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KNEBVKONE Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
55.00 EUR
52-Week Range
45.94 €
70.00 €

AI Consensus

Model estimate
56.19 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+2.2%
Agreement
0.895/5 models
Dispersion
σ 0.04
Analyst consensus
61.23 €(20 analysts)
AI Summary
3 of 5 AI models are positive on KNEBV. Key driver: Continued strong order growth, particularly in modernization and new equipmen... AI consensus estimate 56.19 2.2% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.89). Analyst consensus: 61.23 (AI -8.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokKNEBVKONE Oyj55.0spot61.2analysts49.852.354.957.459.962.5
Bear Case (min)
46.63 €
-15.2%
Base Case (median)
56.19 €
+2.2%
Bull Case (max)
55.52 €
0.9%

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:56.19→56.19(+0.0%)
stable assumptions×2no-changestable-assumptions
Model Breakdown
GPT
Est.
57.23
Gap
+4.1%
Conf
0.70
DCF 55.52 → Cal. 57.23
Key Drivers
  • Strong order growth and backlog
  • Continued investments in digital solutions
  • Expansion into new markets
Top Risk
  • Economic downturn affecting construction sectors
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Intense competition in the elevator and escalator market
Delta
Valuation assumptions remain stable with a slight confidence increase due to recent insights.
No change
valuationassumptionsindustrial
CLAUDE
Est.
56.57
Gap
+2.9%
Conf
0.72
DCF 54.57 → Cal. 56.57
Key Drivers
  • Recurring maintenance and modernization revenues (~50%+ of total sales) provi…
  • Strong order growth highlighted in Q4 2025 earnings call supports near-term r…
  • Digital and connected services (KONE DX Class, IoT monitoring, KONE Access, d…
Top Risk
  • Prolonged weakness in Chinese new construction market remains the primary top-line head…
  • Analyst consensus projects -0.5% revenue growth in the next 12 months, suggesting near-…
  • Competitive intensity from Otis, Schindler, and TK Elevator in both new equipment and m…
Delta
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day's model run; all four key inputs (WACC 8.5%, revenue CAGR 4%, terminal g…
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-hold
GROK
Est.
56.19
Gap
+2.2%
Conf
0.75
DCF 54.02 → Cal. 56.19
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 1% adjusted to 4.5% based on strong order growth h…
  • EBIT margin target of 12.5% reflects slight improvement over trailing 11.9% d…
  • Exposure to urbanization and infrastructure projects in emerging markets supp…
Top Risk
  • Cyclical nature of the industrials sector may impact revenue during economic slowdowns.
  • Geopolitical tensions or supply chain disruptions could delay projects and increase costs.
  • Competitive pressures in the elevator and escalator market may challenge margin expansion.
Delta
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, reflecting no significant updates in company fundamentals or ma…
No change
stable assumptionsno major news
GEMINI
Est.
54.61
Gap
-0.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 51.78 → Cal. 54.61
Key Drivers
  • Continued strong order growth, particularly in modernization and new equipmen…
  • Expansion of digital and smart building solutions enhancing service offerings…
  • Global urbanization trends and infrastructure development providing a steady …
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality of the construction and real estate markets, impacting new equipment orders.
  • Intense competition in the global elevator and escalator industry, potentially pressuri…
  • Geopolitical instability and trade tensions affecting supply chains and market access.
Delta
No significant changes in key valuation assumptions since yesterday's model view.
No change
no change
DEEPSEEK
Est.
51.01
Gap
-7.3%
Conf
0.65
DCF 46.63 → Cal. 51.01
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR (2022-2025) is 1.0%, providing a low-growth baseline.
  • Analyst 1-year revenue growth estimate is -0.5%, indicating near-term headwinds.
  • Company reports strong order growth in Q4 2025, suggesting potential for futu…
Top Risk
  • Revenue growth has been minimal historically (~1% CAGR), posing a risk to achieving hig…
  • Industrial sector cyclicality could impact order flow and project timing.
  • Intense competition in elevator and escalator market may pressure pricing and margins.
Delta
No material changes to assumptions; maintaining conservative growth and margin targets based on historical performanc…
No change
stable assumptionsno material change

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y4.0%2.5%2.5%4.0%4.5%
EBIT Margin Target13.0%12.5%12.5%14.0%12.5%
WACC8.5%8.7%8.0%8.8%8.6%
Terminal Growth2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin11.9%
EBITDA Margin13.6%
ROE35.0%
Net Debt / EBITDA-0.5x
P/E Trailing29.1x
EV / EBITDA18.1x
P/B10.2x
Analyst Range– – –

Recent News

Is It Time To Reassess KONE Oyj (HLSE:KNEBV) After Its Recent Share Price Pullback?2026-03-04
KONE Oyj (KNYJF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Order Growth and Digital ...2026-02-06
Montage Gold Kept at Buy at Stifel Canada as Kone is Ahead of Schedule; Price Target Raised to C$12.752026-01-20
What The Evolving Narrative Means For KONE Oyj's Valuation2025-12-07
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