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Claude

Anthropic
· 📅 2026-04-03
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet. Tends toward balanced, well-calibrated analysis with moderate assumptions.
🎯Highest Calibration60 score
🏔️Most Consistent1.4%/day
🔭Lowest Correction Rate44% bullish
Claude is the most aggressive model — largest average valuation gap (+1.0%). Most stable day-to-day (1.40%/day). Wins: Highest Calibration, Most Consistent, Lowest Correction Rate. High validity rate (94.9%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTGeminiDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

+1%
Avg Gap
60/100
Calibration
35%
Correction Rate
44%
Positive Bias %
⚡ Responsive
Volatility
24
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
48.3%
Mean Absolute Error
20.2%
Prediction Bias
+1%
Hit Rate (±5%)
17.6%
0%25%50%75%100%3.3.6.3.11.3.16.3.20.3.25.3.30.3.2.4.
GPT52.7%
Claude48.3%
Gemini47%
DeepSeek47.3%
Grok48.9%
N = 501 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+56.8%
+44.7%
+39.2%
+38.3%
+32.5%
Largest Negative Gap
-49.3%
-33.2%
-20.3%
-19.0%
-13.4%

Assumption Profile

7.5%
σ = 6.12
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.2%
σ = 1.30
WACC
2.39%
σ = 0.47
Terminal Growth
24.0%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

94.9%
524 / 552 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 28.5s
Cost per Run: $0.0364
Total Cost: $20.07
~6217 + 1306 tokens

Calibration Detail

60
/100
Correction Rate: 34.9%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 524
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