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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
KONE Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-07-10🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
49.23 EUR
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
47.94 €
70.00 €

Tilanne 2026-07-10: 5 AI-mallia arvioi KNEBV:n mediaaniksi 55.48 € (+12.7% suhteessa spotiin 49.23 €, mallien yksimielisyys 0.78). Analyytikkokonsensus 61.89 € (23 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
55.48 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+12.7%
Yksimielisyys
0.784/5 mallia ⚠
Raaka 0.70
Hajonta
σ 9.6%
Analyytikkokonsensus
61.89 €(23 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia KNEBV. Avaintekijä: Global urbanization and infrastructure development driving demand for new ins... AI-konsensusarvio 55.48 12.7% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.78). Analyytikkokonsensus: 61.89 (AI -10.4%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokKNEBVKONE Oyj49.2spot61.9analysts47.051.656.260.865.470.1
Pessimistinen (min)
51.02 €
3.6%
Perus (mediaani)
55.48 €
+12.7%
Optimistinen (max)
70.36 €
42.9%
Bear/Bull: mallien oma haarukka · Base sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurin

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:56.67→55.48(-2.1%)
no-changestable-assumptionsearnings-catalyst-imminent

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-07-03 → 2026-07-10: KNEBV: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui 58.04 € → 55.48 € (-4.4 %); mediaani-WACC 8.0 % → 8.0 % (+0.00 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.0 % → 2.0 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 10.8 % → 9.6 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-07-03)Nyt (2026-07-10)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio58.04 €55.48 €-4.4%
Mediaani-WACC8.00%8.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)4.0%3.3%-0.75 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.5%12.3%-0.25 pp
Mallien hajonta σ10.8%9.6%-1.14 pp

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →
Est.
67.82
Ero
+37.8%
Conf
0.71
DCF 70.36 → Kal. 67.82
Avaintekijät
  • Pending TK Elevator (TKE) combination is the dominant near-term catalyst — if…
  • High-margin service and modernization segment provides a recurring, resilient…
  • Urbanization trends and an aging installed base in Europe and Asia drive stru…
Suurin riski
  • TKE integration risk: large-scale M&A combinations in industrials frequently face execu…
  • China exposure: KONE has historically derived significant revenues from Chinese new con…
  • Regulatory and antitrust scrutiny of the TKE combination could delay closing, impose re…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day's model run. All four key inputs (WACC 7.5%, revenue CAGR 5.5%, EBIT mar…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsearnings-catalyst-imminent
GEMINI →
Est.
56.67
Ero
+15.1%
Conf
0.75
DCF 54.43 → Kal. 56.67
Avaintekijät
  • Global urbanization and infrastructure development driving demand for new ins…
  • Stable and higher-margin maintenance and modernization services provide recur…
  • Expansion into smart building solutions (e.g., KONE Office Flow, Access) enha…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclicality of the construction and real estate markets impacting new equipment orders.
  • Intense competition in the global elevator and escalator industry.
  • Geopolitical uncertainties and economic slowdowns affecting international projects.
Muutos
No significant change in core valuation assumptions since yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
54.28
Ero
+10.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 51.02 → Kal. 54.28
Avaintekijät
  • Stable service and modernization backlog provides recurring revenue visibility
  • TK Elevator acquisition expected to expand scale and geographic reach
  • Net cash position (net debt to EBITDA -0.22) provides financial flexibility
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical exposure to new building construction in Europe and China
  • Integration risk from TK Elevator deal could pressure margins near term
  • Low historical revenue growth limits upside if M&A synergies fail to materialize
Muutos
No change from yesterday; wacc remains at 8.0% per CAPM adjusted to sector floor, other assumptions unchanged.
Ei edellistä dataa
no changecapm alignment
GROK →
Est.
54.28
Ero
+10.3%
Conf
0.65
DCF 51.02 → Kal. 54.28
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR ~1% (2022-2025) with analyst 1Y growth 1.3%
  • Trailing EBIT margin 11.8% and EBITDA margin 13.7% provide stable base
  • Net debt/EBITDA -0.22 indicates conservative balance sheet
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical construction and infrastructure demand exposure
  • Intense competition in global elevator/escalator markets
  • FX translation risk from worldwide operations
Muutos
No material change in assumptions; fundamentals and outlook unchanged from prior day.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GPT →EI VALIDI
Est.
49.23
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V5.5%3.0%3.5%3.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite13.0%12.0%12.5%12.0%
WACC7.5%8.0%8.0%8.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)3.3%2.4%-0.9pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.3%11.3%-1.0pp
WACC8.0%8.4%+0.4pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 49.23 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali11.8%
EBITDA-marginaali13.7%
ROE35.0%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.2x
P/E26.0x
EV / EBITDA16.3x
P/B12.1x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli45.00 – 84.00
KONE Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the elevator and escalator business worldwide. The company provides elevators, escalators, automatic building doors, and integrated access control solutions, as well as maintenance and modernization solutions. It also offers KONE Office Flow, a modular connected people flow solution that delivers personalized access and enhanced user experiences in workplaces; health and well-being solutions for elevators, escalators, and doors; KONE Access, an access control system, which is integrated with elevator system and building doors; KONE Destination, a destination control system that reduce waiting and travel times; KONE infotainment, a communication channel for building tenants and visitors; and monitoring solutions that enable real-time inspection of elevators and escalators. In addition, the company provides people flow planning and consulting services; solutions for special buildings and large projects; cybersecurity solutions; and energy solutions for greener buildings. It also offers hands-on, immersive training to technicians, engineers, and service professional through a training center in Egypt. KONE Oyj was founded in 1908 an
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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