19.17 EUR
52-Week Range
14.22 €
19.65 €
AI Consensus
Model estimate
26.52 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
+38.3%
Agreement
1.005/5 models
Dispersion
σ 0.00
Analyst consensus
19.64 €(8 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are positive on TIETO. Key driver: Stabilization and modest revenue growth expected post-divestments and strateg... AI consensus estimate 26.52 38.3% above the current price. Model agreement is high (1.00). Analyst consensus: 19.64 (AI +35.0%).Bear Case (min)
29.47 €
53.7%
Base Case (median)
26.52 €
+38.3%
Bull Case (max)
29.47 €
53.7%
Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time
Loading...
What Changed Today
Consensus Est.:26.52→26.52(+0.0%)
CAGR+0.5pp(1 ↑, 1 ↓)
MARG+0.5pp(1 ↑)
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-unchanged
Model Breakdown
CLAUDE⚖
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue CAGR of -14.2% (2022-2025) was driven by strategic divesti…
- Forward EPS of 1.77 EUR vs trailing EPS of 0.22 EUR implies a substantial ear…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 8.3% is below Nordic IT services peer norms; mix shif…
Top Risk
- Continued revenue contraction if further divestitures occur or if organic demand in Nor…
- High D&A ratio (16.3% of revenue) reflects significant intangible amortisation from pas…
- Elevated leverage (net debt/EBITDA 2.56x) limits financial flexibility and increases se…
Delta
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-over-day-unchanged
DEEPSEEK⚖
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue decline of -14.2% CAGR (2022-2025) indicates significant r…
- Analyst consensus projects near-term revenue growth of -1.7% (Yahoo Finance),…
- Trailing EBIT margin of 8.3% provides a base; target margin reflects modest i…
Top Risk
- Significant historical revenue contraction raises questions about the sustainability of…
- High net debt to EBITDA (2.56x) indicates financial leverage and potential pressure on …
- Trailing ROE is very low (2.4%), suggesting poor historical profitability on equity.
Delta
CAGR-0.5pp
MARG+0.5pp
minor-adjustmentstabilization-view
GEMINI⚖
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
- Stabilization and modest revenue growth expected post-divestments and strateg…
- Potential for EBIT margin expansion driven by ongoing cost management and ope…
- Continued demand for specialized software and digital engineering services ac…
Top Risk
- Further revenue decline if strategic shifts and divestments do not lead to business sta…
- Intense competition in the technology and IT services market potentially impacting pric…
- Failure to achieve targeted cost savings and margin improvements from restructuring eff…
Delta
No previous data
no change
GPT⚖
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
- Diversification of services across sectors
- Investment in technology and digital transformation
- Focus on improving operational efficiencies
Top Risk
- Economic downturn affecting demand for services
- Intense competition in the technology sector
- Regulatory changes impacting operations
Delta
No previous data
stableunchanged
GROK⚖
DCF 29.47 → Cal. 26.52
Key Drivers
- Historical revenue decline (-14.2% CAGR) reflects past challenges, but strate…
- Recent earnings updates highlight cost optimization and operational efficienc…
- Exposure to digital transformation in banking and health tech sectors provide…
Top Risk
- Continued revenue contraction risk if strategic initiatives fail to gain traction in ke…
- Elevated net debt to EBITDA ratio (2.56) may limit financial flexibility during economi…
- Intense competition in technology consulting and industry-specific software solutions c…
Delta
CAGR+0.5pp
stable assumptionsminor update
Valuation Assumptions
| CLAUDE | DEEPSEEK | GEMINI | GPT | GROK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR 5Y | 1.0% | 1.0% -0.5pp | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% +0.5pp |
| EBIT Margin Target | 11.0% | 9.5% +0.5pp | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| WACC | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Fundamentals
EBIT Margin8.3%
EBITDA Margin11.5%
ROE2.4%
Net Debt / EBITDA2.6x
P/E Trailing87.3x
EV / EBITDA13.0x
P/B2.1x
Analyst Range– – –
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AI Investor Barometer · 2026-04-03
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