144.90 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$137.62
$171.65
AI-konsensus
Mallin arvio
$131.74
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-9.1%
Yksimielisyys
0.894/5 mallia ⚠
Hajonta
σ 0.04
Analyytikkokonsensus
$166.77(22 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia PG. Huomioitavaa: Inflationary pressures could impact input costs and challenge margin stabilit... AI-konsensusarvio 131.74 9.1% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (0.89). Analyytikkokonsensus: 166.77 (AI -21.0%).Pessimistinen (min)
$108.40
-25.2%
Perus (mediaani)
$131.74
-9.1%
Optimistinen (max)
$126.24
-12.9%
Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli
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Mikä muuttui tänään
Konsensusarvio:130.46→131.74(+1.0%)
CAGR+0.1pp(2 ↑, 1 ↓)
MARG+1.0pp(2 ↑)
WACC-0.1pp(1 ↓)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-consistent
Mallien erittely
CLAUDE
DCF 126.24 → Kal. 138.40
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 1.7% (2022-2025) reflects a mature, pricing-led po…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 24.0% is well above the consumer staples sector avera…
- Low beta of 0.40 confirms highly defensive, recession-resistant revenue profi…
Suurin riski
- Earnings growth consensus of -5.4% for next 12 months signals near-term EPS pressure fr…
- Tariff and commodity cost inflation (packaging, petrochemicals) could compress margins …
- Significant international revenue exposure creates FX translation drag on reported USD …
Muutos
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-consistent
GROK
DCF 116.72 → Kal. 131.74
Avaintekijät
- Strong brand portfolio across multiple consumer segments supports consistent …
- Supply chain optimizations expected to drive operational efficiencies and mar…
- Innovation in product formats, such as Dawn refill launch, likely to support …
Suurin riski
- Inflationary pressures could impact input costs and challenge margin stability if prici…
- Shifts in consumer preferences may affect adoption of new product formats or categories.
- Competitive intensity in consumer staples could pressure market share in key regions.
Muutos
CAGR+0.1pp
minor updateoutlook reaffirmed
DEEPSEEK⚖
DCF 108.40 → Kal. 125.91
Avaintekijät
- Historical revenue CAGR of 1.7% (2022-2025) provides baseline for mature mark…
- Analyst 1-year revenue growth estimate of 1.5% anchors near-term outlook.
- Supply Chain 3.0 initiative cited as potential catalyst for margin improvement.
Suurin riski
- Consumer habits may shift away from branded goods in economic downturns.
- High net debt to EBITDA (1.04x) could constrain financial flexibility.
- Intense competition in consumer packaged goods may pressure market share and pricing.
Muutos
CAGR-0.1pp
MARG+0.3pp
WACC-0.1pp
margin refinementgrowth stabilitywacc adjustment
GPT⚖
DCF 108.40 → Kal. 125.91
Avaintekijät
- Strong brand recognition and pricing power
- New product innovations enhancing market reach
- Operational efficiency improvements in supply chain
Suurin riski
- Potential inflation impacting consumer spending
- Supply chain constraints affecting product availability
- Shifts in consumer behavior due to economic changes
Muutos
CAGR+0.5pp
MARG+1.0pp
stabledefensive
GEMINIEI VALIDI
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa
Arvostusoletukset
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V | 3.0% | 2.1% -0.1pp | 2.5% +0.5pp | 3.5% +0.1pp |
| EBIT-marginaalitavoite | 24.5% | 25.4% +0.3pp | 25.0% +1.0pp | 26.0% |
| WACC | 7.5% | 8.1% -0.1pp | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Terminaalikasvu | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Tunnusluvut
EBIT-marginaali24.0%
EBITDA-marginaali29.0%
ROE31.1%
Nettovelka / EBITDA1.0x
P/E21.0x
EV / EBITDA14.7x
P/B6.4x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
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