Model Accuracy
How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
| Model | Directional Accuracy | Mean Absolute Error | Prediction Bias | Hit Rate (±5%) | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 48.4% | 20.1% | -1.2% | 22.5% | 821 |
| GPT | 48.3% | 17.3% | +0.5% | 24.7% | 830 |
| Grok | 47.7% | 20.2% | -2.2% | 20.3% | 831 |
| DeepSeek | 46.7% | 20.4% | -4.8% | 14.1% | 836 |
| Gemini | 46.3% | 20.7% | -2.1% | 18.4% | 804 |
Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
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