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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Meta Platforms Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-06-17🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
600.21 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$520.26
$796.25

Tilanne 2026-06-17: 5 AI-mallia arvioi META:n mediaaniksi 854.11 USD (+42.3% suhteessa spotiin 600.21 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.70). Analyytikkokonsensus 827.32 USD (59 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$854.11
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+42.3%
Yksimielisyys
0.705/5 mallia
Raaka 0.62
Hajonta
σ 0.14
Analyytikkokonsensus
$827.32(59 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia META. Avaintekijä: Continued strong growth and monetization of the Family of Apps (Facebook, Ins... AI-konsensusarvio 854.11 42.3% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on kohtalainen (0.70). Analyytikkokonsensus: 827.32 (AI +3.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokMETAMeta Platfo…600.2spot827.3analysts5566477398319221014
Pessimistinen (min)
$606.40
1.0%
Perus (mediaani)
$854.11
+42.3%
Optimistinen (max)
$1030.33
71.7%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:845.41→854.11(+1.0%)
no-change×2stable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold

Mallien erittely

GEMINI →
Est.
969.43
Ero
+61.5%
Conf
0.80
DCF 1030.33 → Kal. 969.43
Avaintekijät
  • Continued strong growth and monetization of the Family of Apps (Facebook, Ins…
  • Significant investments in AI and its integration across all products, enhanc…
  • Potential long-term returns from Reality Labs' virtual and augmented reality …
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from other social media platforms and emerging technologies.
  • High capital expenditures and uncertain returns on investment in Reality Labs and AI in…
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions impacting business operations and g…
Muutos
No significant changes in core valuation assumptions since yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GPT →
Est.
876.57
Ero
+46.0%
Conf
0.70
DCF 897.68 → Kal. 876.57
Avaintekijät
  • Strong revenue growth driven by new product offerings
  • Expanding market presence in virtual and augmented reality
  • Continued investment in AI technology
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory challenges in key markets
  • High competition in digital advertising
  • Potential shifts in user engagement trends
Muutos
No significant changes in key assumptions since yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
summaryno-change
CLAUDE →
Est.
854.11
Ero
+42.3%
Conf
0.74
DCF 865.59 → Kal. 854.11
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~19.9% (2022–2025) anchors strong near-term growth…
  • Threads reaching 500 million users (per Yahoo Finance headline, June 2026) si…
  • Family of Apps segment generates dominant, high-margin advertising revenue (~…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and antitrust risk: ongoing FTC litigation, EU Digital Markets Act complianc…
  • Heavy AI infrastructure capex (~$70B annually) creates execution risk if AI monetizatio…
  • Advertising market cyclicality: a macro downturn or shift in digital ad spending could …
Muutos
No material changes to core assumptions versus the prior day model. All four valuation inputs (WACC 10.5%, revenue CA…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
GROK →
Est.
680.30
Ero
+13.3%
Conf
0.65
DCF 617.30 → Kal. 680.30
Avaintekijät
  • FoA segment delivers 38.7% trailing EBIT margin with strong ad monetization
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 19.9% (2022-2025) provides base for forward growth
  • Low net debt/EBITDA of 0.05 supports capital-light scaling
Suurin riski
  • Continued high capex in AI and Reality Labs may pressure margins longer than expected
  • Regulatory scrutiny on data privacy and AI deployment
  • Ad revenue cyclicality tied to macro conditions
Muutos
No material change in assumptions; fundamentals and market anchors remain consistent with prior day.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
672.68
Ero
+12.1%
Conf
0.65
DCF 606.40 → Kal. 672.68
Avaintekijät
  • Historical 3-year revenue CAGR of 19.9% (2022-2025) provides a strong base fo…
  • Family of Apps (FoA) segment continues to generate high-margin advertising re…
  • Reality Labs (RL) segment represents a long-term growth option in VR/AR, but …
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory headwinds in the US and EU (e.g., antitrust, data privacy) could constrain a…
  • Reality Labs segment may fail to achieve commercial viability, leading to sustained mar…
  • Intensifying competition from TikTok, Google, and emerging AI platforms could erode use…
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from prior day; all four key inputs remain identical.
Ei muutosta
no change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V16.0%12.0%22.0%19.7%15.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite42.0%40.0%39.0%40.0%39.0%
WACC10.5%10.5%11.5%11.5%11.5%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)16.0%14.2%-1.8pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite40.0%35.6%-4.4pp
WACC11.5%12.3%+0.8pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $600.21 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali38.7%
EBITDA-marginaali50.8%
ROE32.5%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.1x
P/E21.6x
EV / EBITDA14.0x
P/B6.3x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli664.46 – 1015.00
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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