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TSLATesla Inc.

📅 2026-04-03🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
360.59 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$214.25
$498.83

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$316.22
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-12.3%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$418.83(41 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia TSLA. Huomioitavaa: Potential weakening demand for electric vehicles amid macroeconomic challenge... AI-konsensusarvio 316.22 12.3% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 418.83 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokTSLATesla Inc.360.6spot418.8analysts304329355380406431
Pessimistinen (min)
$272.24
-24.5%
Perus (mediaani)
$316.22
-12.3%
Optimistinen (max)
$272.24
-24.5%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:316.22→316.22(+0.0%)
CAGR
+1.0pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
MARG
-1.0pp(1 ↓)
WACC
+0.3pp(1 ↑)
no-changeassumptions-held-steadyq1-delivery-miss-confirms-near-term-headwind
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE⚖
Est.
316.22
Ero
-12.3%
Conf
0.58
DCF 272.24 → Kal. 316.22
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~5.2% (2022-2025) understates forward potential; e…
  • Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates per Yahoo Finance (2026-03-31), confirmin…
  • Energy Generation & Storage segment growing rapidly with higher-margin Megapa…
Suurin riski
  • Q1 2026 deliveries missed estimates in a challenging EV landscape (Yahoo Finance, 2026-…
  • Near-term revenue growth negative (-3.1% consensus 1Y) and EPS growth deeply negative (…
  • Intensifying EV competition from BYD and other Chinese OEMs in Europe and globally comp…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's run. The Q1 2026 delivery miss reported by Yahoo Finance (2026-03-31) rein…
Ei muutosta
no-changeassumptions-held-steadyq1-delivery-miss-confirms-near-term-headwind
DEEPSEEK⚖
Est.
316.22
Ero
-12.3%
Conf
0.50
DCF 272.24 → Kal. 316.22
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR (2022-2025) of 5.2% provides baseline, but future gro…
  • Target EBIT margin of 10% reflects potential improvement from trailing 5.1% t…
  • Technology sector WACC range (9.5-12%) adjusted upward for high beta (1.93) a…
Suurin riski
  • High market volatility and beta (1.93) indicate significant sensitivity to broader mark…
  • Intense competition in EV space with new entrants and established automakers increasing…
  • Recent quarterly delivery misses suggest near-term execution challenges and demand unce…
Muutos
Maintained similar assumptions with slight adjustments: reduced revenue growth to 6% reflecting recent delivery chall…
CAGR
-1.0pp
MARG
-1.0pp
WACC
+0.3pp
reduced growthstable marginswacc adjustment
GEMINI⚖
Est.
316.22
Ero
-12.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 272.24 → Kal. 316.22
Avaintekijät
  • Successful execution and scaling of new vehicle platforms (e.g., Cybertruck, …
  • Expansion and monetization of Full Self-Driving (FSD) software and potential …
  • Continued growth and margin expansion within the Energy Generation and Storag…
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition from established automakers and new EV players globally, leadi…
  • Regulatory changes, safety concerns, or geopolitical tensions impacting production or s…
  • Supply chain disruptions and volatility in raw material prices, particularly for batter…
Muutos
The 5-year revenue CAGR assumption has been slightly increased, reflecting a more optimistic long-term growth traject…
CAGR
+1.0pp
Revenue CAGR Adjustment
GPT⚖
Est.
316.22
Ero
-12.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 272.24 → Kal. 316.22
Avaintekijät
  • Expansion of electric vehicle market.
  • New products like the Semi and Cybertruck.
  • Investment in energy generation and storage systems.
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from traditional automakers and new entrants.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting production.
  • Regulatory changes impacting electric vehicle incentives.
Muutos
Assumptions remain stable, reflecting a consistent outlook.
Ei edellistä dataa
stableno change
GROK⚖
Est.
316.22
Ero
-12.3%
Conf
0.75
DCF 272.24 → Kal. 316.22
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.2% adjusted to 8% due to expected growth in elec…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 5.1% increased to 7% target, reflecting potential mar…
  • WACC set at 10.5% based on high beta of 1.93 and technology sector midpoint, …
Suurin riski
  • Potential weakening demand for electric vehicles amid macroeconomic challenges or consu…
  • Intensifying competition from other EV manufacturers like BYD and Rivian in key markets.
  • High capex (9% of revenue) may pressure cash flows if growth targets are not achieved.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, with no significant changes in key valuation inputs based on th…
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsminor update

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V11.0%6.0%
-1.0pp
4.5%
+1.0pp
5.0%8.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite10.0%10.0%
-1.0pp
8.0%14.0%7.0%
WACC11.5%11.8%
+0.3pp
11.5%9.5%10.5%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali5.1%
EBITDA-marginaali11.1%
ROE4.6%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-2.8x
P/E356.6x
EV / EBITDA126.0x
P/B16.5x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

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