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NVDANVIDIA Corporation

📅 2026-04-03🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
177.39 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$86.62
$212.19

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$202.51
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+14.2%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$268.22(56 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia NVDA. Avaintekijä: Dominant position in AI/data center accelerated computing infrastructure with... AI-konsensusarvio 202.51 14.2% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 268.22 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokNVDANVIDIA Corp…177.4spot268.2analysts166189212234257279
Pessimistinen (min)
$174.34
-1.7%
Perus (mediaani)
$202.51
+14.2%
Optimistinen (max)
$174.34
-1.7%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:202.51202.51(+0.0%)
CAGR
+3.0pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
MARG
+1.0pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
WACC
+0.3pp(1 ↑)
no-changeassumptions-stablespot-price-up-marginally
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE
Est.
202.51
Ero
+14.2%
Conf
0.68
DCF 174.34Kal. 202.51
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~100% (FY2023–FY2026: $27B to $216B) driven by exp…
  • Dominant market position in AI accelerator hardware (Blackwell architecture, …
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 60.4% reflects extraordinary pricing power and operat…
Suurin riski
  • Hyper-growth deceleration risk: sustaining 21%+ CAGR over 5 years from a $216B revenue …
  • Competitive intensity rising: AMD MI300X/MI400 series, Intel Gaudi, Google TPUs, AWS Tr…
  • Geopolitical and export control risk: US restrictions on chip exports to China (histori…
Muutos
All four valuation assumptions remain fully stable versus yesterday's model. Spot price moved marginally from $175.75…
Ei muutosta
no-changeassumptions-stablespot-price-up-marginally
DEEPSEEK
Est.
202.51
Ero
+14.2%
Conf
0.85
DCF 174.34Kal. 202.51
Avaintekijät
  • Dominant position in AI/data center accelerated computing infrastructure with…
  • Analyst consensus projects near-term revenue growth of 73.2% (1-year), indica…
  • High trailing EBIT margin of 60.4% demonstrates pricing power and operational…
Suurin riski
  • High beta (2.38) indicates significant volatility and sensitivity to market sentiment a…
  • Future growth contingent on sustained AI investment cycle by enterprises and cloud prov…
  • Competitive intensity from other semiconductor designers (AMD, Intel) and potential in-…
Muutos
Updated assumptions to reflect latest financial data and market conditions, with upward adjustment to revenue growth …
CAGR
+3.0pp
MARG
+1.0pp
WACC
+0.3pp
data refreshgrowth adjustmentmargin refinement
GEMINI
Est.
202.51
Ero
+14.2%
Conf
0.80
DCF 174.34Kal. 202.51
Avaintekijät
  • Continued strong demand for AI infrastructure and accelerated computing solut…
  • NVIDIA's dominant market position in AI GPUs and its expanding software ecosy…
  • Expansion into new high-growth markets such as automotive AI, enterprise AI s…
Suurin riski
  • Intense and increasing competition in the semiconductor and AI hardware/software market…
  • Potential cyclicality of the semiconductor industry, which could lead to fluctuations i…
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade policies that could disrupt global supply chains, restr…
Muutos
No material changes in the core valuation assumptions since yesterday's model view.
Ei muutosta
no change
GPT
Est.
202.51
Ero
+14.2%
Conf
0.80
DCF 174.34Kal. 202.51
Avaintekijät
  • Strong growth in AI and data center markets.
  • High demand for NVIDIA GPUs in gaming and professional markets.
  • Strategic partnerships enhancing technology offerings.
Suurin riski
  • Market competition from other semiconductor manufacturers.
  • Potential regulatory challenges in AI applications.
  • Dependence on specific sectors for revenue growth.
Muutos
Assumptions remain stable, reflecting consistent company growth and outlook.
Ei edellistä dataa
updateassumptions
GROK
Est.
202.51
Ero
+14.2%
Conf
0.85
DCF 174.34Kal. 202.51
Avaintekijät
  • Exceptional historical revenue growth (100% CAGR 2023-2026) driven by AI and …
  • Strong EBIT margin (60.4% trailing) expected to remain elevated due to leader…
  • Continued expansion in Compute & Networking segment with AI and automotive so…
Suurin riski
  • High valuation multiples (P/E 35.9x, EV/EBITDA 32.0x) indicate potential overvaluation …
  • Intense competition in AI and GPU markets could pressure margins.
  • Macroeconomic slowdown may impact demand for high-end tech solutions.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model run, with minor refinements based on updated market context.
CAGR
-3.0pp
MARG
-1.0pp
stable assumptionsminor update

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V21.0%31.0%
+3.0pp
38.0%9.0%25.0%
-3.0pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite57.0%59.0%
+1.0pp
58.0%65.0%58.0%
-1.0pp
WACC11.5%12.5%
+0.3pp
12.5%11.0%11.0%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali60.4%
EBITDA-marginaali61.7%
ROE76.3%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.4x
P/E35.9x
EV / EBITDA32.0x
P/B27.4x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli

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