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METSOMetso Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
15.09 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
7.49 €
17.91 €

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
14.40 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-4.6%
Yksimielisyys
0.855/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.06
Analyytikkokonsensus
17.01 €(18 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia METSO. Huomioitavaa: The industrial sector, particularly mining and construction, is subject to cy... AI-konsensusarvio 14.40 4.6% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.85). Analyytikkokonsensus: 17.01 (AI -15.3%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokMETSOMetso Oyj15.1spot17.0analysts12.313.314.415.416.517.5
Pessimistinen (min)
11.02 €
-27.0%
Perus (mediaani)
14.40 €
-4.6%
Optimistinen (max)
14.76 €
-2.2%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:14.40→14.40(+0.0%)
CAGR
-0.2pp(1 ↓)
MARG
-0.3pp(1 ↓)
WACC
+0.1pp(1 ↑)
no-changeassumptions-stableconfidence-nudge-up
Mallien erittely
GEMINI
Est.
15.43
Ero
+2.3%
Conf
0.80
DCF 14.76 → Kal. 15.43
Avaintekijät
  • Recent significant contract wins (e.g., Tia Maria, Blackwater Mine, Lumwana, …
  • Metso's comprehensive portfolio of technologies and services for aggregates, …
  • The company's global presence across Europe, Americas, Asia Pacific, and othe…
Suurin riski
  • The industrial sector, particularly mining and construction, is subject to cyclical dem…
  • Geopolitical instability, trade policies, and supply chain disruptions could impact Met…
  • Intense competition in the industrial equipment and services market may pressure margin…
Muutos
No significant changes in key valuation assumptions since yesterday.
Ei muutosta
no change
GROK
Est.
14.76
Ero
-2.2%
Conf
0.75
DCF 13.79 → Kal. 14.76
Avaintekijät
  • Recent contracts for major mining projects (e.g., Tia Maria, Blackwater Mine)…
  • Revenue CAGR of 6% reflects industry tailwinds in mining and aggregates, abov…
  • EBIT margin target of 14.5% assumes slight improvement over trailing 13.8% du…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical nature of industrials may lead to revenue fluctuations during economic slowdowns.
  • Net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.28 could limit financial flexibility in adverse conditions.
  • Geopolitical instability in key markets like Africa and the Middle East may impact oper…
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, with no significant changes in key inputs due to stable recent …
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsconsistent outlook
CLAUDE
Est.
14.40
Ero
-4.6%
Conf
0.70
DCF 13.28 → Kal. 14.40
Avaintekijät
  • Analyst consensus 1Y revenue growth estimate of 13.4% signals meaningful near…
  • Critical minerals and energy transition tailwinds — copper, graphite, gold pr…
  • High-margin aftermarket services (spare and wear parts, mill liners, screenin…
Suurin riski
  • Earnings growth consensus of -36.8% for 1Y reflects near-term EPS headwinds; margin pre…
  • Cyclical exposure to mining capex: a commodity price downturn or tightening credit cond…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of only 1.8% (2022–2025) reflects prior cycle weakness; sustain…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's baseline; all four core inputs (WACC 8.7%, revenue CAGR 5.5%, EBIT margin …
Ei muutosta
no-changeassumptions-stableconfidence-nudge-up
GPT
Est.
14.33
Ero
-5.0%
Conf
0.70
DCF 13.18 → Kal. 14.33
Avaintekijät
  • Expansion in aggregates and minerals segments
  • Strong order backlog in mining equipment
  • Increasing sustainability partnerships
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical nature of industrial demand
  • Potential supply chain disruptions
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable, reflecting modest growth prospects and recovery in margins.
Ei muutosta
valuationassumptions
DEEPSEEK
Est.
12.81
Ero
-15.1%
Conf
0.75
DCF 11.02 → Kal. 12.81
Avaintekijät
  • Multiple recent contract wins (Tia Maria, Blackwater Mine, Eva Copper, Nouvea…
  • Analyst consensus projects 13.4% revenue growth for next year, indicating str…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 13.8% provides solid base; target margin reflects sli…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical exposure to mining and construction capital expenditure, which can be volatile…
  • High net debt to EBITDA (1.28x) could limit financial flexibility in a downturn.
  • Recent earnings growth estimate is negative (-36.8%), indicating potential near-term pr…
Muutos
Updated to reflect current spot price and additional contract news (Tia Maria project), with slight adjustments to re…
CAGR
-0.2pp
MARG
-0.3pp
WACC
+0.1pp
updated spotnew contractswacc adjustment

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V5.5%4.0%
-0.2pp
8.0%5.0%6.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite14.5%13.5%
-0.3pp
14.0%15.0%14.5%
WACC8.7%8.8%
+0.1pp
9.0%8.7%8.7%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali13.8%
EBITDA-marginaali16.4%
ROE18.1%
Nettovelka / EBITDA1.3x
P/E25.9x
EV / EBITDA15.8x
P/B4.7x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

Viimeisimmät uutiset

Metso secures contract for Tia Maria project in Peru2026-03-30
European Equities: 3 Stocks That May Be Priced Below Intrinsic Estimates2026-03-27
Assessing Metso Oyj (HLSE:METSO) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness2026-03-08
Metso to supply equipment for Blackwater Mine phase two project in Canada2026-03-06
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-04-03
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja