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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Meta Platforms Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-08-28🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
571.10 USD
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$520.26
$790.80

Tilanne 2026-08-28: 5 AI-mallia arvioi META:n mediaaniksi 790.58 USD (+38.4% suhteessa spotiin 571.10 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 0.66). Analyytikkokonsensus 754.72 USD (57 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$790.58
Mallin puhdas arvio — ei analyytikkosekoitusta
Ero
+38.4%
Yksimielisyys
0.665/5 mallia
Raaka 0.66
Hajonta
σ 17.2%
Analyytikkokonsensus
$754.72(57 analyytikkoa)
Kalibroitu sekoitus (tutkimussarja)
$779.82
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia META. Avaintekijä: AI-Driven Ad Optimization: Integration of Meta AI across Instagram, Facebook,... AI-konsensusarvio 790.58 38.4% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on kohtalainen (0.66). Analyytikkokonsensus: 754.72 (AI +4.8%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokMETAMeta Platfo…571.1spot754.7analysts460553646740833926
Pessimistinen (min)
$504.97
-11.6%
Perus (mediaani)
$790.58
+38.4%
Optimistinen (max)
$881.02
54.3%
Bear/Base/Bull: mallien oma haarukka (12 kk:n arvot)

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:790.58→790.58(+0.0%)
CAGR
-2.0pp(1 ↓)
MARG
-1.0pp(1 ↓)
no-change×2stable-assumptionsday-over-day-consistent

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-08-21 → 2026-08-28: META: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui $827.50 → $790.58 (-4.5 %); mediaani-WACC 10.5 % → 10.5 % (+0.00 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.5 % → 2.5 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 10.6 % → 17.2 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-08-21)Nyt (2026-08-28)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio$827.50$790.58-4.5%
Mediaani-WACC10.50%10.50%+0.00 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.50%2.50%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)15.0%14.0%-1.00 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite38.0%37.0%-1.00 pp
Mallien hajonta σ10.6%17.2%+6.65 pp

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →
Est.
881.02
Ero
+54.3%
Conf
0.75
DCF 881.02 → Kal. 843.13
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~19.9% (2022–2025) provides a strong anchor; moder…
  • AI integration across Family of Apps (Meta AI assistant, Llama models, Advant…
  • Reels monetization on Instagram and Facebook remains a structural tailwind; W…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and legal risk: the ~$18B child-safety settlement (Yahoo Finance, 2026-08-28…
  • Capex intensity at ~30.5% of revenue compresses near-term free cash flow and raises exe…
  • Reality Labs segment continues to generate significant operating losses with an uncerta…
Muutos
All four core assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model run. Today's key development — additional Yahoo Financ…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-consistent
GEMINI →
Est.
821.36
Ero
+43.8%
Conf
0.85
DCF 821.36 → Kal. 801.37
Avaintekijät
  • AI-Driven Ad Optimization: Integration of Meta AI across Instagram, Facebook,…
  • Robust Core Advertising Revenue: Strong monetization of Reels and click-to-me…
  • Elevated Capital Expenditure: Substantial infrastructure investments (capex a…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and Legal Challenges: The massive $18 billion settlement over child-safety c…
  • Monetization Timeline of AI: Risk of delayed or lower-than-expected returns on massive …
  • Intense Social Media Competition: Persistent competition for user attention and short-f…
Muutos
Assumptions remain unchanged as core financial metrics and market anchors continue to reflect robust ad monetization …
Ei muutosta
stable outlookregulatory settlement
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
790.58
Ero
+38.4%
Conf
0.72
DCF 790.58 → Kal. 779.82
Avaintekijät
  • Advertising demand remains resilient, with AI-driven targeting, ranking, and …
  • Family of Apps operating leverage should help sustain EBIT margins near curre…
  • The reported $18 billion child-safety settlement adds regulatory cost uncerta…
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory and litigation exposure remains elevated, including the reported $18 billion…
  • Sustained high capex into AI infrastructure and Reality Labs may pressure near-term EBI…
  • Digital advertising is cyclical and sensitive to macroeconomic conditions.
Muutos
No material change in core assumptions; WACC, revenue growth, margin target, and terminal growth remain at prior levels.
Ei muutosta
no-changeassumptions-steady
GROK →
Est.
790.58
Ero
+38.4%
Conf
0.55
DCF 790.58 → Kal. 779.82
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR 19.9% (2022-2025) provides growth baseline
  • Trailing EBIT margin 36.5% supports high steady-state target
  • Beta 1.24 and low net debt support WACC near 10.5%
Suurin riski
  • Heavy capex (30.5% of revenue) in Reality Labs
  • Regulatory and legal risks around addiction claims
  • Potential margin pressure from AI and hardware investments
Muutos
No material change in core assumptions; calibrated to same derived ratios and beta.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GPT →
Est.
504.97
Ero
-11.6%
Conf
0.58
DCF 504.97 → Kal. 579.89
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 19.9% is strong, but a 5-year forecast should mode…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 36.5% is already high, supporting a steady-state targ…
  • Beta of 1.243 and the US large-cap tech CAPM context support a WACC around 11…
Suurin riski
  • Reality Labs and AI infrastructure spending could keep capex elevated and delay free-ca…
  • Regulatory and litigation pressure may constrain monetization or raise compliance costs.
  • Advertising demand remains cyclical and could slow if macro conditions weaken.
Muutos
Assumptions are broadly stable. Growth is kept slightly below the historical rate to reflect maturation, while margin…
CAGR
-2.0pp
MARG
-1.0pp
growth moderationmargin holdcapm wacc

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V15.0%14.0%14.5%9.0%
-2.0pp
14.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite40.0%37.0%37.0%38.0%
-1.0pp
37.0%
WACC10.8%10.5%10.5%11.0%10.5%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.5%2.0%2.5%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)14.0%11.7%-2.3pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite37.0%31.7%-5.3pp
WACC10.5%11.5%+1.0pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $571.10 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali36.5%
EBITDA-marginaali48.0%
ROE31.3%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.2x
P/E21.4x
EV / EBITDA13.5x
P/B5.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli580.00 – 1000.00
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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