Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grok | 51.5% | 26.4% | -17.6% | 12.1% | 330 |
| DeepSeek | 50% | 25.8% | -16.8% | 16.5% | 328 |
| Gemini | 48% | 26.7% | -7.6% | 11.2% | 329 |
| Claude | 47.9% | 25.5% | -6.2% | 21.6% | 334 |
| GPT | 46.7% | 28.3% | -15.7% | 12.6% | 334 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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