AI Investor Barometer

Research tool — not advice

Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge. Start here →

5MODELS
59TRADING DAYS
6,785ESTIMATES
2026-05-22 · 08.53 EET · Mon–Fri
AI CONSENSUSAllGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROKIndicesAI vs AnalystsModelsEarningsAccuracySignalsAbout

AI daily brief · 2026-05-22

ORNBV all 5 models bullish
+40.1%
NOKIA highest model disagreement
σ 27.5%
ORNBV largest positive revision
+15.9pp
NOKIA deepest gap in universe
-37.9%

ORNBV surged to a +40.1% positive gap after AI estimates revised upward by 12.8%, while META extended its lead to +36.9% on an 8.1% estimate increase, making both the standout outliers in today's 23-stock analysis. On the downside, NOKIA holds the widest negative gap at -37.9% despite a 10.1% upward estimate revision, suggesting current market price remains deeply above AI consensus. The overall median gap tightened from -7.2% to -6.2%, a modest improvement indicating AI models are incrementally closing the distance to prevailing market valuations.

Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data

AI Market Pulse

Full indices
AI VALUATION GAP
-17.7%
Strong Negative
Median model estimate is 17.7% below current market prices.
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
7.8%
Moderate
Moderate dispersion across model estimates.
SENTIMENT SHIFT
↗ +0.7pp
Improving
Models turned more positive since yesterday.
23 tickers · All markets
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Estimate Changes

Biggest Estimate Changes

24.3% → 40.1%
26.7% → 36.9%
-43.6% → -37.9%

▲ Largest Positive Gap

01
Est. 100.13 € · Spot 71.45 € · Agree 0.83
02
Est. $831.74 · Spot $607.38 · Agree 0.71
03
Est. 26.52 € · Spot 20.40 € · Agree 1.00

▼ Largest Negative Gap

01
Est. 7.51 € · Spot 12.10 € · Agree 0.55
02
Est. $310.98 · Spot $417.85 · Agree 1.00
03
Est. $233.03 · Spot $304.99 · Agree 1.00

AI Model Bias Index

Most positive: Claude (-5.2%)Most negative: DeepSeek (-11.2%)
All
v6v7-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%3.3.17.3.31.3.14.4.28.4.12.5.22.5.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT

AI Model Traits

CLAUDE most consistent · GPT most volatile · 5 models · 59 days

AI Model Calibration

#1 CLAUDE 60/100 · #2 GPT 59/100 · 5 models scored

Model Spread — all models per stock, │ = spot

23 stocks · hover to compare model estimates

All companies

TickerSpotAI Est.Δ Est.GapAgreeModels
Orion Oyj B71.45 €100.13 € +12.8%40.1%
0.83
Meta Platforms Inc.$607.38$831.74 +8.1%36.9%
0.71
TietoEVRY Oyj20.40 €26.52 €30.0%
1.00
KONE Oyj50.74 €57.66 € -2.9%13.6%
0.83
Microsoft Corporation$419.09$470.1412.2%
0.84
Berkshire Hathaway B$479.98$514.067.1%
1.00
Alphabet Inc.$387.66$402.50 -2.2%3.8%
0.81
Nordea Bank Abp16.25 €16.66 €2.5%
0.95
Elisa Oyj41.60 €41.24 € +1.1%-0.9%
0.95
NVDAADJ
NVIDIA Corporation
$219.51$209.91-4.4%
1.00
Johnson & Johnson$231.73$221.52 -2.2%-4.4%
0.87
PGADJ
Procter & Gamble Co.
$143.40$134.45 +1.7%-6.2%
0.86
AMZNADJTV
Amazon.com Inc.
$268.46$236.04-12.1%
1.00
Metso Oyj15.25 €13.14 € -5.5%-13.8%
0.91
JPMADJ
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$303.00$258.45-14.7%
0.82
XOMADJ
ExxonMobil Corporation
$155.29$127.08-18.2%
1.00
Sampo Oyj9.28 €7.54 €-18.7%
0.91
Neste Oyj28.36 €22.92 € +1.9%-19.2%
0.74
Wärtsilä Oyj34.77 €28.07 € -3.8%-19.3%
0.85
UPM-Kymmene Oyj25.22 €20.30 € +2.1%-19.5%
0.85
AAPLADJ
Apple Inc.
$304.99$233.03-23.6%
1.00
TSLAADJ
Tesla Inc.
$417.85$310.98-25.6%
1.00
Nokia Oyj12.10 €7.51 € +10.1%-37.9%
0.55
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok):  positive  negative  invalid  · ADJ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-05-22 08.53 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy