Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (before analyst anchoring), scoped to the current engine version.
Model Accuracy — 5 Days
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 49.6% | 35.3% | -3.2% | 16.1% | 415 |
| GPT | 49.5% | 30% | -3% | 14.6% | 404 |
| DeepSeek | 49.4% | 29% | -14.8% | 19.8% | 415 |
| Claude | 47.5% | 33.3% | -5.7% | 5.8% | 415 |
| Grok | 47.5% | 31.4% | -16% | 11.3% | 415 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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