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AI model estimates for
Wärtsilä Oyj vs spot price

2026-08-28🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
29.56 EUR
previous close — not live
52-Week Range
23.71 €
40.75 €

As of 2026-08-28, 5 AI models estimate WRT1V median target 30.17 € (+2.1% vs spot 29.56 €, model agreement 0.93). Analyst consensus 32.76 € (16 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.

AI Consensus

Model estimate
30.17 €
Pure model estimate — no analyst blending
Gap
+2.1%
Agreement
0.935/5 models
Raw 0.93
Dispersion
σ 2.7%
Analyst consensus
32.76 €(16 analysts)
Calibrated blend (research)
30.94 €
AI Summary
3 of 5 AI models are positive on WRT1V. Key driver: Record order intake and robust demand for marine and energy decarbonization s... AI consensus estimate 30.17 2.1% above the current price. Model agreement is high (0.93). Analyst consensus: 32.76 (AI -7.9%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokWRT1VWärtsilä Oyj29.6spot32.8analysts28.929.730.631.432.333.2
Bear Case (min)
29.27 €
-1.0%
Base Case (median)
30.17 €
+2.1%
Bull Case (max)
31.13 €
5.3%
Bear/Base/Bull: pure model range (12-month values)

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:30.1730.17(+0.0%)
unchanged×2no-changestable-assumptions

What Changed (7 days)

Between 2026-08-21 and 2026-08-28, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for WRT1V moved from 29.76 € to 30.17 € (+1.4%); median WACC 8.5% → 8.5% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 2.2% → 2.7%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.

Metric7d ago (2026-08-21)Now (2026-08-28)Change
AI consensus estimate29.76 €30.17 €+1.4%
Median WACC8.50%8.50%+0.00 pp
Median terminal growth2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Median revenue CAGR (5y)5.5%5.5%+0.00 pp
Median EBIT margin target13.0%13.0%+0.00 pp
Model dispersion σ2.2%2.7%+0.49 pp

Model Breakdown

DEEPSEEK
Est.
31.13
Gap
+5.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 31.13Cal. 31.62
Key Drivers
  • Q2 2026 earnings call highlights record order intake, supporting medium-term …
  • Energy storage, data centre power, and lifecycle/digital solutions broaden gr…
  • Brazilian ethanol-engine and power project developments signal new-fuel techn…
Top Risk
  • Marine and energy capital-goods demand remains cyclical and order timing can be lumpy.
  • Near-term analyst revenue growth estimate is negative, so order backlog conversion timi…
  • High valuation multiples leave limited room for execution misses.
Delta
No material change versus previous model. Core valuation assumptions remain unchanged.
No change
unchangedno-material-update
GROK
Est.
31.13
Gap
+5.3%
Conf
0.65
DCF 31.13Cal. 31.62
Key Drivers
  • Record order intake supporting near-term visibility
  • Expansion via energy storage and Brazilian ethanol/grid projects
  • Historical revenue CAGR 5.8% (2022-2025) with marine/energy tailwinds
Top Risk
  • Cyclical exposure in marine and energy end-markets
  • Execution risk on new power-plant contracts
  • Competition in BESS and engine solutions
Delta
Assumptions held steady; no material shift in fundamentals or outlook since prior day.
No previous data
no change
GPT
Est.
30.17
Gap
+2.1%
Conf
0.66
DCF 30.17Cal. 30.94
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue growth has been steady, with revenue rising from EUR 5.842…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 11.8% is already within a healthy industrial range, s…
  • Net cash position reduces financial risk and supports a WACC below the CAPM e…
Top Risk
  • Industrial and marine end-market demand can be cyclical and project timing can create r…
  • Execution risk on large energy and marine projects could affect margin conversion and w…
  • Competition in energy storage, power systems, and marine solutions may limit margin exp…
Delta
Assumptions are unchanged versus yesterday. The setup remains anchored to historical revenue growth, the current marg…
No change
unchangedcapm-waccindustrial-cyclicality
CLAUDE
Est.
29.36
Gap
-0.7%
Conf
0.73
DCF 29.36Cal. 30.38
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022–2025: EUR 5,842M to EUR 6,914M) anchors…
  • Energy transition tailwinds: growing demand for BESS (Quantum portfolio), gas…
  • Brazil market expansion (371 MW ethanol-powered grid engine projects with Ori…
Top Risk
  • Cyclical exposure in marine markets: new vessel orders are sensitive to global trade vo…
  • Near-term revenue headwind: analyst consensus projects -2.2% revenue growth for next 12…
  • Competitive pressure in energy storage from large-scale battery manufacturers (CATL, Te…
Delta
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior day's model run. All four core inputs (revenue_cagr_5y 5.5%, ebit_margin_tar…
No change
no-changestable-assumptionsday-5-consistency
GEMINI
Est.
29.27
Gap
-1.0%
Conf
0.75
DCF 29.27Cal. 30.32
Key Drivers
  • Record order intake and robust demand for marine and energy decarbonization s…
  • Expansion of high-margin lifecycle agreements and service revenue streams
  • Strong growth in utility-scale energy storage systems (BESS) and GEMS digital…
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality in global shipping and utility-scale energy capital expenditures
  • Near-term revenue growth moderation with analyst estimates projecting -2.2% growth in t…
  • Project execution risks in complex international geographies like Brazil
Delta
Key valuation assumptions remain unchanged, reflecting stable financial metrics and a consistent outlook for the mari…
No change
stable outlookno change

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y5.5%6.0%5.5%5.5%6.0%
EBIT Margin Target13.0%13.0%12.5%13.0%13.0%
WACC8.7%8.5%8.5%8.5%8.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

What Would Need to Be True?

AssumptionAI ConsensusMarket Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)5.5%7.1%+1.6pp
EBIT Margin Target13.0%14.8%+1.8pp
WACC8.5%7.8%-0.7pp
Based on spot price 29.56 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin11.8%
EBITDA Margin12.6%
ROE23.0%
Net Debt / EBITDA-1.9x
P/E Trailing26.4x
EV / EBITDA18.2x
P/B7.3x
Analyst Range19.0043.00
Wärtsilä Oyj Abp offers technologies and lifecycle solutions for the marine and energy markets worldwide. It offers energy storage; engine and hybrid power plants; and data centre power solutions, as well as lifecycle solutions, lifecycle upgrades, spare parts and field services, and decarbonisation solutions. It also provides engine power plant products, such as gas, multi-fuel, and diesel engines; Quantum BESS portfolio, a battery energy storage system (BESS) solutions; GEMS Digital Energy Platform, a software platform that monitors, controls, and optimizes energy assets on site and portfolio levels. In addition, the company offers power and propulsion products, such as electric shipping and hybrid ships, engine and generating sets, propulsors and gears, and shaft line solutions; liquid and gas handling products, including ballast water management, freshwater generation, waste and wastewater treatment, gas solutions, and exhaust treatment equipment; port and fleet optimization; simulation and training solutions; and marine navigation solutions. Further, it provides spare parts, technical support, maintenance and repair, lifecycle upgrades, lifecycle agreements, training, and cybe
Source: Yahoo Finance

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