Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 49% | 17.8% | -0.5% | 22.6% | 1715 |
| Claude | 49% | 19% | 0% | 19.5% | 1711 |
| Grok | 48.2% | 17.6% | -3.5% | 19.2% | 1737 |
| DeepSeek | 47.6% | 17.9% | -5.5% | 12.8% | 1748 |
| Gemini | 47.1% | 19.5% | -0.7% | 17.8% | 1689 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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