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WRT1VWärtsilä Oyj

📅 2026-04-03🇫🇮 OMXHindustrials
33.13 EUR
52-Week Range
13.57 €
38.09 €

AI Consensus

Model estimate
30.06 €
Incl. 30% analyst anchoring
Gap
-9.3%
Agreement
0.915/5 models
Dispersion
σ 0.03
Analyst consensus
30.11 €(14 analysts)
AI Summary
5 of 5 AI models are negative on WRT1V. Key concern: Cyclicality of the global marine and energy markets, which can impact order i... AI consensus estimate 30.06 9.3% below the current price. Model agreement is high (0.91). Analyst consensus: 30.11 (AI -0.2%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokWRT1VWärtsilä Oyj33.1spot30.1analysts28.229.330.431.532.633.7
Bear Case (min)
28.11 €
-15.1%
Base Case (median)
30.06 €
-9.3%
Bull Case (max)
32.21 €
-2.8%

Estimate History AI model estimates and spot price over time

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What Changed Today

Consensus Est.:30.0630.06(+0.0%)
CAGR
-0.3pp(1 ↓)
MARG
-0.5pp(1 ↓)
WACC
-0.2pp(1 ↓)
stable assumptions×2day over day holddata update
Model Breakdown
DEEPSEEK
Est.
31.58
Gap
-4.7%
Conf
0.75
DCF 32.21Cal. 31.58
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022-2025) provides solid baseline for futur…
  • Recent large-scale order wins (1.2 GW US data center orders) provide strong n…
  • Strategic focus on energy storage and decarbonization solutions aligns with g…
Top Risk
  • Industrial sector cyclicality exposes revenue to economic downturns and reduced capital…
  • Execution risk on large, new data center and energy storage projects could impact margins.
  • Competitive pressure in marine and energy technology markets may constrain pricing power.
Delta
Maintained WACC and terminal growth assumptions from previous day. Slightly reduced revenue growth and margin targets…
CAGR
-0.3pp
MARG
-0.5pp
data updateconservative adjustmentnews incorporation
CLAUDE
Est.
30.78
Gap
-7.1%
Conf
0.73
DCF 31.07Cal. 30.78
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue CAGR of 5.8% (2022-2025: EUR 5,842M to EUR 6,914M) provide…
  • Data centre power solutions represent a structural new growth vertical — CEO …
  • Energy storage (BESS/Quantum portfolio) and grid-scale projects (e.g. 50 MW B…
Top Risk
  • Cyclical exposure to marine newbuild market — shipping investment cycles can compress o…
  • Geopolitical and trade policy uncertainty (tariffs, US-EU trade tensions) could affect …
  • Competitive pressure in BESS and energy storage from Chinese manufacturers (CATL, BYD) …
Delta
No material changes to core assumptions versus the prior day model. All four key valuation inputs (WACC 8.7%, revenue…
No change
no changestable assumptionsday over day hold
GPT
Est.
30.06
Gap
-9.3%
Conf
0.70
DCF 30.04Cal. 30.06
Key Drivers
  • Strong demand for energy storage and data solutions.
  • Investment in technology for operational efficiency.
  • Growing market for marine and hybrid power systems.
Top Risk
  • Economic slowdown may impact capital expenditures.
  • Cyclicality of industrial demand could affect revenue stability.
  • Supply chain disruptions in manufacturing.
Delta
Assumptions have been refined based on positive outlook from recent projects and orders.
No previous data
assumptionsgrowth
GROK
Est.
29.52
Gap
-10.9%
Conf
0.75
DCF 29.27Cal. 29.52
Key Drivers
  • Historical revenue growth of 5.8% CAGR (2022-2025) adjusted to 7% due to stro…
  • EBIT margin target of 13% reflects expected improvement from current 11.8% du…
  • Recent 1.2 GW US data center orders provide strong near-term revenue visibility.
Top Risk
  • Cyclical nature of industrials sector could impact revenue during economic downturns.
  • Geopolitical tensions or supply chain disruptions may affect project timelines and costs.
  • High current valuation multiples (P/E 31.1, EV/EBITDA 20.0) suggest potential for corre…
Delta
Assumptions remain consistent with yesterday's model, with no significant changes in outlook or data.
No change
stable assumptionsconsistent data
GEMINI
Est.
28.71
Gap
-13.3%
Conf
0.80
DCF 28.11Cal. 28.71
Key Drivers
  • Strong demand for energy storage and data center power solutions, evidenced b…
  • Strategic focus on decarbonization solutions and lifecycle services, which ar…
  • Positive momentum from 'Record Profits' in 2025, indicating successful operat…
Top Risk
  • Cyclicality of the global marine and energy markets, which can impact order intake and …
  • Intense competition in the energy storage and power plant sectors.
  • Exposure to geopolitical risks and trade policies affecting international projects.
Delta
A slight downward adjustment to WACC reflects a more balanced view of risk, considering the strong cash position desp…
WACC
-0.2pp
wacc decreasedno growth changeno margin change

Valuation Assumptions

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Revenue CAGR 5Y7.5%8.2%
-0.3pp
7.5%6.5%7.0%
EBIT Margin Target13.5%13.5%
-0.5pp
12.5%14.0%13.0%
WACC8.7%8.8%9.0%
-0.2pp
8.7%8.7%
Terminal Growth2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Fundamentals

EBIT Margin11.8%
EBITDA Margin12.7%
ROE21.8%
Net Debt / EBITDA-2.3x
P/E Trailing31.1x
EV / EBITDA20.0x
P/B6.8x
Analyst Range

Recent News

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