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AI model estimates for
Berkshire Hathaway B vs spot price

2026-07-10🇺🇸 S&Pfinancials
495.45 USD
previous close — not live
52-Week Range
$455.19
$516.85

As of 2026-07-10, 5 AI models estimate BRK-B median target $517.53 (+4.5% vs spot $495.45, model agreement 0.96). Analyst consensus $520.33 (3 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.

AI Consensus

Model estimate
$517.53
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+4.5%
Agreement
0.965/5 models
Raw 0.95⚠ cap-induced
Dispersion
σ 1.3%
Analyst consensus
$520.33(3 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on BRK-B. Key driver: Massive cash and Treasury portfolio (~$397B) generates substantial float inco... AI consensus estimate 517.53 4.5% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.96). Analyst consensus: 520.33 (AI -0.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokBRK-BBerkshire H…495.4spot520.3analysts492499505511517523
Bear Case (min)
$492.88
-0.5%
Base Case (median)
$517.53
+4.5%
Bull Case (max)
$516.33
4.2%
Bear/Bull: pure model range · Base incl. 30% analyst anchoring

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:517.53→517.53(+0.0%)
stable×2no-assumption-changeconfidence-stable

What Changed (7 days)

Between 2026-07-03 and 2026-07-10, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for BRK-B moved from $516.86 to $517.53 (+0.1%); median WACC 9.0% → 9.0% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 0.0% → 1.3%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.

Metric7d ago (2026-07-03)Now (2026-07-10)Change
AI consensus estimate$516.86$517.53+0.1%
Median WACC9.00%9.00%+0.00 pp
Median terminal growth2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Median revenue CAGR (5y)4.5%5.0%+0.50 pp
Median EBIT margin target24.0%25.0%+1.00 pp
Model dispersion σ0.0%1.3%+1.28 pp

Model Breakdown

CLAUDE →ADJ
Est.
517.53
Gap
+4.5%
Conf
0.70
DCF 516.33 → Cal. 517.53
Key Drivers
  • Massive cash and Treasury portfolio (~$397B) generates substantial float inco…
  • Greg Abel's active capital deployment — including $20B+ into Alphabet — signa…
  • Insurance operations (GEICO, General Re, BHRG) remain core profit engines; GE…
Top Risk
  • Catastrophic insurance loss events (major hurricanes, earthquakes, wildfires) could mat…
  • A sustained decline in interest rates would compress returns on the enormous Treasury a…
  • BNSF faces structural headwinds from intermodal competition, declining coal volumes, an…
Delta
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model. Confidence holds steady at 0.70, with con…
No change
no-assumption-changeconfidence-stableabel-capital-deployment
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
517.53
Gap
+4.5%
Conf
0.70
DCF 516.33 → Cal. 517.53
Key Drivers
  • Diversified conglomerate with stable insurance float, regulated utility earni…
  • Large cash position (~$397B) provides flexibility for acquisitions and share …
  • Low beta (0.61) reflects defensive nature, supporting a moderate WACC via CAPM
Top Risk
  • Concentration risk: significant exposure to insurance, railroad, and energy sectors
  • Regulatory changes in insurance and utility segments could impact margins
  • Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty may affect investment portfolio value
Delta
After reviewing the same primary data and market anchors, all assumptions remain unchanged from the previous day's mo…
No change
no changestable outlook
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
517.53
Gap
+4.5%
Conf
0.70
DCF 516.33 → Cal. 517.53
Key Drivers
  • Highly diversified operations across insurance, rail, utilities, and manufact…
  • Significant net cash position ($397.4 billion as of 2026-07-10) offers financ…
  • Strong capital allocation strategy under long-standing leadership.
Top Risk
  • Potential for economic downturns to impact various business segments simultaneously.
  • Interest rate volatility affecting investment income and insurance liabilities.
  • Regulatory changes in the insurance and utility sectors could impact profitability.
Delta
No significant changes to core valuation assumptions since yesterday.
No change
GROK →ADJ
Est.
517.53
Gap
+4.5%
Conf
0.55
DCF 516.33 → Cal. 517.53
Key Drivers
  • Insurance float and investment income remain primary earnings drivers
  • Rail and utility segments provide stable low-double-digit margins
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 20.6% (2022-2025) expected to moderate as scale in…
Top Risk
  • Equity portfolio concentration and mark-to-market volatility
  • Regulatory or tax changes affecting insurance/reinsurance profitability
  • Lower interest rates reducing float earnings
Delta
No material change in fundamentals or outlook; assumptions carried forward.
No change
stable
GPT →
Est.
501.12
Gap
+1.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 492.88 → Cal. 501.12
Key Drivers
  • Diversified revenue sources across various industries
  • Strong historical revenue growth
  • Potential for margin expansion with future investments
Top Risk
  • Economic downturns affecting diverse operations
  • Regulatory challenges in insurance and utilities sectors
  • Competition in insurance and financial services
Delta
No significant changes in assumptions compared to yesterday.
No previous data
stablevaluation

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y5.0%4.5%4.5%6.0%6.0%
ROE Target11.0%12.0%12.0%10.1%12.0%
WACC8.5%8.5%10.0%11.5%9.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin23.3%
EBITDA Margin31.4%
ROE10.1%
Net Debt / EBITDA-2.3x
P/E Trailing14.7x
EV / EBITDA6.8x
P/B0.0x
Analyst Range481.00 – 570.00
Berkshire Hathaway Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the insurance, freight rail transportation, and utility businesses. The company provides property, casualty, life, accident, and health insurance and reinsurance; operates railroad systems in North America; generates, transmits, stores, and distributes electricity from natural gas, coal, wind, solar, hydroelectric, nuclear, and geothermal sources; operates natural gas distribution and storage facilities, interstate pipelines, liquefied natural gas facilities, and compressor and meter stations; and holds interest in coal mining assets. It manufactures boxed chocolates and other confectionery products; specialty chemicals, metal cutting tools, and components for aerospace and power generation applications; prefabricated and site-built residential homes, flooring products; insulation, roofing, and engineered products; building and engineered components; paints and coatings; and bricks and masonry products, as well as offers manufactured and site-built home construction, and related lending and financial services. In addition, the company provides recreational vehicles, apparel, footwear, toys, jewelry, custom picture
Source: Yahoo Finance

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