Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (before analyst anchoring), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 53% | 32% | -4.1% | 22.8% | 232 |
| Gemini | 52.2% | 37.7% | -1.7% | 12.1% | 232 |
| Grok | 52.2% | 33.5% | -3.3% | 12.5% | 232 |
| Claude | 49.8% | 37.7% | +4.1% | 3.5% | 231 |
| GPT | 49.6% | 31.8% | +8.9% | 17.1% | 228 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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