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JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.

📅 2026-04-03🇺🇸 S&Pfinancials
294.60 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$202.16
$337.25

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$255.00
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-13.4%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$337.75(24 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia JPM. Huomioitavaa: Potential economic slowdown and rising interest rates impacting loan demand, ... AI-konsensusarvio 255.00 13.4% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 337.75 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokJPMJPMorgan Ch…294.6spot337.8analysts245266286307327348
Pessimistinen (min)
$219.54
-25.5%
Perus (mediaani)
$255.00
-13.4%
Optimistinen (max)
$219.54
-25.5%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:255.00→255.00(+0.0%)
CAGR
+0.5pp(1 ↑)
ROE
+2.0pp(1 ↑)
no-changemacro-headwinds-confirmedgeopolitical-risk-elevated
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE⚖
Est.
255.00
Ero
-13.4%
Conf
0.74
DCF 219.54 → Kal. 255.00
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022–2025) was materially inflated by the F…
  • Trailing ROE of 15.4% is strong for a US money-center bank; sustainable ROE t…
  • Forward EPS of $23.32 at forward P/E of 12.6x implies the market is pricing i…
Suurin riski
  • Macroeconomic slowdown risk: geopolitical escalation (Iran conflict flagged by Dimon), …
  • Interest rate sensitivity: potential Fed rate cuts to address macro slowdown would comp…
  • Regulatory capital requirements (Basel III endgame) may constrain capital return capaci…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (2026-04-03 vs 2026-04-02). New headlines confirm continued macro he…
Ei muutosta
no-changemacro-headwinds-confirmedgeopolitical-risk-elevated
DEEPSEEK⚖
Est.
255.00
Ero
-13.4%
Conf
0.70
DCF 219.54 → Kal. 255.00
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.5% (2022-2025) provides strong base, but future…
  • Trailing ROE of 15.4% indicates strong profitability; target set slightly bel…
  • Market-implied forward P/E of 12.6x suggests moderate growth expectations ali…
Suurin riski
  • Macroeconomic slowdown concerns highlighted in recent news could pressure net interest …
  • Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East conflict) may increase market volatility, impa…
  • Interest rate environment shifts could affect net interest margins and asset valuations…
Muutos
Maintained core assumptions consistent with previous model, with minor adjustment to revenue growth to reflect update…
CAGR
+0.5pp
ROE
+2.0pp
spot updatenews impactgrowth adjustment
GEMINI⚖
Est.
255.00
Ero
-13.4%
Conf
0.80
DCF 219.54 → Kal. 255.00
Avaintekijät
  • Diversified financial services across consumer, commercial, and wealth manage…
  • Strong historical profitability, with trailing Return on Equity at 15.4%, ind…
  • Global market position as a leading financial institution, offering resilienc…
Suurin riski
  • Potential economic slowdown and rising interest rates impacting loan demand, credit qua…
  • Geopolitical instability and market volatility, as highlighted by Jamie Dimon, affectin…
  • Intense competition across various financial services sectors, potentially pressing mar…
Muutos
All key valuation assumptions, including revenue CAGR, EBIT margin, WACC, terminal growth, ROE target, and payout rat…
Ei muutosta
no revenue cagr changeno ebit margin changeno wacc change
GPT⚖
Est.
255.00
Ero
-13.4%
Conf
0.70
DCF 219.54 → Kal. 255.00
Avaintekijät
  • Strong market position in banking.
  • Diverse range of financial services.
  • Investment in technology for growth.
Suurin riski
  • Potential economic slowdown affecting loan demand.
  • Regulatory environment changes.
  • Increased competition from fintech.
Muutos
No significant changes noted in the assumptions.
Ei edellistä dataa
stableunchanged
GROK⚖
Est.
255.00
Ero
-13.4%
Conf
0.75
DCF 219.54 → Kal. 255.00
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue growth of 12.5% CAGR from 2022-2025, moderated to 6% due t…
  • Diversified revenue streams across Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial &…
  • Trailing ROE of 15.4% indicates strong profitability, supporting a sustainabl…
Suurin riski
  • Global economic slowdown concerns could impact loan demand and investment banking activ…
  • Geopolitical tensions, particularly Iran conflict, may affect risk assets.
  • Regulatory changes or increased scrutiny in key markets could raise compliance costs.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, with no significant changes in key valuation inputs.
Ei muutosta
no changestable outlook

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V4.0%4.0%
+0.5pp
3.5%5.0%6.0%
ROE-tavoite15.0%15.0%15.0%15.4%15.0%
WACC11.0%12.0%11.5%11.5%12.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali–%
EBITDA-marginaali–%
ROE15.4%
Nettovelka / EBITDA–x
P/E14.3x
EV / EBITDA–x
P/B2.3x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

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