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Model Accuracy
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How well do model estimates predict actual price direction?
Backtest measures each model's own estimate (no analyst blending), scoped to the current engine version.
All
Finland
USA
1 Day
5 Days
Model Accuracy — 1 Day
Model
Directional Accuracy
Mean Absolute Error
Prediction Bias
Hit Rate (±5%)
N
Gemini
51.4%
25.5%
-7.9%
9.1%
788
Grok
50.9%
26.5%
-18.6%
8.7%
792
Claude
50.8%
23.8%
-7.1%
22.4%
793
GPT
50.1%
27.1%
-17.6%
11.9%
796
DeepSeek
50%
24.6%
-16%
12.7%
788
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Directional Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
v8.1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
14.7.
29.7.
14.8.
31.8.
16.9.
1.10.
16.10.
DeepSeek
Claude
Gemini
Grok
GPT
DeepSeek
50%
Claude
50.8%
Gemini
51.4%
Grok
50.9%
GPT
50.1%
Accuracy metrics are based on short-term price movements and limited data. They do not indicate future prediction quality.
Model Accuracy & Backtesting — AI Investor Barometer