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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
Amazon.com Inc. markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇺🇸 S&Pconsumer
268.46 USD
52 viikon vaihteluväli
$196.00
$278.56

5 AI-mallia arvioi AMZN:n mediaaniksi 236.04 USD (-12.1% suhteessa spotiin 268.46 USD, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 312.63 USD (62 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
$236.04
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
-12.1%
Yksimielisyys
1.004/5 mallia ⚠
Raaka 1.00
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
$312.63(62 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
4 viidestä AI-mallia on negatiivisia AMZN. Huomioitavaa: Intense competition across e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital advertisi... AI-konsensusarvio 236.04 12.1% alle nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 312.63 (AI -24.5%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokAMZNAmazon.com …268.5spot312.6analysts227246265284303322
Pessimistinen (min)
$203.21
-24.3%
Perus (mediaani)
$236.04
-12.1%
Optimistinen (max)
$203.21
-24.3%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:236.04→236.04(+0.0%)
CAGR
+1.0pp(1 ↑)
no changeminor changestability

Mallien erittely

DEEPSEEK →ADJTV
Est.
236.04
Ero
-12.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 203.21 → Kal. 236.04
Avaintekijät
  • AWS growth and AI adoption driving higher-margin revenue mix
  • Advertising business expanding rapidly with high incremental margins
  • Retail margin improvement from cost efficiencies and fulfillment optimization
Suurin riski
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions in US and EU
  • Intense competition in cloud (Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud) and retail (Walmart, Shopify)
  • Capital intensity of fulfillment and data center buildout may pressure near-term margins
Muutos
No material new information since yesterday; assumptions remain unchanged.
Ei muutosta
no change
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
236.04
Ero
-12.1%
Conf
0.80
DCF 203.21 → Kal. 236.04
Avaintekijät
  • Continued robust growth in Amazon Web Services (AWS) segment, enhancing overa…
  • Expansion of the high-margin advertising business, leveraging extensive custo…
  • Ongoing e-commerce penetration and global reach, supported by the Amazon Prim…
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition across e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital advertising markets.
  • Increasing global regulatory scrutiny and potential antitrust actions impacting busines…
  • Macroeconomic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending and enterprise IT bud…
Muutos
A minor adjustment was made to the 5-year revenue CAGR, reflecting a slightly more optimistic near-term growth outloo…
CAGR
+1.0pp
minor change
GPT →ADJTV
Est.
236.04
Ero
-12.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 203.21 → Kal. 236.04
Avaintekijät
  • Strong brand recognition driving sales.
  • Innovation in logistics and technology enhancing efficiency.
  • Expansion of Amazon Web Services contributing to revenue growth.
Suurin riski
  • Intense competition in e-commerce and cloud services.
  • Potential economic downturn affecting consumer purchasing.
  • Regulatory challenges in different markets.
Muutos
Assumptions remain stable with expectations for steady growth.
Ei edellistä dataa
stabilityconsumer
GROK →ADJTV
Est.
236.04
Ero
-12.1%
Conf
0.65
DCF 203.21 → Kal. 236.04
Avaintekijät
  • AWS and advertising mix shift supports margin expansion
  • Historical revenue CAGR 11.7% provides base for continued scale
  • High beta 1.47 reflected in elevated WACC
Suurin riski
  • Retail competition and thin margins persist
  • Heavy capex (17.7% of revenue) may pressure near-term FCF
  • Regulatory and antitrust exposure in core markets
Muutos
Assumptions unchanged from prior day.
Ei muutosta
stable
CLAUDE →EI VALIDI
Est.
268.46
Ero
+0.0%
Conf
0.00
Muutos
Ei edellistä dataa

Arvostusoletukset

DEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V12.0%15.0%
+1.0pp
10.0%12.0%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite14.0%15.0%12.0%14.0%
WACC9.5%11.5%9.0%10.5%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.5%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)12.0%17.5%+5.5pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite14.0%21.8%+7.8pp
WACC10.0%8.1%-1.9pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan $268.46 ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali10.8%
EBITDA-marginaali21.0%
ROE22.1%
Nettovelka / EBITDA0.6x
P/E31.8x
EV / EBITDA19.1x
P/B6.5x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, fire tablets, fire TVs, echo, ring, blink, and eero; and develops and produces media content. In addition, the company offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products in its stores; and programs that allow authors, independent publishers, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, it provides compute, storage, Artificial intelligence, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as advertising services through programs, such as sponsored ads, display, and video advertising. Additionally, the company offers Amazon Prime, a membership program. The company's products offered through its stores include merchandise and content purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. It serves consumers, sellers, developers, ent
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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