Historical revenue CAGR of 16.1% (FY2023–FY2026: $212B→$332B) provides a stro…
Azure Intelligent Cloud remains the primary growth engine; AI consumption ser…
Microsoft 365 Copilot monetization adds a high-margin software layer on top o…
Suurin riski
Massive capex commitment (~34.9% of revenue, ~$116B annualized) for AI infrastructure c…
OpenAI partnership dependency and competitive pressure from Google (Gemini/GCP), Amazon…
Regulatory scrutiny in the EU and US around cloud market dominance, AI governance, and …
Muutos
All four core assumptions are unchanged from yesterday (2026-10-15): revenue_cagr_5y 15%, ebit_margin_target 48%, WAC…
Arvostusoletukset
CLAUDE
DEEPSEEK
GEMINI
GPT
GROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V
15.0%
12.0%
15.0%
11.0%
+0.5pp
14.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite
48.0%
44.0%
47.0%
49.0%
-1.0pp
45.0%
WACC
10.0%
9.5%
10.0%
10.0%
10.0%
Terminaalikasvu
3.0%
2.0%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?
Oletus
AI-konsensus
Markkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)
14.0%
16.4%
+2.4pp
WACC
10.0%
9.1%
-0.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $539.44 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali46.8%
EBITDA-marginaali58.5%
ROE30.2%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.3x
P/E29.9x
EV / EBITDA20.9x
P/B9.1x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli440.00 – 870.00
Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. Its products include operating systems, server applications, business solution applications, software development tools, desktop and server management tools, and video games; and devices, such as PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other intelligent devices, and related accessories. The company's Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot, and Windows Commercial on-premises and Office licensed on-premises. This segment also provides Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, including talent solutions, marketing solutions, subscriptions, and sales solutions; Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based applications; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. Its Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services; cloud and AI consumption-based services, GitHub cloud services, health and life sciences cloud services, as well as vi
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Tietoa · Metodologia · Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja
3 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia MSFT.
Huomioitavaa: Substantial ongoing capital expenditure commitments for AI hardware and data ...
AI-konsensusarvio 498.93 7.5% alle nykyhinnan.
Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.75).
Analyytikkokonsensus: 596.22 (AI -16.3%).
Pessimistinen (min)
$432.77
-19.8%
Perus (mediaani)
$498.93
-7.5%
Optimistinen (max)
$573.78
6.4%
Bear/Base/Bull: mallien oma haarukka (12 kk:n arvot)