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KNEBVKONE Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
55.00 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
45.94 €
70.00 €

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
56.19 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+2.2%
Yksimielisyys
0.895/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.04
Analyytikkokonsensus
61.23 €(20 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
3 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia KNEBV. Avaintekijä: Continued strong order growth, particularly in modernization and new equipmen... AI-konsensusarvio 56.19 2.2% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.89). Analyytikkokonsensus: 61.23 (AI -8.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokKNEBVKONE Oyj55.0spot61.2analysts49.852.354.957.459.962.5
Pessimistinen (min)
46.63 €
-15.2%
Perus (mediaani)
56.19 €
+2.2%
Optimistinen (max)
55.52 €
0.9%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:56.19→56.19(+0.0%)
stable assumptions×2no-changestable-assumptions
Mallien erittely
GPT
Est.
57.23
Ero
+4.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 55.52 → Kal. 57.23
Avaintekijät
  • Strong order growth and backlog
  • Continued investments in digital solutions
  • Expansion into new markets
Suurin riski
  • Economic downturn affecting construction sectors
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Intense competition in the elevator and escalator market
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable with a slight confidence increase due to recent insights.
Ei muutosta
valuationassumptionsindustrial
CLAUDE
Est.
56.57
Ero
+2.9%
Conf
0.72
DCF 54.57 → Kal. 56.57
Avaintekijät
  • Recurring maintenance and modernization revenues (~50%+ of total sales) provi…
  • Strong order growth highlighted in Q4 2025 earnings call supports near-term r…
  • Digital and connected services (KONE DX Class, IoT monitoring, KONE Access, d…
Suurin riski
  • Prolonged weakness in Chinese new construction market remains the primary top-line head…
  • Analyst consensus projects -0.5% revenue growth in the next 12 months, suggesting near-…
  • Competitive intensity from Otis, Schindler, and TK Elevator in both new equipment and m…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day's model run; all four key inputs (WACC 8.5%, revenue CAGR 4%, terminal g…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
GROK
Est.
56.19
Ero
+2.2%
Conf
0.75
DCF 54.02 → Kal. 56.19
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 1% adjusted to 4.5% based on strong order growth h…
  • EBIT margin target of 12.5% reflects slight improvement over trailing 11.9% d…
  • Exposure to urbanization and infrastructure projects in emerging markets supp…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical nature of the industrials sector may impact revenue during economic slowdowns.
  • Geopolitical tensions or supply chain disruptions could delay projects and increase costs.
  • Competitive pressures in the elevator and escalator market may challenge margin expansion.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, reflecting no significant updates in company fundamentals or ma…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno major news
GEMINI
Est.
54.61
Ero
-0.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 51.78 → Kal. 54.61
Avaintekijät
  • Continued strong order growth, particularly in modernization and new equipmen…
  • Expansion of digital and smart building solutions enhancing service offerings…
  • Global urbanization trends and infrastructure development providing a steady …
Suurin riski
  • Cyclicality of the construction and real estate markets, impacting new equipment orders.
  • Intense competition in the global elevator and escalator industry, potentially pressuri…
  • Geopolitical instability and trade tensions affecting supply chains and market access.
Muutos
No significant changes in key valuation assumptions since yesterday's model view.
Ei muutosta
no change
DEEPSEEK
Est.
51.01
Ero
-7.3%
Conf
0.65
DCF 46.63 → Kal. 51.01
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR (2022-2025) is 1.0%, providing a low-growth baseline.
  • Analyst 1-year revenue growth estimate is -0.5%, indicating near-term headwinds.
  • Company reports strong order growth in Q4 2025, suggesting potential for futu…
Suurin riski
  • Revenue growth has been minimal historically (~1% CAGR), posing a risk to achieving hig…
  • Industrial sector cyclicality could impact order flow and project timing.
  • Intense competition in elevator and escalator market may pressure pricing and margins.
Muutos
No material changes to assumptions; maintaining conservative growth and margin targets based on historical performanc…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno material change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V4.0%2.5%2.5%4.0%4.5%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite13.0%12.5%12.5%14.0%12.5%
WACC8.5%8.7%8.0%8.8%8.6%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali11.9%
EBITDA-marginaali13.6%
ROE35.0%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.5x
P/E29.1x
EV / EBITDA18.1x
P/B10.2x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

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