Capacity expansion in renewable products, including Singapore SAF expansion a…
Increasing regulatory mandates for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) across Eur…
Recovery of renewable product sales margins towards normalized mid-cycle leve…
Suurin riski
High volatility in renewable feedstock costs (waste and residue oils) impacting refinin…
Regulatory changes or enforcement delays regarding biofuel blending mandates in key jur…
Rising competition as traditional oil majors scale up renewable fuel production capabil…
Muutos
Valuation assumptions are maintained from yesterday as mid-term fundamental outlook and energy transition dynamics re…
Arvostusoletukset
CLAUDE
DEEPSEEK
GEMINI
GPT
GROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V
4.0%
4.0%
4.5%
3.0%
4.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite
9.0%
9.0%
9.5%
8.0%
9.0%
WACC
8.6%
9.0%
9.0%
8.0%
9.3%
Terminaalikasvu
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?
Oletus
AI-konsensus
Markkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)
4.0%
8.5%
+4.5pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite
9.0%
12.6%
+3.6pp
WACC
9.0%
7.1%
-1.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 32.08 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali1.7%
EBITDA-marginaali13.2%
ROE20.8%
Nettovelka / EBITDA1.3x
P/E16.2x
EV / EBITDA10.4x
P/B2.9x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli18.40 – 41.50
Neste Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel in Finland, other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Renewable Products, Oil Products, Marketing & Services segments. It produces, markets, and sells renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and related solutions. The company also provides various oil products, including diesel, gasoline, aviation and marine fuels, light and heavy fuel oils, gasoline components, and special fuels, such as small-engine gasoline, solvents, and liquid gases for retailers and distributors, oil majors and trading companies, and companies marketing lubricants and solvents. In addition, the company markets and sells lower emission fuels, oil products, and associated digital solutions to consumers, transport service providers, aviation, shipping, industrial and agricultural, and municipalities and heating fuel customers and fuel distributors; and markets transport fuels and electric vehicle charging services. The company was formerly known as Neste Oil Oyj and changed its name to Neste Oyj in June 2015. Neste Oyj was
Tilaa sähköpostiuutisetIlmainen · Ei roskapostia · Peruuta milloin vain · Tietosuoja
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
Kaikki sisältö on tekoälymallien tuottamaa ja voi sisältää virheitä. Tämä on kokeellinen työkalu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa, -tutkimusta eikä -suositusta. Tietoa · Metodologia · Käyttöehdot · Tietosuoja
4 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia NESTE.
Avaintekijä: Trailing EBIT margin of 1.7% is severely cycle-depressed; normalized mid-cycl...
AI-konsensusarvio 32.99 2.8% yli nykyhinnan.
Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.77).
Analyytikkokonsensus: 35.42 (AI -6.9%).
Pessimistinen (min)
26.44 €
-17.6%
Perus (mediaani)
32.99 €
+2.8%
Optimistinen (max)
36.58 €
14.0%
Bear/Base/Bull: mallien oma haarukka (12 kk:n arvot)