Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 58.1% | 20.6% | -4.6% | 14.8% | 270 |
| DeepSeek | 54.2% | 18.4% | -5% | 7.6% | 288 |
| Gemini | 53.5% | 21.5% | +0.6% | 8.7% | 286 |
| Grok | 53.3% | 19.8% | -2.4% | 8.7% | 287 |
| Claude | 51.6% | 21.3% | +2.8% | 8.8% | 273 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
GPT58.1%
Claude51.6%
Gemini53.5%
DeepSeek54.2%
Grok53.3%
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.