19.65 EUR
previous close — not live
52-Week Range
14.99 €
21.86 €
As of 2026-08-28, 5 AI models estimate TIETO median target 38.25 € (+94.7% vs spot 19.65 €, model agreement 1.00). Analyst consensus 19.13 € (8 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
38.25 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
+94.7%
Agreement
1.005/5 models
Raw 1.00⚠ cap-induced
Dispersion
σ 0.0%
Analyst consensus
19.13 €(8 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
32.51 €
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on TIETO. Key driver: Historical revenue CAGR of -14.2% is distorted by divestments; the remaining ... AI consensus estimate 38.25 94.7% above the current price. Model agreement is high (1.00). Analyst consensus: 19.13 (AI +100.0%).Bear Case (min)
38.25 €
94.7%
Base Case (median)
38.25 €
+94.7%
Bull Case (max)
38.25 €
94.7%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:38.25→38.25(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-5-consistency
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for TIETO moved from 38.25 € to 38.25 € (+0.0%); median WACC 6.2% → 6.1% (-0.10 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 0.0% → 0.0%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
| Metric | 7d ago (2026-08-21) | Now (2026-08-28) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI consensus estimate | 38.25 € | 38.25 € | +0.0% |
| Median WACC | 6.20% | 6.10% | -0.10 pp |
| Median terminal growth | 2.00% | 2.00% | +0.00 pp |
| Median revenue CAGR (5y) | 2.0% | 2.0% | +0.00 pp |
| Median EBIT margin target | 11.0% | 11.0% | +0.00 pp |
| Model dispersion σ | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.00 pp |
Model Breakdown
CLAUDE →ADJ
DCF 38.25 → Cal. 32.51
Key Drivers
- Post-divestiture revenue base has stabilized at ~1.85B EUR; the historical -1…
- Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted profitability surging amid market challenge…
- Banktech and Caretech segments carry SaaS-like recurring revenue characterist…
Top Risk
- Near-term revenue headwinds remain real: analyst consensus forecasts -7.9% revenue grow…
- Execution risk on margin expansion: moving from 8.6% trailing EBIT to a 12% steady-stat…
- High D&A-to-revenue ratio (16.8%) from past M&A intangibles suppresses reported EBIT; i…
Delta
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-5-consistency
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
DCF 38.25 → Cal. 32.51
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue CAGR of -14.2% is distorted by divestments; the remaining …
- Recent earnings calls highlight cost discipline and profitability improvement…
- CAPM cost of equity using beta 0.695, Nordic risk-free rate ~3%, and ERP ~4.5…
Top Risk
- Continued revenue contraction if Nordic IT demand remains soft or further divestments o…
- Transformation and execution risk across banking, care, and industrial software units.
- Concentration in Nordic markets exposes results to regional public and private IT budgets.
Delta
No change
unchangedsame-model
GEMINI →ADJ
DCF 38.25 → Cal. 32.51
Key Drivers
- Portfolio optimization and strategic divestments of lower-margin legacy assets
- Cost-efficiency programs driving margin expansion toward target levels
- Resilient demand for specialized software solutions in Banktech and Caretech …
Top Risk
- Execution risks associated with ongoing corporate restructuring and divestments
- Macroeconomic headwinds in the Nordic region dampening enterprise IT budgets
- Intense competition from global and local digital engineering service providers
Delta
No change
No changeStable outlook
GPT →ADJ
DCF 38.25 → Cal. 32.51
Key Drivers
- Trailing EBIT margin is 8.6%, so the steady-state target is set only modestly…
- Revenue history shows a decline from EUR 2.93bn in 2022 to EUR 1.85bn in 2025…
- The business mix is software and digital engineering across banking, care, an…
Top Risk
- Revenue contraction could persist if legacy demand remains weak or divestitures continue.
- Margin improvement may be limited by competition in IT services and software engineering.
- Customer concentration or vertical-specific softness could slow growth recovery.
Delta
No change
unchanged growthunchanged marginunchanged wacc
GROK →ADJ
DCF 38.25 → Cal. 32.51
Key Drivers
- Post-divestment revenue base stabilized after 2022-2025 contraction
- Trailing EBIT margin 8.6% with recent profitability improvement signals
- Low beta 0.69 supports below-sector WACC
Top Risk
- Legacy revenue decline and divestment execution risk
- High D&A (16.8% of revenue) limits free cash flow conversion
- Nordic IT services market remains competitive and cyclical
Delta
No previous data
Valuation Assumptions
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR 5Y | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% |
| EBIT Margin Target | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| WACC | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
What Would Need to Be True?
| Assumption | AI Consensus | Market Price Implies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC | 6.1% | 17.1% | +11.0pp |
Based on spot price 19.65 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin8.6%
EBITDA Margin19.3%
ROE20.3%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.1x
P/E Trailing9.9x
EV / EBITDA7.4x
P/B2.1x
Analyst Range15.80 – 23.50
Source: Yahoo Finance
Recent News
Tieto Oyj (FRA:TTEB) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Profitability Surges Amid Market Challenges2026-07-22
Tieto Oyj (FRA:TTEB) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Legacy Challenges and ...2026-04-30
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-08-28
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