Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 49.7% | 17.7% | -1% | 22.2% | 1308 |
| Claude | 48.9% | 18.7% | +0.1% | 19.6% | 1304 |
| Grok | 48.1% | 17.9% | -2.6% | 19% | 1323 |
| DeepSeek | 47.1% | 18.2% | -5% | 11.7% | 1334 |
| Gemini | 46.6% | 18.9% | -0.7% | 17.4% | 1284 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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