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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Tesla Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇺🇸 S&Ptechnology
417.85 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$273.21
$498.83

5 AI-mallia arvioi TSLA:n mediaaniksi 310.98 USD (-25.6% suhteessa spotiin 417.85 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 411.89 USD (41 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$310.98
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-25.6%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Raaka 1.00
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$411.89(41 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia TSLA. Huomioitavaa: Intensifying competition in the electric vehicle market. AI-konsensusarvio 310.98 25.6% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 411.89 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokTSLATesla Inc.417.9spot411.9analysts298325351378404431
Pessimistinen (min)
$267.73
-35.9%
Perus (mediaani)
$310.98
-25.6%
Optimistinen (max)
$267.73
-35.9%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:310.98→310.98(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsspacex-ipo-distraction-risk

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →ADJ
Est.
310.98
Ero
-25.6%
Conf
0.57
DCF 267.73 → Kal. 310.98
Avaintekijät
  • Analyst consensus projects 15.8% revenue growth for next 12 months — anchorin…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 5.0% is severely compressed vs historical peaks; stea…
  • Net cash position of ~$28.9 billion (net debt/EBITDA of -2.6x) provides subst…
Suurin riski
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 5.0% is severely compressed; failure to recover margins through…
  • Intensifying EV competition from BYD and other Chinese OEMs in key markets (China, Euro…
  • Elon Musk's political profile and management attention (DOGE, SpaceX IPO, xAI) create b…
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior model run (2026-05-21). Today's incremental news — W…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsspacex-ipo-distraction-risk
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
310.98
Ero
-25.6%
Conf
0.60
DCF 267.73 → Kal. 310.98
Avaintekijät
  • Future revenue growth driven by energy storage and generation segment expansi…
  • EBIT margin target reflects expected improvement from scale and cost efficien…
  • High beta (1.79) and elevated market risk justify a WACC at the upper end of …
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition in EV market from legacy automakers and new entrants may pressure p…
  • Regulatory changes or reduction in EV incentives could dampen demand.
  • Execution risk on new product launches and ramp of production capacity.
Muutos
No material changes in assumptions from yesterday's model. All key inputs remain consistent.
Ei edellistä dataa
unchanged
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
310.98
Ero
-25.6%
Conf
0.80
DCF 267.73 → Kal. 310.98
Avaintekijät
  • Continued growth in global electric vehicle adoption.
  • Successful expansion into new product segments and geographic markets.
  • Monetization of Full Self-Driving (FSD) and other software services.
Suurin riski
  • Intensifying competition in the electric vehicle market.
  • Regulatory challenges and safety concerns related to autonomous driving technology.
  • Potential supply chain disruptions and raw material price volatility.
Muutos
No valid prior model available for comparison.
Ei edellistä dataa
no previous model
GPT →ADJ
Est.
310.98
Ero
-25.6%
Conf
0.70
DCF 267.73 → Kal. 310.98
Avaintekijät
  • Increasing demand for electric vehicles.
  • Expansion into energy storage solutions.
  • Innovations in autonomous driving technology.
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from other EV manufacturers.
  • Regulatory changes affecting electric vehicle incentives.
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting production.
Muutos
No significant changes in growth outlook since yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
technologygrowthrisk
GROK →ADJ
Est.
310.98
Ero
-25.6%
Conf
0.55
DCF 267.73 → Kal. 310.98
Avaintekijät
  • EV and energy storage volume growth expected to exceed historical CAGR
  • Margin expansion from scale, mix shift to higher-margin products, and fixed-c…
  • High beta of 1.79 supports upper-end WACC for technology growth sector
Suurin riski
  • Execution risk on new vehicle platforms and autonomy timeline
  • Intense price competition and potential margin pressure in core auto segment
  • Regulatory and tariff exposure in key markets (US, China, EU)
Muutos
Assumptions held steady vs prior day; no material revision to growth, margin or WACC inputs.
Ei muutosta
baseline

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V15.0%12.0%13.0%10.0%12.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite10.0%8.0%18.0%15.0%12.0%
WACC11.5%10.5%11.5%10.8%11.5%
Terminaalikasvu3.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%3.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali5.0%
EBITDA-marginaali11.3%
ROE4.7%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-2.6x
P/E406.4x
EV / EBITDA138.9x
P/B19.1x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. In addition, the company engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. Further, it provides services a
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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