Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 51.2% | 27.1% | -7.8% | 9.3% | 377 |
| Grok | 50.8% | 26.4% | -17.5% | 9.3% | 378 |
| DeepSeek | 49.7% | 25.6% | -15.7% | 12.8% | 376 |
| Claude | 49.5% | 25.6% | -5.9% | 19.6% | 382 |
| GPT | 49% | 27.9% | -15.3% | 11.5% | 382 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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