As of 2026-10-16, 5 AI models estimate KNEBV median target 77.71 € (+42.6% vs spot 54.50 €, model agreement 0.72). Analyst consensus 59.75 € (22 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
77.71 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
+42.6%
Agreement
0.725/5 models
Raw 0.72
Dispersion
σ 13.0%
Analyst consensus
59.75 €(22 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
72.33 €
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on KNEBV.
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
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What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:77.71→77.71(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-16, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for KNEBV moved from 77.71 € to 77.71 € (+0.0%); median WACC 7.0% → 7.0% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 11.2% → 13.0%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
Maintenance and modernization recurring revenue base provides stability
Historical revenue CAGR 1.0% (2022-2025) with forward 3.1% growth anchor
Trailing EBIT margin 11.8% supports steady-state target near 12%
Top Risk
TK Elevator acquisition integration costs and execution risk
Cyclical exposure to construction and real estate activity
Currency translation and emerging market exposure
Delta
No material change in core assumptions versus prior day model.
Valuation Assumptions
CLAUDE
DEEPSEEK
GEMINI
GPT
GROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
3.5%
4.0%
EBIT Margin Target
13.0%
12.5%
12.5%
12.5%
12.0%
WACC
8.6%
7.0%
6.5%
8.5%
6.5%
Terminal Growth
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
What Would Need to Be True?
Assumption
AI Consensus
Market Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)
4.0%
1.0%
-3.0pp
EBIT Margin Target
12.5%
9.3%
-3.2pp
WACC
7.0%
8.3%
+1.2pp
Based on spot price 54.50 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin11.8%
EBITDA Margin13.5%
ROE33.7%
Net Debt / EBITDA-0.3x
P/E Trailing29.9x
EV / EBITDA18.1x
P/B12.3x
Analyst Range46.00 – 82.00
KONE Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the elevator and escalator business worldwide. The company provides elevators, escalators, automatic building doors, and integrated access control solutions, as well as maintenance and modernization solutions. It also offers KONE Office Flow, a modular connected people flow solution that delivers personalized access and enhanced user experiences in workplaces; health and well-being solutions for elevators, escalators, and doors; KONE Access, an access control system, which is integrated with elevator system and building doors; KONE Destination, a destination control system that reduce waiting and travel times; KONE infotainment, a communication channel for building tenants and visitors; and monitoring solutions that enable real-time inspection of elevators and escalators. In addition, the company provides people flow planning and consulting services; solutions for special buildings and large projects; cybersecurity solutions; and energy solutions for greener buildings. It also offers hands-on, immersive training to technicians, engineers, and service professional through a training center in Egypt. KONE Oyj was founded in 1908 an
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. About · Methodology · Terms of Use · Privacy Policy
Key driver: High-margin service and maintenance contracts generate strong recurring cash ...
AI consensus estimate 77.71 42.6% above the current price.
Model agreement is high (0.72).
Analyst consensus: 59.75 (AI +30.1%).
Bear Case (min)
56.35 €
3.4%
Base Case (median)
77.71 €
+42.6%
Bull Case (max)
80.36 €
47.4%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)