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AI model estimates for
Wärtsilä Oyj vs spot price

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
34.77 EUR
52-Week Range
16.95 €
40.75 €

5 AI models estimate WRT1V median target 28.07 € (-19.3% vs spot 34.77 €, model agreement 0.85). Analyst consensus 31.82 € (15 analysts). Experimental comparison — not investment advice.

AI Consensus

Model estimate
28.07 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
-19.3%
Agreement
0.855/5 models
Raw 0.78
Dispersion
σ 0.06
Analyst consensus
31.82 €(15 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are negative on WRT1V. Key concern: Cyclicality in marine and energy markets could lead to revenue volatility AI consensus estimate 28.07 19.3% below the current price. Model agreement is high (0.85). Analyst consensus: 31.82 (AI -11.8%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokWRT1VWärtsilä Oyj34.8spot31.8analysts24.326.729.031.333.635.9
Bear Case (min)
22.74 €
-34.6%
Base Case (median)
28.07 €
-19.3%
Bull Case (max)
30.17 €
-13.2%

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:29.1828.07(-3.8%)
no assumption changestable modelspot drift only

Model Breakdown

DEEPSEEK
Est.
30.66
Gap
-11.8%
Conf
0.75
DCF 30.17Cal. 30.66
Key Drivers
  • Large data centre power orders (790MW Texas, 412MW US) provide strong near-te…
  • Brazilian 371MW power plant partnership with Origem Energia expands energy ma…
  • Decarbonisation and electrification tailwinds in marine and energy sectors su…
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality in marine and energy markets could lead to revenue volatility
  • Execution risk on large data centre and power plant projects
  • Competition from alternative power solutions (renewables, grid batteries)
Delta
No material change in assumptions; model is consistent with yesterday's view.
No previous data
no change
CLAUDE
Est.
29.18
Gap
-16.1%
Conf
0.72
DCF 28.05Cal. 29.18
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022–2025: EUR 5,842M→6,914M) provides a sol…
  • Data centre off-grid and backup power is a high-growth secular tailwind; Wärt…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 11.8% is within the industrials norm; mix shift towar…
Top Risk
  • Analyst consensus target price of EUR 31.82 is ~8.5% below spot (EUR 34.77), suggesting…
  • Revenue growth consensus for next 12 months is essentially flat (-0.3%), indicating pot…
  • Beta of 1.25 reflects above-average market sensitivity; a global industrial downturn or…
Delta
All four core valuation assumptions are unchanged from yesterday's model (wacc 8.8%, revenue_cagr_5y 7%, ebit_margin_…
No change
no assumption changestable modelspot drift only
GROK
Est.
28.07
Gap
-19.3%
Conf
0.75
DCF 26.46Cal. 28.07
Key Drivers
  • Data center power orders (790MW Texas, 412MW US) and Brazilian projects provi…
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022-2025) supports moderate growth outlook
  • Trailing EBIT margin 11.8% with potential for modest expansion via scale and mix
Top Risk
  • Cyclical exposure to marine and energy capital spending cycles
  • Execution risk on large data-center and international projects
  • Competition in engine power and hybrid solutions
Delta
Assumptions stable reflecting consistent order momentum and margin outlook.
No change
order momentummargin stability
GPT
Est.
27.90
Gap
-19.8%
Conf
0.70
DCF 26.22Cal. 27.90
Key Drivers
  • Strong order backlog in energy projects
  • Recent partnerships enhancing market position
  • Positive outlook on marine technologies
Top Risk
  • Potential economic downturn affecting industrial demand
  • Dependence on regulatory changes in energy markets
  • Competition in marine and energy sectors
Delta
Assumptions remain stable, reflecting consistent company outlook.
No previous data
stabilityunchanged
GEMINI
Est.
25.46
Gap
-26.8%
Conf
0.75
DCF 22.74Cal. 25.46
Key Drivers
  • Strong order intake for energy solutions, including new power plant projects …
  • Strategic focus on decarbonization and lifecycle solutions in marine and ener…
  • Healthy balance sheet with a net cash position, providing financial flexibility.
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality of the global marine and energy markets could impact future order volumes a…
  • Intense competition in power generation and marine technology sectors may pressure marg…
  • Execution risks associated with large, complex power plant and data center projects.
Delta
No valid prior model run available for comparison due to a server error yesterday. This model represents a fresh asse…
No previous data
no previous model

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y7.0%7.0%4.5%5.8%6.5%
EBIT Margin Target13.0%14.0%12.5%13.0%13.0%
WACC8.8%8.7%9.0%8.8%9.0%
Terminal Growth2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

What Would Need to Be True?

AssumptionAI ConsensusMarket Price Implies
Revenue CAGR (5y)6.5%10.4%+3.9pp
EBIT Margin Target13.0%17.7%+4.7pp
WACC8.8%7.2%-1.6pp
Based on spot price 34.77 € and raw DCF model (before caps and calibration).

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin11.8%
EBITDA Margin12.9%
ROE22.6%
Net Debt / EBITDA-1.8x
P/E Trailing31.5x
EV / EBITDA21.3x
P/B7.1x
Analyst Range
Wärtsilä Oyj Abp offers technologies and lifecycle solutions for the marine and energy markets worldwide. It offers energy storage; engine and hybrid power plants; and data centre power solutions, as well as lifecycle solutions, lifecycle upgrades, spare parts and field services, and decarbonisation solutions. It also provides engine power plant products, such as gas, multi-fuel, and diesel engines; Quantum BESS portfolio, a battery energy storage system (BESS) solutions; GEMS Digital Energy Platform, a software platform that monitors, controls, and optimizes energy assets on site and portfolio levels. In addition, the company offers power and propulsion products, such as electric shipping and hybrid ships, engine and generating sets, propulsors and gears, and shaft line solutions; liquid and gas handling products, including ballast water management, freshwater generation, waste and wastewater treatment, gas solutions, and exhaust treatment equipment; port and fleet optimization; simulation and training solutions; and marine navigation solutions. Further, it provides spare parts, technical support, maintenance and repair, lifecycle upgrades, lifecycle agreements, training, and cybe
Source: Yahoo Finance

Recent News

Is It Too Late To Consider Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (HLSE:WRT1V) After A 109% Rally?2026-05-14
Is Wärtsilä (HLSE:WRT1V) Overvalued After New Brazilian Engine Contracts And Strong Recent Returns2026-05-13
Wärtsilä, Origem Energia Partner on Brazilian Power Plant Projects2026-05-13
Wärtsilä and Origem collaborate on 371MW power projects in Brazil2026-05-13
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