41.48 EUR
52-Week Range
34.48 €
55.00 €
AI Consensus
Model estimate
42.44 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+2.3%
Agreement
0.895/5 models
Dispersion
σ 0.04
Analyst consensus
41.74 €(18 analysts)
AI Summary
4 of 5 AI models are positive on ELISA. Key driver: Stable demand for core telecommunications and ICT services in Finland and Eur... AI consensus estimate 42.44 2.3% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.89). Analyst consensus: 41.74 (AI +1.7%).Bear Case (min)
38.08 €
-8.2%
Base Case (median)
42.44 €
+2.3%
Bull Case (max)
45.85 €
10.5%
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
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What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:42.44→42.44(+0.0%)
stable assumptions×2no-changestable-assumptions
Model Breakdown
GEMINI
DCF 45.85 → Cal. 44.62
Key Drivers
- Stable demand for core telecommunications and ICT services in Finland and Eur…
- Strategic diversification into Elisa IndustrIQ software solutions and energy …
- Strong historical profitability (EBIT margin 20.5%).
Top Risk
- Intense competition within the telecommunications sector, potentially impacting pricing…
- Regulatory changes or interventions that could affect service offerings or revenue stre…
- High capital expenditure requirements for network upgrades and maintenance, impacting f…
Delta
No change
no change
CLAUDE
DCF 42.98 → Cal. 42.61
Key Drivers
- Stable Finnish telecom core with subscription-based recurring revenues provid…
- Elisa IndustrIQ B2B software segment (sedApta, camLine, CalcuQuote, TenForce,…
- Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advance…
Top Risk
- Analyst 1Y EPS growth estimate of -28.4% signals a meaningful near-term earnings headwi…
- Competitive pressure in Finnish mobile and broadband markets from DNA/Telia could const…
- High payout ratio typical of telecom dividend plays limits retained earnings available …
Delta
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
GPT
DCF 42.74 → Cal. 42.44
Key Drivers
- Stable demand from telecommunications subscriptions
- Investment in network infrastructure and digital services
- Regulatory environment supporting steady growth
Top Risk
- High capital expenditure impacting cash flows
- Competition from other telecom operators
- Regulatory changes that could affect margins
Delta
No previous data
stabletelecom
GROK
DCF 41.95 → Cal. 41.89
Key Drivers
- Stable revenue growth expected from subscription-based telecom services in Fi…
- Continued investment in 5G and fiber infrastructure to support long-term growth.
- Margin expansion potential from operational efficiencies and digital service …
Top Risk
- High capex requirements for network upgrades may pressure free cash flow.
- Regulatory constraints in telecom sector could limit pricing power.
- Competitive pressures in mature European markets may cap growth.
Delta
No change
no changestable assumptions
DEEPSEEK
DCF 38.08 → Cal. 39.17
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue CAGR of 2.0% (2022-2025) provides stable baseline for matu…
- Analyst consensus projects near-term revenue growth of 1.5%, aligning with hi…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 20.5% is strong for telecom sector and serves as real…
Top Risk
- Mature, saturated domestic telecom market in Finland limits organic growth opportunities.
- High capital intensity (Capex/Revenue 12.4%) required for network maintenance and 5G/fi…
- Moderate net debt level (Net Debt/EBITDA 2.11x) could constrain financial flexibility d…
Delta
No change
stable assumptionsno material change
Valuation Assumptions
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR 5Y | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% |
| EBIT Margin Target | 21.0% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 21.0% |
| WACC | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin20.5%
EBITDA Margin31.6%
ROE27.3%
Net Debt / EBITDA2.1x
P/E Trailing19.5x
EV / EBITDA11.5x
P/B5.3x
Analyst Range– – –
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-04-03
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