← Takaisin etusivulle

Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Tesla Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-07-10🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
406.55 USD
edellinen päätöskurssi — ei reaaliaikainen
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$297.82
$498.83

Tilanne 2026-07-10: 5 AI-mallia arvioi TSLA:n mediaaniksi 246.24 USD (-39.4% suhteessa spotiin 406.55 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 424.56 USD (40 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$246.24
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-39.4%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Raaka 1.00⚠ kattojen aiheuttama
Hajonta
σ 0.0%
Analyytikkokonsensus
$424.56(40 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia TSLA. Huomioitavaa: Intensifying competition in the electric vehicle market from established auto... AI-konsensusarvio 246.24 39.4% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 424.56 (AI -42.0%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokTSLATesla Inc.406.6spot424.6analysts225269313358402446
Pessimistinen (min)
$169.82
-58.2%
Perus (mediaani)
$246.24
-39.4%
Optimistinen (max)
$169.82
-58.2%
Bear/Bull: mallien oma haarukka · Base sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurin

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

Loading...

Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:245.93→246.24(+0.1%)
CAGR
-1.0pp(1 ↓)
no-changestable-assumptionsrobotaxi-miami-launch-noted

Mikä muuttui (7 pv)

2026-07-03 → 2026-07-10: TSLA: 5 mallin AI-konsensusarvio liikkui $244.27 → $246.24 (+0.8 %); mediaani-WACC 11.5 % → 11.0 % (-0.50 pp); terminaalikasvu 2.0 % → 2.0 % (+0.00 pp); mallien hajonta σ 0.0 % → 0.0 %. Kokeellisia malliarvioita — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

Mittari7 pv sitten (2026-07-03)Nyt (2026-07-10)Muutos
AI-konsensusarvio$244.27$246.24+0.8%
Mediaani-WACC11.50%11.00%-0.50 pp
Mediaani terminaalikasvu2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Mediaani liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)9.0%10.0%+1.00 pp
Mediaani EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.0%12.0%+0.00 pp
Mallien hajonta σ0.0%0.0%-0.00 pp

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →ADJ
Est.
246.24
Ero
-39.4%
Conf
0.65
DCF 169.82 → Kal. 246.24
Avaintekijät
  • Analyst consensus projects 15.8% revenue growth over the next 12 months, anch…
  • Miami Robotaxi launch (noted in headlines, July 2026) marks a tangible step t…
  • Energy Generation and Storage segment represents a structurally higher-growth…
Suurin riski
  • Trailing EBIT margin of only 5.0% reflects intense EV price competition, rising costs, …
  • Valuation remains extremely stretched: trailing P/E of 395x, EV/EBITDA of 135x, and P/B…
  • Revenue declined from $96.8B (2023) to $94.8B (2025), indicating near-term demand chall…
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model. Revenue CAGR, EBIT margin target, WACC, and terminal growth remain …
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsrobotaxi-miami-launch-noted
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
246.24
Ero
-39.4%
Conf
0.70
DCF 169.82 → Kal. 246.24
Avaintekijät
  • Automotive volume growth from Cybertruck ramp and next-generation vehicle pla…
  • Energy Generation & Storage segment scaling rapidly, providing revenue divers…
  • Ongoing cost reduction and manufacturing efficiency improvements to expand EB…
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from legacy OEMs and new entrants pressuring pricing and market share
  • Macroeconomic headwinds and potential demand slowdown in key markets (US, China, EU)
  • High capital expenditure requirements for capacity expansion, new models, and technolog…
Muutos
No material changes from previous model; recent news reinforces growth narrative but no fundamental shifts in assumpt…
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
246.24
Ero
-39.4%
Conf
0.75
DCF 169.82 → Kal. 246.24
Avaintekijät
  • Continued global adoption of electric vehicles and expansion into new markets…
  • Growth in energy generation and storage solutions, leveraging advanced batter…
  • Development and monetization of autonomous driving technology and software se…
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition in the electric vehicle market from established automakers and…
  • Regulatory hurdles and public acceptance challenges for autonomous driving technology d…
  • Volatility in raw material costs and potential supply chain disruptions for batteries a…
Muutos
Revenue CAGR for the next 5 years has been slightly adjusted downwards to reflect a more balanced view between recent…
CAGR
-1.0pp
revenue cagr 5y adjusted
GPT →ADJ
Est.
246.24
Ero
-39.4%
Conf
0.70
DCF 169.82 → Kal. 246.24
Avaintekijät
  • Growing demand for electric vehicles
  • Expansion into energy generation and storage markets
  • Investment in autonomous driving technology
Suurin riski
  • Increased competition in the electric vehicle sector
  • Volatility in material costs
  • Regulatory changes impacting EV incentives
Muutos
Valuation assumptions remain stable with a focus on continued growth in electric vehicles and related technologies.
Ei muutosta
valuationassumptions
GROK →ADJ
Est.
246.24
Ero
-39.4%
Conf
0.55
DCF 169.82 → Kal. 246.24
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR 5.2% (2022-2025) provides baseline; 1y analyst est 15…
  • Trailing EBIT margin 5.0% with EBITDA margin 11.3%; target assumes scale effi…
  • Net cash position (net debt/EBITDA -2.6) supports reinvestment without levera…
Suurin riski
  • Revenue growth decelerating in recent years with 2025 revenue below 2024 peak
  • Low current ROE 4.7% signals limited near-term capital efficiency
  • High valuation multiples (trailing P/E 383.2, EV/EBITDA 130.8) leave little margin for …
Muutos
No material change in assumptions; same inputs carried forward from prior day.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V15.0%10.0%12.0%
-1.0pp
10.0%8.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.0%10.0%15.0%13.0%12.0%
WACC13.5%11.0%11.0%10.5%11.0%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali5.0%
EBITDA-marginaali11.3%
ROE4.7%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-2.6x
P/E395.4x
EV / EBITDA135.0x
P/B18.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli125.00 – 600.00
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services a
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

Viimeisimmät uutiset

Small Cap ETFs Are Beating the S 500 as the Mag 7 Stumble2026-07-10
Did Tesla’s Miami Robotaxi Launch and Q2 Numbers Just Shift TSLA’s Autonomy‑First Narrative?2026-07-09
Nvidia owns the AI chips market. Google, Amazon, and others are coming2026-07-09
Don’t Buy Tesla Stock, Analyst Says, Despite ‘Immense’ Potential2026-07-09

Lisää technology-sektorilta

AAPL · Apple Inc.GOOGL · Alphabet Inc.META · Meta Platforms Inc.MSFT · Microsoft CorporationNVDA · NVIDIA CorporationNOKIA · Nokia Oyj
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-07-10
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Tietoa · Metodologia · Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja