Grok
xAI
· 2026-08-28
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
↯Speed Champion8.2s
◆Highest Validity99.2%
Grok is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -2.1%. Moderate daily volatility (2.80%/day). Wins: Speed Champion, Highest Validity. High validity rate (99.2%). Fastest model at 8.2s avg latency.
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-2.1%
Avg Gap
59/100
Calibration
15%
Correction Rate
46%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
33
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
51.5%
Mean Absolute Error
30.6%
Prediction Bias
-2.2%
Hit Rate (±5%)
10.1%
N = 759 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
7.5%
σ = 6.46
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.41
WACC
2.04%
σ = 0.15
Terminal Growth
23.3%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
99.2%
2960 / 2984 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 8.2s
Cost per Run: $0.0154
Total Cost: $45.92
~5426 + 460 tokens
Calibration Detail
59
/100
Correction Rate: 15.1%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 783
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