As of 2026-10-16, 5 AI models estimate METSO median target 14.89 € (-9.2% vs spot 16.39 €, model agreement 0.90). Analyst consensus 18.09 € (20 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.
AI Consensus
Model estimate
14.89 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
-9.2%
Agreement
0.905/5 models
Raw 0.90shrinkage-induced
Dispersion
σ 3.7%
Analyst consensus
18.09 €(20 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
15.85 €
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
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What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:14.89→14.89(+0.0%)
no-changesteady-stateassumptions-held
What Changed (7 days)
Between 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-16, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for METSO moved from 15.13 € to 14.89 € (-1.6%); median WACC 8.5% → 8.5% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 3.5% → 3.8%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.
Based on spot price 16.39 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin13.5%
EBITDA Margin16.2%
ROE18.8%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.4x
P/E Trailing27.1x
EV / EBITDA17.0x
P/B5.2x
Analyst Range14.00 – 21.50
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals. The company provides various equipment, parts, and services for contractors, aggregates quarries, manufacturing sand, slag recycling, and construction and demolition waste recycling; mobile equipment; and stationary equipment, such as crushers, screens, crushing and screening plants, conveyors, chutes, feeders, and air classifiers. It also offers loading and hauling, crushing, conveying, screening, grinding, floatation, magnetic separation, filtration, material and slurry handling, thickening and clarifying, hydrometallurgy, in-pit crush and convey, tailing management, digital twins, and automation services. In addition, the company provides spare and wear parts, including haul truck liners, crusher spares and wears, conveyor parts, screen/feeder spares, screening media, mill liners and spares, floatation and filtration parts, stacker reclaimers parts, apron feeder parts,
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-10-16
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. About · Methodology · Terms of Use · Privacy Policy
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are negative on METSO.
Key concern: Cyclical exposure to global mining and construction capex cycles
AI consensus estimate 14.89 9.2% below the current price.
Model agreement is high (0.90).
Analyst consensus: 18.09 (AI -17.7%).
Bear Case (min)
14.10 €
-13.9%
Base Case (median)
14.89 €
-9.2%
Bull Case (max)
15.61 €
-4.8%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)