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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Nokia Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHtechnology⚠ Suurin erimielisyys #1
12.10 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
3.42 €
12.40 €

5 AI-mallia arvioi NOKIA:n mediaaniksi 7.51 € (-37.9% suhteessa spotiin 12.10 €, mallien yksimielisyys 0.55). Analyytikkokonsensus 9.24 € (22 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
7.51 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-37.9%
Yksimielisyys
0.554/5 mallia ⚠
Raaka 0.48
Hajonta
σ 0.28
Analyytikkokonsensus
9.24 €(22 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia NOKIA. Huomioitavaa: Intense competition in telecommunications market AI-konsensusarvio 7.51 37.9% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on kohtalainen (0.55). Analyytikkokonsensus: 9.24 (AI -18.7%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokNOKIANokia Oyj12.1spot9.2analysts6.007.358.7010.111.412.8
Pessimistinen (min)
5.54 €
-54.2%
Perus (mediaani)
7.51 €
-37.9%
Optimistinen (max)
12.10 €
0.0%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:6.82→7.51(+10.1%)
valuationNokiatechnology

Mallien erittely

GEMINI →
Est.
12.10
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
GPT →
Est.
7.51
Ero
-37.9%
Conf
0.60
DCF 6.76 → Kal. 7.51
Avaintekijät
  • Investment in AI and 5G technology
  • Expansion in cloud and network services
  • Recovery in global telecom spending
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition in telecommunications market
  • Economic factors affecting customer budgets
  • Regulatory challenges in international markets
Muutos
Valuation assumptions reflect a cautious approach considering market dynamics and potential growth areas.
Ei edellistä dataa
valuationNokiatechnology
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
6.65
Ero
-45.0%
Conf
0.55
DCF 5.54 → Kal. 6.65
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of -5.8% (2022-2025) reflects declining legacy networ…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 3.9% is well below technology sector average; margin …
  • Net cash position (net debt/EBITDA -0.99) provides financial flexibility for …
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from Huawei, Ericsson, and Samsung could pressure market share and …
  • Telecom operator capex cycles are lumpy; a downturn in 5G spending could delay revenue …
  • Patent licensing revenue (Nokia Technologies) is volatile and subject to legal/regulato…
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. The spot price has increased slightly but fundamentals rema…
Ei muutosta
no change
GROK →ADJ
Est.
6.65
Ero
-45.0%
Conf
0.55
DCF 5.54 → Kal. 6.65
Avaintekijät
  • Modest recovery in network infrastructure and 5G spending
  • Margin expansion via cost discipline and mix shift to software/services
  • Low net debt provides balance-sheet flexibility
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition and pricing pressure in RAN and optical
  • Carrier capex cyclicality and project delays
  • Execution risk on cloud and enterprise transition
Muutos
Assumptions held steady; minor upward revision to near-term growth outlook based on latest revenue estimate.
Ei muutosta
growth outlookmargin stability
CLAUDE →EI VALIDI
Est.
12.10
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

DEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V2.0%–3.0%3.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite8.0%–12.0%8.0%
WACC9.5%–9.0%9.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%–2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)3.0%15.7%+12.7pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite8.0%25.7%+17.7pp
WACC9.0%5.0%-4.0pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 12.10 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali3.9%
EBITDA-marginaali12.7%
ROE3.7%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-1.0x
P/E87.3x
EV / EBITDA25.6x
P/B3.2x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The company offers fixed network solutions, such as fiber and copper technologies, access infrastructure, in-home Wi-Fi solutions, and cloud and virtualization services; IP network solutions, which delivers IP edge routing and data center networking solutions for residential, mobile, enterprise, and cloud applications; and optical networks solutions, which provides optical transport networks for metro, regional, and long-haul applications. It also provides mobile technology products and services for radio access networks and microwave radio links for transport networks; and network management solutions, as well as network planning, optimization, network deployment, and technical support services. In addition, the company offers cloud and network services, including open, secure, automated, and scalable software and solutions; and 5G core, secure autonomous networks, pr
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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