (NIM) if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates mo…
Muutos
Core valuation assumptions remain stable as recent market updates and macroeconomic commentary do not alter the long-…
Ei muutosta
stable-outlookmacro-monitoring
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
268.63
Ero
-24.2%
Conf
0.75
DCF 268.63 → Kal. 300.41
Avaintekijät
  • Diversified franchise across consumer, commercial, investment banking and wea…
  • Trailing ROE of about 17.6% and net income margin around 34% reflect strong p…
  • Sub-1.0 beta points to moderate systematic risk; WACC is set at 10.0%, the lo…
Suurin riski
  • A broad credit cycle downturn would raise loan-loss provisions and pressure net income.
  • Interest-rate normalization or a flatter yield curve could compress net interest margin.
  • Investment banking and market-making revenues are cyclical and could fall below recent …
Muutos
Assumptions unchanged versus the prior model; WACC remains at 10.0%, long-term revenue CAGR at 5.5%, EBIT margin at 4…
Ei muutosta
no changeassumptions retained

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V5.0%5.5%5.5%4.5%6.0%
ROE-tavoite16.0%16.0%15.5%17.6%17.0%
WACC9.4%10.0%9.5%9.5%9.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.5%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali–%
EBITDA-marginaali–%
ROE17.6%
Nettovelka / EBITDA–x
P/E14.8x
EV / EBITDA–x
P/B2.7x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli305.00 – 420.00
JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking. It also provides investment banking, market-making, financing, custody, and securities products and services; corporate strategy and structure advisory, equity and debt market capital-raising, and loan origination and syndication services; cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, clearing, and research; and fund services, liquidity and trading services, and data solutions products for large corporations, financial institutions, merchants, start-ups, sm
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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