Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 53.3% | 15.6% | -6% | 10.9% | 888 |
| GPT | 52.8% | 18.3% | -1.5% | 18.6% | 861 |
| Grok | 52.8% | 15.2% | -4.5% | 16.4% | 882 |
| Claude | 52.3% | 18% | +1.2% | 15.5% | 866 |
| Gemini | 51.5% | 18.5% | +0.7% | 16.5% | 861 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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