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Gemini

Google
· 2026-07-10
Google's Gemini 2.0 Flash. Shows high CAGR variance and distinctive valuation perspectives.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
Highest Calibration75 score
Gemini is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -4.5%. Moderate daily volatility (3.30%/day). Wins: Highest Calibration. High validity rate (97.1%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTClaudeDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

-4.5%
Avg Gap
75/100
Calibration
12%
Correction Rate
36%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
23
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
46.9%
Mean Absolute Error
35%
Prediction Bias
-4.4%
Hit Rate (±5%)
14.2%
v80%25%50%75%100%10.6.16.6.22.6.26.6.2.7.9.7.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 507 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+84.5%
+70.9%
+56.8%
+15.1%
+14.5%
Largest Negative Gap
-39.4%
-36.4%
-28.2%
-26.8%
-23.7%

Assumption Profile

9.4%
σ = 11.49
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.6%
σ = 1.62
WACC
2.00%
σ = 0.04
Terminal Growth
23.6%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

97.1%
2105 / 2168 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 18.5s
Cost per Run: $0.0106
Total Cost: $23.01
~6109 + 654 tokens

Calibration Detail

75
/100
Correction Rate: 11.5%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 531
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All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy