As of 2026-10-16, 5 AI models estimate ELISA median target 45.96 € (+29.7% vs spot 35.44 €, model agreement 0.91). Analyst consensus 38.84 € (19 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
45.96 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
+29.7%
Agreement
0.915/5 models
Raw 0.91
Dispersion
σ 3.3%
Analyst consensus
38.84 €(19 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
43.82 €
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on ELISA.
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
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What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:45.96→45.96(+0.0%)
stable×2no-changestable-assumptions
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-16, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for ELISA moved from 45.96 € to 45.96 € (+0.0%); median WACC 6.9% → 6.9% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 5.4% → 3.3%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
Intense competition in Finnish telecom market could compress ARPU and limit pricing pow…
High capex intensity (~12.4% of revenue) for 5G and fiber rollout constrains free cash …
Delta
All four core assumptions are unchanged from the prior model run. The fundamental picture — stable Finnish telecom wi…
Valuation Assumptions
CLAUDE
DEEPSEEK
GEMINI
GPT
GROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.5%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
2.0%
EBIT Margin Target
21.0%
21.0%
20.6%
21.5%
21.0%
WACC
6.9%
6.5%
7.0%
6.5%
7.0%
Terminal Growth
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
What Would Need to Be True?
Assumption
AI Consensus
Market Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)
1.8%
0.7%
-1.1pp
EBIT Margin Target
21.0%
18.5%
-2.5pp
WACC
6.9%
7.4%
+0.5pp
Based on spot price 35.44 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin20.6%
EBITDA Margin31.9%
ROE27.3%
Net Debt / EBITDA2.1x
P/E Trailing16.6x
EV / EBITDA10.0x
P/B4.3x
Analyst Range26.50 – 50.00
Elisa Oyj provides telecommunications, information and communication technology (ICT), and online services in Finland, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Consumer Customers and Corporate Customers. The company offers consumers with telecommunications and communications services, including fixed and mobile subscriptions, supplementary digital services, cable TV subscriptions, and entertainment services, as well as IT and communication solutions. It provides sedApta, supply chain management and operational planning software; camLine, an automation, MES, and data analytics software; CalcuQuote, a integrated software for sourcing, quoting, procurement, and supplier collaboration; and TenForce, a platform to strengthen safety culture and operational oversight across complex industrial environments. It also offers Polystar, an intelligent network analytics and optimization software. The company markets its solutions under Elisa IndustrIQ brand. Further, it provides Gridle, an AI-powered energy flexibility optimization service; and Elisa Kotiakku, that smooths out spikes in electricity spot prices and stores electricity generated by solar panels. In add
Source: Yahoo Finance
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. About · Methodology · Terms of Use · Privacy Policy
Key driver: Historical revenue CAGR of ~2.0% (2022–2025: €2,129M→€2,257M) remains the pri...
AI consensus estimate 45.96 29.7% above the current price.
Model agreement is high (0.91).
Analyst consensus: 38.84 (AI +18.3%).
Bear Case (min)
43.17 €
21.8%
Base Case (median)
45.96 €
+29.7%
Bull Case (max)
47.30 €
33.5%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)