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Model Accuracy
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How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
All
Finland
USA
1 Day
5 Days
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
Model
Directional Accuracy
Mean Absolute Error
Prediction Bias
Hit Rate (±5%)
N
Claude
54.1%
30.2%
+14.3%
17.2%
787
DeepSeek
52.2%
36.1%
+14.4%
12.2%
780
Gemini
52%
34.1%
+14.5%
14.2%
790
GPT
51.9%
34.2%
+7%
7.3%
792
Grok
51.7%
34.8%
+12.7%
9.5%
791
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Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
v8.1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
14.7.
29.7.
14.8.
31.8.
16.9.
1.10.
16.10.
DeepSeek
Claude
Gemini
Grok
GPT
DeepSeek
52.2%
Claude
54.1%
Gemini
52%
Grok
51.7%
GPT
51.9%
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
Model Accuracy & Backtesting — AI Investor Barometer