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NOKIANokia Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHtechnology
7.35 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
3.42 €
7.54 €

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
6.08 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-17.3%
Yksimielisyys
0.835/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.07
Analyytikkokonsensus
6.62 €(21 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia NOKIA. Huomioitavaa: Intense competition from established players like Ericsson, Huawei, and Samsu... AI-konsensusarvio 6.08 17.3% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.83). Analyytikkokonsensus: 6.62 (AI -8.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokNOKIANokia Oyj7.3spot6.6analysts5.015.536.056.567.087.60
Pessimistinen (min)
4.67 €
-36.4%
Perus (mediaani)
6.08 €
-17.3%
Optimistinen (max)
6.50 €
-11.6%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:6.086.08(+0.0%)
CAGR
+0.2pp(1 ↑)
MARG
+1.0pp(1 ↑)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
Mallien erittely
GPT
Est.
6.53
Ero
-11.2%
Conf
0.70
DCF 6.50Kal. 6.53
Avaintekijät
  • Expansion in 5G and AI technology markets
  • Digital transformation driving demand for network infrastructure
  • Potential for margin improvement through cost management
Suurin riski
  • Competitive pressure from peers in technology sector
  • Economic downturn affecting telecom spending
  • Dependence on supply chain stability
Muutos
No significant changes in assumptions; consistent with prior outlook.
Ei edellistä dataa
valuationstability
GROK
Est.
6.21
Ero
-15.5%
Conf
0.75
DCF 6.03Kal. 6.21
Avaintekijät
  • Analyst consensus of 2.4% revenue growth for the next year provides a near-te…
  • Focus on 5G core and cloud services expected to drive growth in mobile networ…
  • EBIT margin target of 8.5% reflects expected improvement from current 3.9% th…
Suurin riski
  • Historical revenue decline (-5.8% CAGR) poses a challenge if turnaround strategies in 5…
  • Low trailing EBIT margin (3.9%) indicates ongoing profitability pressures that may pers…
  • Competitive intensity in network infrastructure and mobile networks could compress marg…
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's outlook, with no significant changes in revenue growth or margin expec…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsminor update
GEMINI
Est.
6.08
Ero
-17.3%
Conf
0.75
DCF 5.85Kal. 6.08
Avaintekijät
  • Global 5G network build-out and modernization cycles are expected to drive de…
  • Expansion into enterprise and private networks with new AI-driven solutions c…
  • Successful execution of cost efficiency programs and operational leverage fro…
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from established players like Ericsson, Huawei, and Samsung in the …
  • Macroeconomic slowdowns or reduced capital expenditures by major telecom operators coul…
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions could affect market access, supply chains,…
Muutos
No significant changes in core valuation assumptions compared to yesterday's model.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
CLAUDE
Est.
5.95
Ero
-19.0%
Conf
0.68
DCF 5.66Kal. 5.95
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of -5.8% (2022-2025) reflects a telecom capex downcyc…
  • 5G network densification, Nokia's Virgin Media O2 5G deal, and North American…
  • Nvidia's multi-billion-dollar commitment to Nokia (March 2026) and broader AI…
Suurin riski
  • Analyst consensus 1-year EPS growth estimate of -40.8% signals near-term earnings headw…
  • Revenue CAGR could disappoint if global telecom operator capex remains constrained or i…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 3.9% and trailing ROE of 3.0% highlight structural profitabilit…
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model (wacc 8.8%, revenue_cagr_5y 3%, terminal_g…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
DEEPSEEK
Est.
5.26
Ero
-28.4%
Conf
0.65
DCF 4.67Kal. 5.26
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue declined -5.8% CAGR (2022-2025), but analyst consensus pro…
  • Recent 5G deal with Virgin Media O2 and AI partnerships may provide new reven…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 3.9% is below target; assumes operational improvement…
Suurin riski
  • Revenue has declined for three consecutive years (2022-2025), indicating structural hea…
  • Trailing ROE is low at 3.0%, suggesting poor historical profitability.
  • Competitive pressure in telecom equipment from Ericsson, Huawei, and others.
Muutos
Maintained WACC and terminal growth unchanged, slightly increased revenue growth assumption to reflect analyst consen…
CAGR
+0.2pp
MARG
+1.0pp
stableminor-adjustmentgrowth-up

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V3.0%1.2%
+0.2pp
3.5%2.0%4.5%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite9.0%8.0%
+1.0pp
9.0%12.0%8.5%
WACC8.8%9.5%8.8%8.7%9.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali3.9%
EBITDA-marginaali12.3%
ROE3.0%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.8x
P/E65.2x
EV / EBITDA16.0x
P/B2.0x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli

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