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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
NVIDIA Corporation markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
219.51 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$129.16
$236.54

5 AI-mallia arvioi NVDA:n mediaaniksi 209.91 USD (-4.4% suhteessa spotiin 219.51 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 278.03 USD (57 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$209.91
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-4.4%
Yksimielisyys
1.003/5 mallia ⚠
Raaka 1.00
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$278.03(57 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
3 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia NVDA. Huomioitavaa: Intensifying competition from other semiconductor companies and the developme... AI-konsensusarvio 209.91 4.4% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 278.03 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokNVDANVIDIA Corp…219.5spot278.0analysts202219236252269286
Pessimistinen (min)
$180.72
-17.7%
Perus (mediaani)
$209.91
-4.4%
Optimistinen (max)
$180.72
-17.7%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:209.91→209.91(+0.0%)
CAGR
+1.0pp(1 ↑)
MARG
+1.0pp(1 ↑)
WACC
+0.2pp(1 ↑)
no changestable outlookno significant change

Mallien erittely

DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
209.91
Ero
-4.4%
Conf
0.65
DCF 180.72 → Kal. 209.91
Avaintekijät
  • Data center AI infrastructure demand remains strong, driving revenue growth.
  • Compute & Networking segment benefits from accelerated computing and networki…
  • Strategic partnerships (Tech Mahindra, Lumentum) expand AI and optics capabil…
Suurin riski
  • High beta (2.24) indicates significant market and sector volatility.
  • Competition in AI chips and data center solutions could pressure margins.
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions may impact supply chain and sales.
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. Revenue CAGR, EBIT margin, WACC, and terminal growth remain…
Ei muutosta
no change
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
209.91
Ero
-4.4%
Conf
0.80
DCF 180.72 → Kal. 209.91
Avaintekijät
  • Dominance in AI infrastructure and accelerated computing market, driving sign…
  • Sustained high demand from generative AI and large language models, contribut…
  • Strong R&D investment and the CUDA ecosystem, maintaining a competitive edge …
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition from other semiconductor companies and the development of cust…
  • Potential for a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending or a broader semiconductor marke…
  • Geopolitical risks impacting global supply chains, manufacturing, and market access.
Muutos
The core valuation assumptions for NVIDIA remain consistent with the previous day's assessment, reflecting a stable o…
Ei muutosta
stable outlookno significant change
GROK →ADJ
Est.
209.91
Ero
-4.4%
Conf
0.72
DCF 180.72 → Kal. 209.91
Avaintekijät
  • AI data center demand remains primary growth driver
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 60.4% supports high steady-state target
  • Historical revenue CAGR moderating but still elevated for 5y horizon
Suurin riski
  • Potential margin compression from increased competition
  • Customer concentration in hyperscalers
  • Geopolitical and export restriction exposure
Muutos
Slight increase in 5y revenue CAGR to reflect continued AI platform momentum; minor lift in target margin and WACC fo…
CAGR
+1.0pp
MARG
+1.0pp
WACC
+0.2pp
updated growth outlook
CLAUDE →EI VALIDI
Est.
219.51
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
GPT →EI VALIDI
Est.
219.51
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

DEEPSEEKGEMINIGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V25.0%45.0%26.0%
+1.0pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite60.0%58.0%56.0%
+1.0pp
WACC11.5%15.7%11.7%
+0.2pp
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.5%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)26.0%28.1%+2.1pp
WACC11.7%10.8%-0.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $219.51 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali60.4%
EBITDA-marginaali61.7%
ROE76.3%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.4x
P/E44.3x
EV / EBITDA39.5x
P/B33.9x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company. The company operates through two segments, Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system integrators and distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, and other ecosystem participants worldwide. It has a collaboration with Tech Mahindra Limited to develop artificial intelligence powered telco network operations reasoning agent. The company has a strategic partnership with Lumentum Holdings Inc. to develop optics tech
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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