Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 52.4% | 30.5% | +3.8% | 13.3% | 759 |
| Claude | 52.2% | 28.3% | +4.6% | 19.5% | 763 |
| DeepSeek | 52.1% | 30.8% | -1.4% | 12.5% | 746 |
| Grok | 51.5% | 30.6% | -2.2% | 10.1% | 759 |
| GPT | 50.7% | 31.9% | -3.5% | 9.7% | 764 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
Want these insights weekly?
Subscribe to AI Signals →