15.14 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
9.66 €
17.11 €
AI-konsensus
Mallin arvio
17.01 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+12.3%
Yksimielisyys
0.965/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.02
Analyytikkokonsensus
17.03 €(9 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia NDA1V. Avaintekijä: Efficiency gains are anticipated from the implementation of AI and planned jo... AI-konsensusarvio 17.01 12.3% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.96). Analyytikkokonsensus: 17.03 (AI -0.1%).Pessimistinen (min)
16.82 €
11.1%
Perus (mediaani)
17.01 €
+12.3%
Optimistinen (max)
17.80 €
17.5%
Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli
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Mikä muuttui tänään
Konsensusarvio:17.01→17.01(+0.0%)
CAGR-1.7pp(1 ↓)
stable×2no assumption changestable outlook
Mallien erittely
GEMINI
DCF 17.80 → Kal. 17.57
Avaintekijät
- Efficiency gains are anticipated from the implementation of AI and planned jo…
- Potential strategic expansion through Danish pension deals could contribute t…
- Diversified banking operations across the stable Nordic region provide a resi…
Suurin riski
- Execution risk associated with restructuring and AI integration could impact expected c…
- A potential economic slowdown in the Nordic region could reduce loan demand, increase c…
- Regulatory changes in the financial sector could impose new compliance costs and capita…
Muutos
CAGR-1.7pp
assumptions adjustedrevenue growth revised
GROK
DCF 17.45 → Kal. 17.33
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 6.6% moderated to 4.5% to account for near-term an…
- Trailing ROE of 14.8% supports a target ROE of 14.5%, reflecting sustained pr…
- Efficiency initiatives, including AI-driven job cuts (up to 1,500), expected …
Suurin riski
- Near-term revenue contraction risk as indicated by analyst 1Y estimate of -3.9%.
- Restructuring costs ($219M) and planned job cuts may impact short-term operational stab…
- Interest rate volatility in key markets could affect net interest margins, a core reven…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno update
GPT
Avaintekijät
- Strong presence in Nordic markets
- Potential for margin improvement through efficiency initiatives
- Focus on digital banking solutions and AI integration
Suurin riski
- Economic downturn affecting lending and growth
- Regulatory changes in financial services
- Competition from fintech and non-traditional banks
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
stableno changes
DEEPSEEK
DCF 16.89 → Kal. 16.93
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 6.6% (2022-2025) provides a strong base, but near-…
- Restructuring and AI-driven efficiency push (up to 1,500 job cuts) expected t…
- Low beta (0.54) indicates lower systematic risk, partially offsetting typical…
Suurin riski
- Near-term revenue growth is negative per analyst consensus (-3.9%), posing a challenge …
- Restructuring costs ($219M) will impact short-term profitability.
- Net debt is substantial (€165B), reflecting banking business model and interest rate se…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
stable
CLAUDE
DCF 16.82 → Kal. 16.88
Avaintekijät
- Historical net revenue CAGR of ~6.6% (2022-2025) was driven by Nordic interes…
- AI-driven efficiency programme targeting up to 1,500 job cuts and EUR ~200M r…
- Trailing ROE of 14.8% is above Nordic peer average; sustainable ROE target of…
Suurin riski
- Nordic interest rate normalisation: ECB and Riksbank rate cuts could compress net inter…
- Analyst 1-year revenue growth estimate of -3.9% signals near-term headwinds; if rate cu…
- Restructuring execution risk: EUR ~200M charge and 1,500 job cuts may face delays or co…
Muutos
Ei muutosta
no assumption changestable outlookconfidence unchanged
Arvostusoletukset
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% -1.7pp | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| ROE-tavoite | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| WACC | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Terminaalikasvu | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali–%
EBITDA-marginaali–%
ROE14.8%
Nettovelka / EBITDA–x
P/E10.7x
EV / EBITDA–x
P/B1.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
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