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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
KONE Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
50.74 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
49.83 €
70.00 €

5 AI-mallia arvioi KNEBV:n mediaaniksi 57.66 € (+13.6% suhteessa spotiin 50.74 €, mallien yksimielisyys 0.83). Analyytikkokonsensus 61.67 € (23 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
57.66 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+13.6%
Yksimielisyys
0.835/5 mallia
Raaka 0.83
Hajonta
σ 0.07
Analyytikkokonsensus
61.67 €(23 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia KNEBV. Avaintekijä: Transformative acquisition of TK Elevator (€29.4bn deal) expected to create w... AI-konsensusarvio 57.66 13.6% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.83). Analyytikkokonsensus: 61.67 (AI -6.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokKNEBVKONE Oyj50.7spot61.7analysts49.352.255.258.161.063.9
Pessimistinen (min)
50.74 €
0.0%
Perus (mediaani)
57.66 €
+13.6%
Optimistinen (max)
62.89 €
24.0%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:59.39→57.66(-2.9%)
no assumption changestable modeltke deal pending

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →
Est.
62.53
Ero
+23.2%
Conf
0.70
DCF 62.89 → Kal. 62.53
Avaintekijät
  • Transformative acquisition of TK Elevator (€29.4bn deal) expected to create w…
  • Post-merger scale benefits, procurement synergies, and overhead rationalizati…
  • Recurring maintenance and modernization revenues (~50%+ of sales) provide hig…
Suurin riski
  • TKE acquisition integration risk is substantial given deal size (~€29.4bn); execution c…
  • Significant leverage increase post-TKE acquisition will raise financial risk profile ma…
  • China construction slowdown remains a structural headwind given KONE's historical expos…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model; all four core inputs (revenue_cagr_5y 7%, ebit_margin_target 12.5…
Ei muutosta
no assumption changestable modeltke deal pending
GPT →
Est.
59.39
Ero
+17.0%
Conf
0.70
DCF 58.41 → Kal. 59.39
Avaintekijät
  • Expansion into new markets enhancing growth potential.
  • Acquisition of TK Elevator may increase scale and efficiency.
  • Strong product offerings in the elevator and escalator sectors.
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical nature of the industrials sector may impact revenue.
  • Increased competition in the elevator and escalator market.
  • Economic downturns could affect construction projects.
Muutos
Assumptions remain stable with a focus on the company's growth prospects post-acquisition.
Ei edellistä dataa
stableconsistent
GROK →
Est.
57.66
Ero
+13.6%
Conf
0.65
DCF 55.94 → Kal. 57.66
Avaintekijät
  • Transformative TKE acquisition adds immediate scale and revenue base
  • Historical revenue CAGR ~1% with stable maintenance mix
  • Trailing EBIT margin 11.8% provides normalized target anchor
Suurin riski
  • Integration and regulatory execution risk on €29bn TKE deal
  • Cyclical exposure to construction and capex cycles
  • Margin pressure from price competition in new equipment
Muutos
Minor refinement to revenue CAGR to reflect post-deal integration timeline; no material shift in margin or WACC assum…
Ei muutosta
acquisitionintegration
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
57.46
Ero
+13.2%
Conf
0.70
DCF 55.65 → Kal. 57.46
Avaintekijät
  • Acquisition of TK Elevator expected to create world's largest elevator compan…
  • Strong service and modernization backlog provides recurring revenue visibility
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 1.0% anchors conservative growth; deal synergies c…
Suurin riski
  • Integration risk from the large TK Elevator acquisition could pressure margins near term
  • Cyclical exposure to global construction and real estate markets
  • Regulatory and antitrust approvals for the deal may impose conditions or delays
Muutos
No material new information since yesterday; assumptions remain unchanged.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GEMINI →
Est.
50.74
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V7.0%5.0%–5.0%5.5%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.5%13.0%–14.0%12.0%
WACC8.6%8.7%–8.8%8.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%–2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)5.3%3.8%-1.4pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.8%11.2%-1.6pp
WACC8.6%9.3%+0.7pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 50.74 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali11.8%
EBITDA-marginaali13.7%
ROE35.0%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.2x
P/E26.8x
EV / EBITDA16.8x
P/B12.5x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
KONE Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the elevator and escalator business worldwide. The company provides elevators, escalators, automatic building doors, and integrated access control solutions, as well as maintenance and modernization solutions. It also offers KONE Office Flow, a modular connected people flow solution that delivers personalized access and enhanced user experiences in workplaces; health and well-being solutions for elevators, escalators, and doors; KONE Access, an access control system, which is integrated with elevator system and building doors; KONE Destination, a destination control system that reduce waiting and travel times; KONE infotainment, a communication channel for building tenants and visitors; and monitoring solutions that enable real-time inspection of elevators and escalators. In addition, the company provides people flow planning and consulting services; solutions for special buildings and large projects; cybersecurity solutions; and energy solutions for greener buildings. It also offers hands-on, immersive training to technicians, engineers, and service professional through a training center in Egypt. KONE Oyj was founded in 1908 an
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

Viimeisimmät uutiset

How The KONE (HLSE:KNEBV) Investment Story Is Shifting As Analyst Views Diverge2026-05-20
Analysis-Kone's new TK Elevator deal comes amid climate change on European champions2026-05-04
Is It Time To Rethink KONE (HLSE:KNEBV) After Recent Share Price Weakness?2026-04-30
KONE Oyj (KNYJF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Sales Growth and Strategic TKE Combination2026-04-30
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-05-22
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja