Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT | 59% | 20.4% | -6.9% | 14.9% | 415 |
| DeepSeek | 53.3% | 20.6% | -5.1% | 9.4% | 437 |
| Grok | 52.8% | 21.2% | -2.8% | 14.3% | 434 |
| Claude | 52.3% | 20.3% | +0.9% | 17.4% | 409 |
| Gemini | 52.3% | 21.4% | -1% | 9.7% | 434 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
GPT59%
Claude52.3%
Gemini52.3%
DeepSeek53.3%
Grok52.8%
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.