GPT
OpenAI
· 2026-07-10
OpenAI's GPT-4.1 model. Known for systematic analysis with conservative terminal growth assumptions.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
⌖Lowest Correction Rate40% bullish
~Market Pulse-3.4%
GPT is the most aggressive model — largest average valuation gap (-3.4%). Most volatile day-to-day (3.70%/day). Wins: Lowest Correction Rate, Market Pulse. High validity rate (97.7%).
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-3.4%
Avg Gap
66/100
Calibration
17%
Correction Rate
40%
Positive Bias %
High Variance
Volatility
23
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
47.5%
Mean Absolute Error
30.8%
Prediction Bias
-3.3%
Hit Rate (±5%)
15.2%
N = 495 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
6.9%
σ = 6.85
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.26
WACC
2.00%
Terminal Growth
24.7%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
97.7%
2119 / 2168 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 10.3s
Cost per Run: $0.0169
Total Cost: $36.67
~5237 + 383 tokens
Calibration Detail
66
/100
Correction Rate: 17.2%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 517
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