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XOMExxonMobil Corporation

📅 2026-04-08🇺🇸 S&Penergy
163.91 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$97.80
$176.41

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$121.02
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-26.2%
Yksimielisyys
1.004/5 mallia ⚠
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$160.29(24 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia XOM. Huomioitavaa: Significant fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices could materially... AI-konsensusarvio 121.02 26.2% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 160.29 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokXOMExxonMobil …163.9spot160.3analysts116127137148158169
Pessimistinen (min)
$104.19
-36.4%
Perus (mediaani)
$121.02
-26.2%
Optimistinen (max)
$104.19
-36.4%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:120.93→121.02(+0.1%)
no-assumption-changeconfidence-nudge-upstable-thesis
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE⚖
Est.
121.02
Ero
-26.2%
Conf
0.62
DCF 104.19 → Kal. 121.02
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue CAGR of -6.7% is commodity-cycle distorted by post-2022 oi…
  • Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition (closed 2024) adds meaningful Permian s…
  • Low beta (0.29) reflects XOM's integrated business model, investment-grade ba…
Suurin riski
  • Sustained decline in crude oil prices below $60-65/bbl would compress EBIT margins mate…
  • Global macro slowdown or demand destruction from escalating trade tariffs could suppres…
  • Pioneer integration execution risk: failure to capture $2B+ synergy target or cost over…
Muutos
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model. The macro and company-specific inputs rem…
Ei muutosta
no-assumption-changeconfidence-nudge-upstable-thesis
DEEPSEEK⚖
Est.
121.02
Ero
-26.2%
Conf
0.65
DCF 104.19 → Kal. 121.02
Avaintekijät
  • Historical revenue decline (-6.7% CAGR 2022-2025) driven by commodity price n…
  • Forward revenue growth anchored to analyst 1-year estimate of -1.3%, with mod…
  • EBIT margin target of 12% reflects normalization from trailing 10.5%, conside…
Suurin riski
  • Commodity price volatility (oil, gas) directly impacts revenue and margins.
  • Energy transition risks: regulatory changes, carbon pricing, and shift to renewables.
  • Geopolitical risks affecting operations and supply chains.
Muutos
No material changes to assumptions; maintaining same parameters as yesterday's model.
Ei muutosta
no changestable assumptions
GEMINI⚖
Est.
121.02
Ero
-26.2%
Conf
0.80
DCF 104.19 → Kal. 121.02
Avaintekijät
  • Global energy demand trends and commodity price volatility (oil, natural gas,…
  • Success of investments in lower-emission business opportunities, including ca…
  • Operational efficiency and cost management across Upstream, Energy Products, …
Suurin riski
  • Significant fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices could materially impact re…
  • Increasing global focus on climate change and decarbonization may lead to stricter regu…
  • Geopolitical instability in key operating regions could disrupt supply chains and opera…
Muutos
No significant changes in key valuation assumptions compared to yesterday's model, indicating a stable outlook.
Ei edellistä dataa
no changestable outlook
GPT⚖
Est.
121.02
Ero
-26.2%
Conf
0.60
DCF 104.19 → Kal. 121.02
Avaintekijät
  • Focus on lower-emission technologies
  • Stable demand for energy products
  • Investment in new energy projects
Suurin riski
  • Volatility in crude oil prices
  • Regulatory changes affecting fossil fuels
  • Competition from renewable energy sources
Muutos
No significant changes in key assumptions from yesterday.
Ei edellistä dataa
energyvaluationstability
GROKEI VALIDI
Est.
163.91
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPT
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V1.0%1.0%1.5%2.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite12.0%12.0%11.0%10.0%
WACC9.0%9.5%9.0%9.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali10.5%
EBITDA-marginaali18.3%
ROE11.1%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.7x
P/E23.7x
EV / EBITDA12.2x
P/B2.6x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –

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