Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 49.7% | 18.2% | -1.5% | 20.6% | 885 |
| Claude | 49.6% | 18% | +1.1% | 16.6% | 890 |
| Grok | 48.8% | 15.2% | -4.7% | 18.1% | 906 |
| DeepSeek | 48.5% | 15.6% | -6.1% | 11.5% | 912 |
| Gemini | 47.9% | 18.5% | +0.5% | 17.3% | 885 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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