Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 48.5% | 17% | -0.1% | 23.5% | 633 |
| Claude | 47.9% | 19.2% | -1.2% | 24.4% | 624 |
| Grok | 46.9% | 20.1% | -1.7% | 21% | 633 |
| Gemini | 45.8% | 19.7% | -1.7% | 18.6% | 612 |
| DeepSeek | 45.6% | 20.6% | -4.5% | 13.2% | 638 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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