As of 2026-10-16, 5 AI models estimate TIETO median target 37.88 € (+103.2% vs spot 18.64 €, model agreement 1.00). Analyst consensus 18.94 € (8 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
37.88 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
+103.2%
Agreement
1.005/5 models
Raw 1.00⚠ cap-induced
Dispersion
σ 0.0%
Analyst consensus
18.94 €(8 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
32.19 €
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
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What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:37.88→37.88(+0.0%)
no-change×2stable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-16, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for TIETO moved from 38.00 € to 37.88 € (-0.3%); median WACC 6.1% → 6.1% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 0.0% → 0.0%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
Revenue base has stabilized at approximately 1.85B EUR following deliberate p…
Analyst 1Y revenue growth estimate of -7.9% signals continued near-term headw…
Trailing EBIT margin of 8.6% has meaningful room to expand toward 12% as lega…
Top Risk
Continued revenue contraction risk: historical CAGR of -14.2% and analyst 1Y estimate o…
Competitive pressure in Nordic IT services from global players (Accenture, Capgemini, I…
Execution risk on strategic transformation — scaling vertical software segments while m…
Valuation Assumptions
CLAUDE
DEEPSEEK
GEMINI
GPT
GROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.0%
1.5%
2.0%
1.0%
2.0%
EBIT Margin Target
12.0%
11.0%
11.5%
10.0%
10.5%
WACC
8.5%
6.0%
6.0%
9.0%
6.1%
Terminal Growth
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
What Would Need to Be True?
Assumption
AI Consensus
Market Price Implies
WACC
6.1%
18.0%
+11.9pp
Based on spot price 18.64 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin8.6%
EBITDA Margin19.3%
ROE20.3%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.1x
P/E Trailing9.2x
EV / EBITDA6.9x
P/B1.9x
Analyst Range15.80 – 23.50
Tieto Oyj operates as a software and digital engineering company in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tieto Tech Consulting, Tieto Banktech, Tieto Caretech, and Tieto Indtech Services. The Tieto Tech Consulting segment provides business advisory and design, data engineering, and other software research and development services. The Tieto Banktech segment offers Banking-as-a-Service platform and software products for payments, cards, wealth management, financial crime prevention, and credit domains. The Tieto Caretech segment provides modular, open, and interoperable software for customers in the health and social care sectors. The Tieto Indtech segment offers software and services to various industries, such as case management, pulp, paper, and fiber; and supports processes, including billing and invoicing and industry messaging, as well as purchase-to-pay process automation. It serves automotive, banking and financial services, education, energy and utilities, healthcare and welfare, manufacturing, public sector, pulp, paper, fibre, packaging and tissue, and telecom sectors. The company was formerly known as TietoEVRY Oyj and changed
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. About · Methodology · Terms of Use · Privacy Policy
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on TIETO.
Key driver: Strategic shift toward software-centric business lines such as Banktech and C...
AI consensus estimate 37.88 103.2% above the current price.
Model agreement is high (1.00).
Analyst consensus: 18.94 (AI +100.0%).
Bear Case (min)
37.88 €
103.2%
Base Case (median)
37.88 €
+103.2%
Bull Case (max)
37.88 €
103.2%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)
0.0%
0.0%
+0.00 pp
Delta
All four core assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (2026-10-15). The fundamental picture — stabilized rev…