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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Metso Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
15.25 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
10.09 €
17.91 €

5 AI-mallia arvioi METSO:n mediaaniksi 13.14 € (-13.8% suhteessa spotiin 15.25 €, mallien yksimielisyys 0.91). Analyytikkokonsensus 16.93 € (19 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
13.14 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-13.8%
Yksimielisyys
0.915/5 mallia
Raaka 0.86
Hajonta
σ 0.03
Analyytikkokonsensus
16.93 €(19 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia METSO. Huomioitavaa: Economic fluctuations impacting capital investment in industrials. AI-konsensusarvio 13.14 13.8% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.91). Analyytikkokonsensus: 16.93 (AI -22.4%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokMETSOMetso Oyj15.3spot16.9analysts12.513.414.415.416.417.4
Pessimistinen (min)
11.21 €
-26.5%
Perus (mediaani)
13.14 €
-13.8%
Optimistinen (max)
12.68 €
-16.8%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:13.91→13.14(-5.5%)
CAGR
+0.1pp(1 ↑)
no-assumption-changestable-outlookconfidence-stable

Mallien erittely

GPT →
Est.
13.95
Ero
-8.5%
Conf
0.80
DCF 12.68 → Kal. 13.95
Avaintekijät
  • Robust order backlog indicates strong near-term revenue visibility.
  • Recent contracts show growing demand in aggregates and minerals processing.
  • Strategic investments expected to enhance operational efficiency.
Suurin riski
  • Economic fluctuations impacting capital investment in industrials.
  • Competition affecting pricing and market share.
  • Supply chain disruptions could impact production timelines.
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable with improved insight into revenue visibility.
Ei edellistä dataa
valuationmetsoassumptions
CLAUDE →
Est.
13.91
Ero
-8.8%
Conf
0.71
DCF 12.62 → Kal. 13.91
Avaintekijät
  • Structural demand for copper, gold, and critical minerals driven by energy tr…
  • High-margin aftermarket services (spare/wear parts, digital twins, automation…
  • Analyst consensus projects 3.3% revenue growth in next 12 months and 7% EPS g…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclicality of mining and aggregates capex: a downturn in commodity prices or mining in…
  • Geopolitical and trade risks in key markets (South America, Africa, Greater China) coul…
  • Currency exposure: revenues and costs span multiple currencies; EUR strength vs USD and…
Muutos
All four key assumptions remain unchanged from yesterday's model (WACC 8.8%, revenue CAGR 5%, EBIT margin target 14.5…
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changestable-outlookconfidence-stable
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
13.14
Ero
-13.8%
Conf
0.70
DCF 11.51 → Kal. 13.14
Avaintekijät
  • Large mining project orders (Tia Maria, Blackwater, Eva Copper) provide multi…
  • Minerals segment benefits from global mining capex cycle driven by copper and…
  • Service and aftermarket business offers recurring revenue and margin stability
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical exposure to mining and construction end markets; downturn could reduce revenue…
  • Commodity price volatility may delay or cancel mining project orders
  • Geopolitical risks in Peru, Chile, and other emerging markets where projects are located
Muutos
No material change in assumptions versus yesterday's model. Revenue CAGR, margin target, WACC, and terminal growth re…
Ei muutosta
no change
GEMINI →
Est.
13.05
Ero
-14.4%
Conf
0.75
DCF 11.38 → Kal. 13.05
Avaintekijät
  • Strong demand for minerals processing and aggregates equipment, evidenced by …
  • High trailing EBIT margin, indicating efficient operations and a valuable ser…
  • Global presence across diverse geographies, providing a diversified revenue b…
Suurin riski
  • Cyclicality of the mining and construction industries, which can impact equipment and s…
  • Geopolitical risks and economic downturns affecting global project development and supp…
  • Volatility in commodity prices, which can influence customer investment decisions in ne…
Muutos
No valid prior model output available for comparison due to a server error yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
no previous data
GROK →
Est.
12.93
Ero
-15.2%
Conf
0.72
DCF 11.21 → Kal. 12.93
Avaintekijät
  • New project contracts (Tia Maria, Blackwater, Eva Copper) support near-term v…
  • Historical revenue CAGR 1.8% (2022-2025) with analyst 1Y revenue growth est. …
  • Trailing EBIT margin 13.7% within sector norms; target assumes modest expansion
Suurin riski
  • Cyclical exposure to mining and construction end-markets
  • Commodity price and capex cycle volatility
  • Execution risk on large multi-year equipment projects
Muutos
Minor upward revision to revenue CAGR reflecting additional project wins; other assumptions stable.
CAGR
+0.1pp
stable outlookminor revision

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V5.0%4.0%4.5%4.0%4.3%
+0.1pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite14.5%14.0%14.0%15.0%14.0%
WACC8.8%8.7%9.0%8.5%9.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)4.3%8.0%+3.7pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite14.0%19.0%+5.0pp
WACC8.8%7.3%-1.5pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 15.25 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali13.7%
EBITDA-marginaali16.3%
ROE18.1%
Nettovelka / EBITDA1.3x
P/E26.2x
EV / EBITDA16.0x
P/B4.5x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals. The company provides various equipment, parts, and services for contractors, aggregates quarries, manufacturing sand, slag recycling, and construction and demolition waste recycling; mobile equipment; and stationary equipment, such as crushers, screens, crushing and screening plants, conveyors, chutes, feeders, and air classifiers. It also offers loading and hauling, crushing, conveying, screening, grinding, floatation, magnetic separation, filtration, material and slurry handling, thickening and clarifying, hydrometallurgy, in-pit crush and convey, tailing management, digital twins, and automation services. In addition, the company provides spare and wear parts, including haul truck liners, crusher spares and wears, conveyor parts, screen/feeder spares, screening media, mill liners and spares, floatation and filtration parts, stacker reclaimers parts, apron feeder parts,
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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