Grok
xAI
· 2026-05-22
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
↯Speed Champion8.5s
Grok is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -2.5%. Moderate daily volatility (1.40%/day). Wins: Speed Champion. High validity rate (99.2%). Fastest model at 8.5s avg latency.
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-2.5%
Avg Gap
55/100
Calibration
43%
Correction Rate
39%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
59
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
48.1%
Mean Absolute Error
17.9%
Prediction Bias
-2.6%
Hit Rate (±5%)
19%
N = 1323 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
8.0%
σ = 7.04
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
σ = 1.21
WACC
2.06%
σ = 0.18
Terminal Growth
23.9%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
99.2%
1346 / 1357 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 8.5s
Cost per Run: $0.0154
Total Cost: $20.92
~5168 + 520 tokens
Calibration Detail
55
/100
Correction Rate: 43.4%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 1346
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