Grok
xAI
· 2026-07-10
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
↯Speed Champion7.8s
Grok is the most conservative model — smallest average valuation gap (-16.5%). Moderate daily volatility (2.10%/day). Wins: Speed Champion. High validity rate (99.3%). Fastest model at 7.8s avg latency.
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-16.5%
Avg Gap
63/100
Calibration
19%
Correction Rate
25%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
23
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
47.5%
Mean Absolute Error
31.8%
Prediction Bias
-16.4%
Hit Rate (±5%)
11.4%
N = 507 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
7.7%
σ = 6.76
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
σ = 1.27
WACC
2.04%
σ = 0.15
Terminal Growth
23.5%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
99.3%
2153 / 2168 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 7.8s
Cost per Run: $0.0153
Total Cost: $33.10
~5284 + 478 tokens
Calibration Detail
63
/100
Correction Rate: 18.5%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 531
Want these insights weekly?
Subscribe to AI Signals →AI Investor Barometer · Grok← Back to dashboard
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy