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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
KONE Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-06-17🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
49.49 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
47.94 €
70.00 €

Tilanne 2026-06-17: 5 AI-mallia arvioi KNEBV:n mediaaniksi 59.51 € (+20.2% suhteessa spotiin 49.49 €, mallien yksimielisyys 0.74). Analyytikkokonsensus 61.67 € (23 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
59.51 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+20.2%
Yksimielisyys
0.745/5 mallia
Raaka 0.67
Hajonta
σ 0.12
Analyytikkokonsensus
61.67 €(23 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia KNEBV. Avaintekijä: TK Elevator (TKE) acquisition at ~€29.4bn creates the world's largest elevato... AI-konsensusarvio 59.51 20.2% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.74). Analyytikkokonsensus: 61.67 (AI -3.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokKNEBVKONE Oyj49.5spot61.7analysts46.452.859.365.772.278.6
Pessimistinen (min)
50.52 €
2.1%
Perus (mediaani)
59.51 €
+20.2%
Optimistinen (max)
81.44 €
64.6%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:60.79→59.51(-2.1%)
CAGR
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
no assumption changestable modeltke deal pending

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →
Est.
75.51
Ero
+52.6%
Conf
0.72
DCF 81.44 → Kal. 75.51
Avaintekijät
  • TK Elevator (TKE) acquisition at ~€29.4bn creates the world's largest elevato…
  • Maintenance and modernization segment (~50%+ of revenue) provides high-margin…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 11.8% has a credible expansion path toward 12.5% as T…
Suurin riski
  • TKE integration risk is substantial: the ~€29.4bn deal introduces significant execution…
  • Post-acquisition leverage will rise sharply from the current near-zero net debt positio…
  • China construction slowdown remains a structural headwind — KONE has historically deriv…
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (wacc 7.5%, revenue_cagr_5y 8%, terminal_gro…
Ei muutosta
no assumption changestable modeltke deal pending
GPT →
Est.
62.16
Ero
+25.6%
Conf
0.70
DCF 62.36 → Kal. 62.16
Avaintekijät
  • Strong demand in modernization and maintenance services
  • Strategic acquisitions enhancing market position
  • Growth in new product offerings and technologies
Suurin riski
  • Economic downturn impacting construction and renovations
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting production
  • Intense competition in the industrials sector
Muutos
No significant changes in assumptions since the previous report.
Ei edellistä dataa
assumptionsstability
GROK →
Est.
59.51
Ero
+20.2%
Conf
0.65
DCF 58.59 → Kal. 59.51
Avaintekijät
  • TK Elevator acquisition materially expands revenue base and global scale
  • historical revenue CAGR 1.0% with stable maintenance/services mix
  • trailing EBIT margin 11.8% supports normalized target near 12%
Suurin riski
  • execution and integration risk on large cross-border acquisition
  • cyclical exposure to construction and capex cycles
  • margin pressure from pricing competition in new equipment
Muutos
Assumptions unchanged; acquisition impact already reflected in prior model.
Ei edellistä dataa
no change
GEMINI →
Est.
59.34
Ero
+19.9%
Conf
0.70
DCF 58.34 → Kal. 59.34
Avaintekijät
  • Strategic acquisition of TK Elevator expected to significantly expand market …
  • Potential for revenue growth and operational synergies from the integration o…
  • Global urbanization and infrastructure development driving demand for new ins…
Suurin riski
  • Integration challenges and potential costs associated with the large-scale TK Elevator …
  • Cyclicality of the construction and real estate markets impacting new equipment orders.
  • Intense competition from established global players in the elevator and escalator indus…
Muutos
Revenue growth forecast has been slightly adjusted downwards, reflecting a more conservative outlook on the integrati…
CAGR
-0.5pp
Revenue Growth AdjustmentAcquisition Integration
DEEPSEEK →
Est.
53.86
Ero
+8.8%
Conf
0.70
DCF 50.52 → Kal. 53.86
Avaintekijät
  • Acquisition of TK Elevator for ~€29.4bn expected to create world's largest el…
  • Strong service and modernization backlog provides near-term revenue visibility
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 1% (2022-2025) anchors conservative growth outlook…
Suurin riski
  • Integration risk from TK Elevator acquisition may delay synergies and pressure margins …
  • Cyclical exposure to global construction and real estate markets could weigh on new equ…
  • Regulatory and antitrust approvals for the TKE deal may impose conditions or delays
Muutos
No material change in assumptions from yesterday's model. All four key inputs remain identical.
Ei muutosta
no change

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V8.0%4.0%4.5%
-0.5pp
5.0%5.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.5%12.0%12.5%14.5%12.0%
WACC7.5%8.5%8.0%8.5%8.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)5.0%2.2%-2.8pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.5%9.6%-2.9pp
WACC8.0%9.3%+1.3pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 49.49 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali11.8%
EBITDA-marginaali13.7%
ROE35.0%
Nettovelka / EBITDA-0.2x
P/E26.2x
EV / EBITDA16.4x
P/B12.2x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli45.00 – 84.00
KONE Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the elevator and escalator business worldwide. The company provides elevators, escalators, automatic building doors, and integrated access control solutions, as well as maintenance and modernization solutions. It also offers KONE Office Flow, a modular connected people flow solution that delivers personalized access and enhanced user experiences in workplaces; health and well-being solutions for elevators, escalators, and doors; KONE Access, an access control system, which is integrated with elevator system and building doors; KONE Destination, a destination control system that reduce waiting and travel times; KONE infotainment, a communication channel for building tenants and visitors; and monitoring solutions that enable real-time inspection of elevators and escalators. In addition, the company provides people flow planning and consulting services; solutions for special buildings and large projects; cybersecurity solutions; and energy solutions for greener buildings. It also offers hands-on, immersive training to technicians, engineers, and service professional through a training center in Egypt. KONE Oyj was founded in 1908 an
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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