AI Investor Barometer
Experimental AI model comparison tool.
Not investment advice, research, or recommendation.
Not investment advice, research, or recommendation.
Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge. Start here →
AI daily brief · 2026-04-17
TIETO leads today's outliers with a striking +42.1% positive gap, while the Finnish industrial names dominate the negative end — NOKIA (-26.1%), NESTE (-23.8%), and UPM (-23.0%) all show AI estimates running well above current market prices. MSFT and BRK-B posted the largest estimate revisions, with AI models cutting their targets by 3.3% and 5.0% respectively, yet both retain positive gaps, suggesting models still see upside relative to where these stocks trade. The overall median gap widened to -9.6% from -6.3%, a 3.3 percentage point deterioration across 23 stocks, indicating broad-based market pricing that continues to outrun AI model estimates to the downside.
Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data
AI Market Pulse
AI VALUATION GAP
-12.2%
Strong Negative
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
7.1%
Moderate
SENTIMENT SHIFT
→ -0.2pp
Stable
23 tickers · All markets
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Biggest Estimate Changes
▼
6.0% → 0.7%
▼
12.6% → 8.9%
▲ Largest Positive Gap
01
02
03
AI Model Bias Index
▾Most Positive: Claude (-4.5% avg 34d)Most Negative: DeepSeek (-10.3% avg 34d)
GPT
Claude
Gemini
DeepSeek
Grok
AI Model Traits
▾Systematic bias & estimate volatility — based on all available history
GPT →
🐻 Negative bias(-3.1%)
Positive Bias Days: 33.8%
🔥 High Variance(3.7%/day)
Based on 34 days of data
DEEPSEEK →
🐻 Negative bias(-4.4%)
Positive Bias Days: 33.8%
⚡ Responsive(2.4%/day)
Based on 34 days of data
AI Model Calibration
▾Proximity to analyst consensus — lower correction need = closer alignment
Model Spread — all models per stock, │ = spot
▾Hover dot → estimate and gap %
⚡ Disagreement
▾Where models diverge most
METAMeta Platforms Inc.σ 13.5%
TIETOTietoEVRY Oyjσ 8.0%
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.σ 7.4%
WRT1VWärtsilä Oyjσ 6.5%
JNJJohnson & Johnsonσ 4.5%
UPMUPM-Kymmene Oyjσ 3.7%
PGProcter & Gamble Co.σ 2.9%
NDA1VNordea Bank Abpσ 2.5%
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.σ 2.5%
AAPLApple Inc.σ 0.0%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.σ 0.0%
NVDANVIDIA Corporationσ 0.0%
ORNBVOrion Oyj Bσ 0.0%
TSLATesla Inc.σ 0.0%
All companies
▾| Ticker↕ | Spot↕ | AI Est.↕ | Δ Est.↕ | Gap↓ | Agreeⓘ↕ | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TietoEVRY Oyj | 18.66 € | 26.52 € | – | 42.1% | 0.81 | |
| Orion Oyj B | 73.65 € | 100.13 € | ▲ +1.4% | 36.0% | 1.00 | |
| Alphabet Inc. | $336.02 | $409.89 | – | 22.0% | 0.82 | |
| Meta Platforms Inc. | $676.87 | $798.10 | – | 17.9% | 0.71 | |
MSFT⚖ Microsoft Corporation | $420.26 | $457.74 | ▼ -3.3% | 8.9% | 0.81 | |
| Elisa Oyj | 41.34 € | 42.74 € | ▲ +1.7% | 3.4% | 0.83 | |
| Nordea Bank Abp | 15.89 € | 16.36 € | – | 3.0% | 0.93 | |
NVDA⚖ NVIDIA Corporation | $198.35 | $202.80 | – | 2.2% | 1.00 | |
| Berkshire Hathaway B | $475.12 | $478.62 | ▼ -5.0% | 0.7% | 0.90 | |
| KONE Oyj | 57.72 € | 56.14 € | – | -2.7% | 0.82 | |
| Johnson & Johnson | $234.54 | $223.93 | – | -4.5% | 0.88 | |
| Procter & Gamble Co. | $143.11 | $129.33 | – | -9.6% | 0.92 | |
| Metso Oyj | 16.12 € | 14.47 € | ▼ -3.7% | -10.2% | 0.88 | |
| Wärtsilä Oyj | 36.00 € | 31.17 € | ▲ +2.0% | -13.4% | 0.84 | |
AMZN⚖🏗 Amazon.com Inc. | $249.70 | $212.23 | – | -15.0% | 0.93 | |
AAPL⚖ Apple Inc. | $263.40 | $223.82 | – | -15.0% | 1.00 | |
| Sampo Oyj | 9.37 € | 7.72 € | – | -17.6% | 0.87 | |
JPM⚖ JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $309.95 | $254.85 | – | -17.8% | 1.00 | |
XOM⚖ ExxonMobil Corporation | $151.98 | $123.91 | – | -18.5% | 1.00 | |
TSLA⚖ Tesla Inc. | $388.90 | $313.01 | – | -19.5% | 1.00 | |
UPM⚖ UPM-Kymmene Oyj | 26.09 € | 20.09 € | ▼ -2.3% | -23.0% | 0.90 | |
| Neste Oyj | 24.63 € | 18.76 € | – | -23.8% | 0.89 | |
| Nokia Oyj | 8.59 € | 6.35 € | – | -26.1% | 0.77 |
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok): ● positive ● negative ● invalid · ⚖ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-04-17 07.43 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
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