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ORNBVOrion Oyj B

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHhealthcare
71.70 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
46.62 €
75.30 €

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
98.10 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+36.8%
Yksimielisyys
0.965/5 mallia
Hajonta
σ 0.01
Analyytikkokonsensus
72.67 €(6 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia ORNBV. Avaintekijä: Record 2025 revenue of €1.89B with exceptional 60.1% analyst-estimated 1-year... AI-konsensusarvio 98.10 36.8% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.96). Analyytikkokonsensus: 72.67 (AI +35.0%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokORNBVOrion Oyj B71.7spot72.7analysts68.575.181.688.294.7101
Pessimistinen (min)
104.52 €
45.8%
Perus (mediaani)
98.10 €
+36.8%
Optimistinen (max)
109.00 €
52.0%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:98.1098.10(+0.0%)
CAGR
-1.0pp(2 ↓)
MARG
+1.0pp(1 ↑)
WACC
-0.1pp(1 ↓)
assumptions-stableno-new-primary-datahold
Mallien erittely
DEEPSEEK
Est.
98.10
Ero
+36.8%
Conf
0.80
DCF 109.00Kal. 98.10
Avaintekijät
  • Record 2025 revenue of €1.89B with exceptional 60.1% analyst-estimated 1-year…
  • Strong historical revenue CAGR of 12.1% (2022-2025) provides robust baseline …
  • High trailing EBIT margin of 33.3% indicates pricing power and operational ef…
Suurin riski
  • Revenue growth heavily dependent on key drug Nubeqa; pipeline diversification is limited
  • Patent expirations on existing products could pressure long-term margins beyond forecas…
  • High P/E (20.2x) and P/B (7.85x) ratios suggest premium valuation sensitive to growth e…
Muutos
Maintained strong revenue growth assumption at 12% (slightly below yesterday's 13%) to reflect exceptional 2025 perfo…
CAGR
-1.0pp
MARG
+1.0pp
WACC
-0.1pp
revenue adjustedwacc refinedmargin maintained
GEMINI
Est.
98.10
Ero
+36.8%
Conf
0.80
DCF 109.00Kal. 98.10
Avaintekijät
  • Continued strong performance and market penetration of key oncology drug Nube…
  • Successful execution of the oncology-pivot strategy, potentially leading to h…
  • Maintenance of high EBIT margins, consistent with a specialty pharma company …
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition from generic manufacturers or new drug entrants in core therapeutic…
  • Potential patent expirations for existing key drugs impacting future revenue streams.
  • Regulatory changes or delays in drug approvals affecting product launches and market ac…
Muutos
Moderated 5-year revenue CAGR to reflect a more sustainable long-term growth trajectory following a period of excepti…
CAGR
-3.0pp
growth outlook moderated
GPT
Est.
98.10
Ero
+36.8%
Conf
0.70
DCF 109.00Kal. 98.10
Avaintekijät
  • Strong historical revenue growth
  • Expansion of product offerings
  • Sustained EBIT margins due to proprietary drugs
Suurin riski
  • Patent expirations affecting revenue
  • Regulatory changes impacting drug approvals
  • Intense competition in pharmaceutical market
Muutos
No significant changes since yesterday's model.
Ei edellistä dataa
GROK
Est.
98.10
Ero
+36.8%
Conf
0.78
DCF 109.00Kal. 98.10
Avaintekijät
  • Strong historical revenue growth (12.1% CAGR 2022-2025) supports a forward-lo…
  • Record 2025 results and strategic developments in oncology (e.g., Nubeqa for …
  • High trailing EBIT margin (33.3%) expected to remain stable at 34% with conti…
Suurin riski
  • Potential patent expirations on key drugs could impact future revenue streams.
  • Increased competition in specialty pharma markets may pressure margins.
  • Regulatory changes in key markets (Europe, North America) could affect pricing power.
Muutos
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, reflecting stable outlook based on recent financials and news.
Ei muutosta
stable assumptionsno major update
CLAUDE
Est.
94.97
Ero
+32.5%
Conf
0.73
DCF 104.52Kal. 94.97
Avaintekijät
  • Nubeqa (darolutamide) royalty stream from Bayer partnership remains the prima…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 12.1% (2022–2025: €1.34B→€1.89B) provides a strong…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 33.3% is well above typical diversified pharma, drive…
Suurin riski
  • Nubeqa royalty concentration risk: a significant portion of recent revenue and margin u…
  • Analyst 1-year revenue growth estimate of 60% sets a very high bar; any miss or royalty…
  • Patent expiration risk on legacy Parkinson's portfolio (Entacapone/Stalevo/Comtan) and …
Muutos
All four valuation assumptions are unchanged from the prior day model. No new material primary data has emerged from …
Ei muutosta
assumptions-stableno-new-primary-datahold

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V8.0%12.0%
-1.0pp
15.0%
-3.0pp
8.0%10.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite31.0%33.0%
+1.0pp
34.0%38.0%34.0%
WACC7.9%7.7%
-0.1pp
7.5%8.5%8.7%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali33.3%
EBITDA-marginaali36.1%
ROE38.9%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.2x
P/E20.2x
EV / EBITDA15.0x
P/B7.8x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli

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Does Orion Oyj (HLSE:ORNBV) Dividend Hike Clarify Its Oncology-Pivot Capital Allocation Strategy?2026-02-14
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