| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 54.2% | 30.3% | +14.3% | 17.2% | 783 |
| DeepSeek | 52.2% | 36.1% | +14.5% | 12.2% | 776 |
| Gemini | 52% | 34.1% | +14.6% | 14.2% | 786 |
| GPT | 51.9% | 34.3% | +7.1% | 7.2% | 788 |
| Grok | 51.7% | 34.8% | +12.8% | 9.5% | 787 |