Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (before analyst anchoring), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 47.5% | 30.8% | -3.3% | 15.2% | 495 |
| Grok | 47.5% | 31.8% | -16.4% | 11.4% | 507 |
| Gemini | 46.9% | 35% | -4.4% | 14.2% | 507 |
| DeepSeek | 45.8% | 30.1% | -15.8% | 17.5% | 504 |
| Claude | 45.5% | 33.3% | -5.8% | 6.1% | 506 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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