← Back to dashboard

AI model estimates for
Wärtsilä Oyj vs spot price

2026-07-10🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
30.28 EUR
previous close — not live
52-Week Range
19.36 €
40.75 €

As of 2026-07-10, 5 AI models estimate WRT1V median target 27.28 € (-9.9% vs spot 30.28 €, model agreement 0.86). Analyst consensus 33.10 € (16 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.

AI Consensus

Model estimate
27.28 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
-9.9%
Agreement
0.865/5 models
Raw 0.80
Dispersion
σ 5.5%
Analyst consensus
33.10 €(16 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are negative on WRT1V. Key concern: Cyclicality in marine and energy markets could lead to revenue volatility; or... AI consensus estimate 27.28 9.9% below the current price. Model agreement is high (0.86). Analyst consensus: 33.10 (AI -17.6%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokWRT1VWärtsilä Oyj30.3spot33.1analysts24.926.728.530.432.234.0
Bear Case (min)
22.67 €
-25.1%
Base Case (median)
27.28 €
-9.9%
Bull Case (max)
27.51 €
-9.2%
Bear/Bull: pure model range · Base incl. 30% analyst anchoring

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

Loading...

What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:27.2227.28(+0.2%)
WACC
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
no-assumption-changestable-fundamentalsorder-pipeline-intact

What Changed (7 days)

Between 2026-07-03 and 2026-07-10, the 5-model AI consensus estimate for WRT1V moved from 27.83 € to 27.28 € (-2.0%); median WACC 9.0% → 9.0% (+0.00 pp); median terminal growth 2.0% → 2.0% (+0.00 pp); model dispersion σ 5.2% → 5.5%. Experimental model estimates — not investment advice.

Metric7d ago (2026-07-03)Now (2026-07-10)Change
AI consensus estimate27.83 €27.28 €-2.0%
Median WACC9.00%9.00%+0.00 pp
Median terminal growth2.00%2.00%+0.00 pp
Median revenue CAGR (5y)6.0%6.0%+0.00 pp
Median EBIT margin target13.0%13.0%+0.00 pp
Model dispersion σ5.2%5.5%+0.31 pp

Model Breakdown

CLAUDE
Est.
29.18
Gap
-3.6%
Conf
0.74
DCF 27.51Cal. 29.18
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (EUR 5.84B to 6.91B, 2022–2025) anchors the 5…
  • Large-scale new orders — 790MW off-grid Texas data centre power contract and …
  • Energy storage (Quantum BESS) and GEMS Digital Energy Platform represent high…
Top Risk
  • Near-term revenue growth consensus of -0.3% for next 12 months suggests order timing lu…
  • Valuation remains stretched: trailing P/E of 27.5x, EV/EBITDA of 18.3x, and P/B of 7.47…
  • Cyclical exposure in marine (shipping capex cycles) and power generation (utility inves…
Delta
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (WACC 8.5%, revenue CAGR 6%, EBIT margin tar…
No change
no-assumption-changestable-fundamentalsorder-pipeline-intact
GPT
Est.
29.18
Gap
-3.6%
Conf
0.70
DCF 27.51Cal. 29.18
Key Drivers
  • Strong market demand for energy solutions
  • Expansion into renewable energy technologies
  • Partnerships with major firms in Brazil
Top Risk
  • Cyclical nature of industrial demand
  • High competition within the energy sector
  • Dependence on regulatory environments
Delta
Assumptions remain consistent with stable company fundamentals and recent growth initiatives.
No previous data
stabilityindustrial market
DEEPSEEK
Est.
27.28
Gap
-9.9%
Conf
0.80
DCF 24.78Cal. 27.28
Key Drivers
  • Large order wins for data centre power (790MW Texas) and Brazilian ethanol-po…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022-2025) provides baseline; future growth …
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 11.8% is within industrials range; margin expansion p…
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality in marine and energy markets could lead to revenue volatility; order backlo…
  • Execution risk on large-scale projects (e.g., Texas data centre, Brazilian power plants…
  • Competition from other industrial and energy technology firms may pressure pricing and …
Delta
No change in assumptions; continued confidence in strong order pipeline and margin outlook.
No change
maintained
GEMINI
Est.
25.85
Gap
-14.6%
Conf
0.75
DCF 22.74Cal. 25.85
Key Drivers
  • Continued growth in energy storage and data center power solutions, leveragin…
  • Expansion into marine decarbonization and lifecycle solutions, which are expe…
  • Strategic partnerships and new power plant projects in emerging markets like …
Top Risk
  • Potential for near-term revenue slowdown, as indicated by analyst 1-year revenue growth…
  • Cyclicality of global marine and energy markets could lead to fluctuations in demand fo…
  • Intense competition in the rapidly evolving energy storage and power solutions sectors …
Delta
WACC adjusted downwards due to the company's strong net cash position, reflecting lower financial risk, while other k…
WACC
-0.5pp
wacc adjustednet cash impact
GROK
Est.
25.80
Gap
-14.8%
Conf
0.65
DCF 22.67Cal. 25.80
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR 5.8% (2022-2025) provides base trajectory
  • Recent large orders (790MW Texas data center, 371MW Brazil) support near-term…
  • Trailing EBIT margin 11.8% and EBITDA margin 12.9% indicate normalized profit…
Top Risk
  • Revenue growth estimate -0.3% for next year signals near-term softness
  • Cyclical exposure to marine and energy end-markets
  • High valuation multiples (trailing P/E 28.9x) leave limited margin of safety
Delta
No material change in assumptions; anchored on same trailing metrics and sector WACC calibration.
No change
no change

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y6.0%6.5%5.0%6.0%5.5%
EBIT Margin Target13.0%13.0%12.0%13.0%12.5%
WACC8.5%9.5%9.0%
-0.5pp
8.5%9.5%
Terminal Growth2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

What Would Need to Be True?

AssumptionAI ConsensusMarket Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)6.0%8.7%+2.7pp
EBIT Margin Target13.0%16.1%+3.1pp
WACC9.0%7.9%-1.1pp
Based on spot price 30.28 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin11.8%
EBITDA Margin12.9%
ROE22.6%
Net Debt / EBITDA-1.8x
P/E Trailing27.5x
EV / EBITDA18.3x
P/B7.5x
Analyst Range18.0042.00
Wärtsilä Oyj Abp offers technologies and lifecycle solutions for the marine and energy markets worldwide. It offers energy storage; engine and hybrid power plants; and data centre power solutions, as well as lifecycle solutions, lifecycle upgrades, spare parts and field services, and decarbonisation solutions. It also provides engine power plant products, such as gas, multi-fuel, and diesel engines; Quantum BESS portfolio, a battery energy storage system (BESS) solutions; GEMS Digital Energy Platform, a software platform that monitors, controls, and optimizes energy assets on site and portfolio levels. In addition, the company offers power and propulsion products, such as electric shipping and hybrid ships, engine and generating sets, propulsors and gears, and shaft line solutions; liquid and gas handling products, including ballast water management, freshwater generation, waste and wastewater treatment, gas solutions, and exhaust treatment equipment; port and fleet optimization; simulation and training solutions; and marine navigation solutions. Further, it provides spare parts, technical support, maintenance and repair, lifecycle upgrades, lifecycle agreements, training, and cybe
Source: Yahoo Finance

Recent News

Wärtsilä delivers energy storage system for Revera Energy2026-07-01
Brazil Launches World-First Ethanol-Powered Grid Engine2026-06-04
Is It Too Late To Consider Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (HLSE:WRT1V) After A 109% Rally?2026-05-14
Is Wärtsilä (HLSE:WRT1V) Overvalued After New Brazilian Engine Contracts And Strong Recent Returns2026-05-13

More in industrials

KNEBV · KONE OyjMETSO · Metso Oyj
Subscribe to Email UpdatesFree · No spam · Unsubscribe anytime · Privacy Policy
AI Investor Barometer · 2026-07-10
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. About · Methodology · Terms of Use · Privacy Policy