GPT
OpenAI
· 📅 2026-04-03
OpenAI's GPT-4.1 model. Known for systematic analysis with conservative terminal growth assumptions.
GPT is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -4.6%. Most volatile day-to-day (3.70%/day). High validity rate (96.0%).
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-4.6%
Avg Gap
58/100
Calibration
37%
Correction Rate
31%
Positive Bias %
🔥 High Variance
Volatility
24
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
52.7%
Mean Absolute Error
20%
Prediction Bias
-5.1%
Hit Rate (±5%)
18.3%
GPT52.7%
Claude48.3%
Gemini47%
DeepSeek47.3%
Grok48.9%
N = 507 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
6.0%
σ = 6.69
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.6%
σ = 1.32
WACC
2.00%
Terminal Growth
23.2%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
96.0%
530 / 552 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 10.7s
Cost per Run: $0.0162
Total Cost: $8.94
~4938 + 385 tokens
Calibration Detail
58
/100
Correction Rate: 36.8%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 530
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