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AI model estimates for
TietoEVRY Oyj vs spot price

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHtechnology
20.40 EUR
52-Week Range
14.30 €
20.62 €

5 AI models estimate TIETO median target 26.52 € (+30.0% vs spot 20.40 €, model agreement 1.00). Analyst consensus 19.64 € (9 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.

AI Consensus

Model estimate
26.52 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+30.0%
Agreement
1.005/5 models
Raw 1.00
Dispersion
σ 0.00
Analyst consensus
19.64 €(9 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on TIETO. Key driver: Successful execution of strategic divestments and cost optimization programs ... AI consensus estimate 26.52 30.0% above the current price. Model agreement is high (1.00). Analyst consensus: 19.64 (AI +35.0%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokTIETOTietoEVRY O…20.4spot19.6analysts18.820.522.223.925.627.3
Bear Case (min)
29.47 €
44.4%
Base Case (median)
26.52 €
+30.0%
Bull Case (max)
29.47 €
44.4%

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:26.52→26.52(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsanchored-to-consensus

Model Breakdown

CLAUDE →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Gap
+30.0%
Conf
0.67
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
  • Revenue has contracted sharply from EUR 2,928M (2022) to EUR 1,852M (2025), p…
  • Forward P/E of 11.9x and analyst consensus TP of EUR 19.64 (slightly below sp…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is below IT-services peer median; management cos…
Top Risk
  • Continued revenue contraction if legacy IT-services contracts are not replaced by new s…
  • Execution risk on margin improvement: trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is thin for a softwa…
  • High D&A burden (16.5% of revenue) from legacy M&A intangibles suppresses reported net …
Delta
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior model run; all four key inputs (WACC 8.8%, revenue CAGR 1%, EBIT margin targ…
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsanchored-to-consensus
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Gap
+30.0%
Conf
0.60
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
  • Revenue decline from 2022-2025 CAGR -14.2% due to divestments and market head…
  • Analyst consensus 1-year revenue growth -4.8% indicates near-term contraction
  • EBIT margin trailing at 8.4% with potential for modest improvement from cost …
Top Risk
  • Continued revenue contraction if legacy challenges persist
  • Margin pressure from competitive IT services market and wage inflation
  • Execution risk in cost transformation and strategic divestments
Delta
No material change in assumptions; same model as yesterday.
No change
no change
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Gap
+30.0%
Conf
0.75
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
  • Successful execution of strategic divestments and cost optimization programs …
  • Ability to stabilize and grow revenue in core segments despite legacy challen…
  • Performance and scalability of specialized platforms like Banking-as-a-Servic…
Top Risk
  • Continued revenue decline if strategic initiatives fail to stabilize the business.
  • Intense competition in the IT services and software sectors impacting pricing power and…
  • Execution risks associated with significant divestments and restructuring efforts.
Delta
The key valuation assumptions for Tieto Oyj remain consistent with the prior assessment, reflecting a continued perio…
No previous data
no significant change
GPT →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Gap
+30.0%
Conf
0.60
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
  • Focus on expanding digital services
  • Continued investment in new technology solutions
  • Diversification across multiple industry sectors
Top Risk
  • Legacy technology challenges
  • Strong competitive pressures
  • Economic downturns affecting customer budgets
Delta
Assumptions remain stable with no significant changes since the last report.
No previous data
stability
GROK →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Gap
+30.0%
Conf
0.55
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
  • Post-divestment revenue base stabilization after 2022-2025 contraction
  • IT services and software mix shift supporting modest margin recovery
  • Low beta of 0.66 supports below-sector WACC
Top Risk
  • Legacy revenue erosion continuing beyond analyst 1Y estimate
  • Higher-than-expected capex intensity in digital transformation
  • Competitive pressure in Banktech and Caretech segments
Delta
Assumptions held steady; minor stabilization signals in latest earnings highlights support unchanged revenue CAGR and…
No change
stabilization

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y1.0%2.0%-2.0%3.0%2.5%
EBIT Margin Target11.0%10.0%10.5%10.0%11.0%
WACC8.8%9.5%9.0%8.5%9.0%
Terminal Growth2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

What Would Need to Be True?

AssumptionAI ConsensusMarket Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)2.0%-8.4%-10.4pp
EBIT Margin Target10.5%-4.8%-15.3pp
WACC9.0%16.1%+7.1pp
Based on spot price 20.40 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin8.4%
EBITDA Margin14.2%
ROE6.9%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.4x
P/E Trailing31.7x
EV / EBITDA10.5x
P/B2.2x
Analyst Range– – –
Tieto Oyj operates as a software and digital engineering company in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tieto Tech Consulting, Tieto Banktech, Tieto Caretech, and Tieto Indtech Services. The Tieto Tech Consulting segment provides business advisory and design, data engineering, and other software research and development services. The Tieto Banktech segment offers Banking-as-a-Service platform and software products for payments, cards, wealth management, financial crime prevention, and credit domains. The Tieto Caretech segment provides modular, open, and interoperable software for customers in the health and social care sectors. The Tieto Indtech segment offers software and services to various industries, such as case management, pulp, paper, and fiber; and supports processes, including billing and invoicing and industry messaging, as well as purchase-to-pay process automation. It serves automotive, banking and financial services, education, energy and utilities, healthcare and welfare, manufacturing, public sector, pulp, paper, fibre, packaging and tissue, and telecom sectors. The company was formerly known as TietoEVRY Oyj and changed
Source: Yahoo Finance

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