17.78 EUR
previous close — not live
52-Week Range
14.30 €
21.86 €
As of 2026-07-10, 5 AI models estimate TIETO median target 32.89 € (+85.0% vs spot 17.78 €, model agreement 0.92). Analyst consensus 19.34 € (9 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
32.89 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+85.0%
Agreement
0.925/5 models
Raw 0.90shrinkage-induced
Dispersion
σ 3.1%
Analyst consensus
19.34 €(9 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on TIETO. Key driver: Strategic divestments and portfolio optimization to focus on core businesses. AI consensus estimate 32.89 85.0% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.92). Analyst consensus: 19.34 (AI +70.0%).Bear Case (min)
35.13 €
97.6%
Base Case (median)
32.89 €
+85.0%
Bull Case (max)
38.69 €
117.6%
Bear/Bull: pure model range · Base incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:32.89→32.89(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-07-03 and 2026-07-10, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for TIETO moved from 32.89 € to 32.89 € (+0.0%); median WACC 9.0% → 9.0% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 0.0% → 3.1%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
| Metric | 7d ago (2026-07-03) | Now (2026-07-10) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI consensus estimate | 32.89 € | 32.89 € | +0.0% |
| Median WACC | 9.00% | 9.00% | +0.00 pp |
| Median terminal growth | 2.00% | 2.00% | +0.00 pp |
| Median revenue CAGR (5y) | 2.0% | 2.0% | +0.00 pp |
| Median EBIT margin target | 11.0% | 10.0% | -1.00 pp |
| Model dispersion σ | 0.0% | 3.1% | +3.09 pp |
Model Breakdown
CLAUDE →ADJ
DCF 38.69 → Cal. 32.89
Key Drivers
- Post-divestiture revenue base has stabilized around ~1.85B EUR; the new Tieto…
- Historical revenue CAGR of -14.2% (2022-2025) is largely driven by strategic …
- Trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is depressed by elevated D&A (16.5% of revenue f…
Top Risk
- Historical revenue CAGR of -14.2% (2022-2025) reflects structural divestments, but orga…
- High D&A burden (16.5% of revenue) from legacy acquisitions may persist longer than mod…
- Competitive pressure in Nordic IT services from larger global players (Capgemini, Accen…
Delta
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
DCF 38.69 → Cal. 32.89
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue decline from EUR 2,928M (2022) to EUR 1,852M (2025) driven…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is low for technology peers; cost programs and s…
- Beta of 0.70 indicates low systematic risk; WACC set at sector floor of 9% gi…
Top Risk
- Continued revenue contraction if legacy business declines faster than new growth areas
- Margin pressure from competitive IT services market and wage inflation in Nordic region
- Execution risk in cost transformation and product mix shift
Delta
No change
no change
GPT →ADJ
DCF 38.69 → Cal. 32.89
Key Drivers
- Transitioning towards new software products in banking and healthcare.
- Continued investment in digital transformation and automation solutions.
- Potential for moderate recovery in revenue growth after historical declines.
Top Risk
- Ongoing legacy system challenges impacting profitability.
- Exposure to cyclicality in key sectors affecting revenue stability.
- Intense competition from other digital engineering companies.
Delta
No previous data
valuationassumptions
GROK →ADJ
DCF 38.69 → Cal. 32.89
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue contraction stabilizing post-divestments
- EBIT margin expansion from cost programs and mix shift
- Banktech and Caretech recurring revenue base
Top Risk
- Legacy revenue decline may persist longer than expected
- High D&A (16.5% of revenue) pressures free cash flow
- Execution risk on strategic transformation
Delta
No change
no change
DCF 35.13 → Cal. 30.39
Key Drivers
- Strategic divestments and portfolio optimization to focus on core businesses.
- Potential for margin improvement through cost efficiency programs.
- Demand for digital engineering and specialized software solutions in banking,…
Top Risk
- Continued revenue contraction due to legacy challenges and ongoing divestments.
- Execution risk associated with strategic changes and cost optimization initiatives.
- Intense competition in the digital engineering and software services market.
Delta
No previous data
no change
Valuation Assumptions
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR 5Y | 1.0% | 2.0% | -1.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| EBIT Margin Target | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| WACC | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
What Would Need to Be True?
| Assumption | AI Consensus | Market Price Implies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR (5y) | 2.0% | -10.1% | -12.1pp |
| EBIT Margin Target | 10.0% | -6.6% | -16.6pp |
| WACC | 9.0% | 17.8% | +8.8pp |
Based on spot price 17.78 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin8.4%
EBITDA Margin14.2%
ROE6.9%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.4x
P/E Trailing27.1x
EV / EBITDA9.2x
P/B1.9x
Analyst Range16.00 – 24.00
Source: Yahoo Finance
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-07-10
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