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Model Accuracy
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How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
All
Finland
USA
1 Day
5 Days
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
Model
Directional Accuracy
Mean Absolute Error
Prediction Bias
Hit Rate (±5%)
N
Grok
50.6%
26.8%
-19%
8.7%
737
Gemini
50.4%
25.8%
-8.4%
8.3%
734
Claude
49.9%
24.1%
-7.4%
20.7%
738
DeepSeek
48.6%
25%
-16.4%
12.1%
733
GPT
45.6%
27.5%
-17.6%
11.5%
741
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Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
v8.1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
14.7.
28.7.
12.8.
26.8.
10.9.
24.9.
9.10.
DeepSeek
Claude
Gemini
Grok
GPT
DeepSeek
48.6%
Claude
49.9%
Gemini
50.4%
Grok
50.6%
GPT
45.6%
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
Model Accuracy & Backtesting — AI Investor Barometer