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BRK-BBerkshire Hathaway B

📅 2026-04-03🇺🇸 S&Pfinancials
477.35 USD
52-Week Range
$455.19
$542.07

AI Consensus

Model estimate
$522.71
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+9.5%
Agreement
0.905/5 models
Dispersion
σ 0.04
Analyst consensus
$523.00(3 analysts)
AI Summary
4 of 5 AI models are positive on BRK-B. Key driver: Highly diversified business model spanning insurance, rail, utilities, and ma... AI consensus estimate 522.71 9.5% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.90). Analyst consensus: 523.00 (AI -0.1%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokBRK-BBerkshire H…477.4spot523.0analysts471482494505517529
Bear Case (min)
$456.34
-4.4%
Base Case (median)
$522.71
+9.5%
Bull Case (max)
$522.59
9.5%

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

Loading...

What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:522.71→522.71(+0.0%)
CAGR
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
ROE
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
stable assumptions×2no-changestable-assumptions
Model Breakdown
DEEPSEEK🏗
Est.
522.71
Gap
+9.5%
Conf
0.70
DCF 522.59 → Cal. 522.71
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 20.6% (2022-2025) was driven by acquisitions; futu…
  • Strong insurance underwriting discipline supports target margins, with traili…
  • Massive cash position ($373B) provides significant dry powder for strategic a…
Top Risk
  • Revenue growth has turned negative recently (analyst est. -0.7% 1Y), indicating near-te…
  • Earnings growth is negative (analyst est. -2.5% 1Y EPS), potentially pressuring near-te…
  • Large size and market cap may limit organic growth opportunities, increasing reliance o…
Delta
Maintaining stable assumptions with minor adjustment to revenue growth to reflect recent negative analyst estimates a…
CAGR
-0.5pp
ROE
-0.5pp
stable assumptionsminor revenue adjustment
GEMINI
Est.
522.71
Gap
+9.5%
Conf
0.75
DCF 522.59 → Cal. 522.71
Key Drivers
  • Highly diversified business model spanning insurance, rail, utilities, and ma…
  • Significant cash reserves offer flexibility for strategic investments and pot…
  • Strong brand and management reputation under Warren Buffett's leadership.
Top Risk
  • Economic downturns could impact various segments, particularly manufacturing and freigh…
  • Volatility in investment portfolio performance, given its large equity holdings.
  • Regulatory changes in the insurance and utility sectors could affect profitability.
Delta
No significant changes to core valuation assumptions since yesterday, reflecting a stable outlook.
No previous data
no changestable outlook
GROK🏗
Est.
522.71
Gap
+9.5%
Conf
0.65
DCF 522.59 → Cal. 522.71
Key Drivers
  • Diversified business model with strong insurance and utility segments providi…
  • Historical revenue growth of 20.6% CAGR moderated to 5% due to maturing opera…
  • EBIT margin target of 25% reflects expected operational efficiencies and favo…
Top Risk
  • Exposure to cyclical industries like rail and energy could impact revenue stability.
  • Potential underwriting losses in insurance if claims exceed expectations.
  • Regulatory changes in utilities and insurance sectors could affect profitability.
Delta
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, with no significant changes in key inputs based on current data…
No change
stable assumptionsno new data
CLAUDE
Est.
512.12
Gap
+7.3%
Conf
0.68
DCF 507.45 → Cal. 512.12
Key Drivers
  • Massive cash and T-bill position (~$373B as of year-end 2025) generates subst…
  • Insurance float (~$170B+) remains a structural competitive advantage, funding…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of ~20.6% is significantly inflated by acquisition ac…
Top Risk
  • Deployment of ~$373B cash hoard at attractive returns is uncertain; prolonged inaction …
  • BNSF railroad faces secular headwinds from intermodal competition, volume softness, and…
  • BHE utilities face elevated wildfire liability risk and capital-intensive energy transi…
Delta
All four core valuation assumptions remain unchanged from the prior day model (2026-04-02). The facts and market anch…
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsceo-transition-noted
GPT
Est.
476.34
Gap
-0.2%
Conf
0.70
DCF 456.34 → Cal. 476.34
Key Drivers
  • Diversification across various sectors including insurance and utilities.
  • Potential for revenue growth through strategic investments and market expansion.
  • Strong cash reserves that allow flexibility in operations.
Top Risk
  • Market volatility impacting revenue stability.
  • Regulatory challenges in the insurance and utilities sectors.
  • Economic downturns affecting growth opportunities.
Delta
No significant changes in assumptions since yesterday.
No previous data
stableunchanged

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y4.0%2.5%
-0.5pp
3.0%6.0%5.0%
ROE Target10.0%12.0%13.0%9.3%12.0%
WACC10.0%11.0%10.5%10.5%11.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin23.6%
EBITDA Margin29.8%
ROE9.3%
Net Debt / EBITDA-2.1x
P/E Trailing15.4x
EV / EBITDA7.2x
P/B0.0x
Analyst Range– – –

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