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Tekoälymallien arviot osakkeelle
TietoEVRY Oyj markkinahintaan verrattuna

2026-05-22🇫🇮 OMXHtechnology
20.40 EUR
52 viikon vaihteluväli
14.30 €
20.62 €

5 AI-mallia arvioi TIETO:n mediaaniksi 26.52 € (+30.0% suhteessa spotiin 20.40 €, mallien yksimielisyys 1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus 19.64 € (9 analyytikkoa). Kokeellinen vertailu — ei sijoitusneuvontaa.

AI-konsensus

Mallin arvio
26.52 €
Sis. 30 % analyytikkoankkurointi
Ero
+30.0%
Yksimielisyys
1.005/5 mallia
Raaka 1.00
Hajonta
σ 0.00
Analyytikkokonsensus
19.64 €(9 analyytikkoa)
AI-yhteenveto
5 viidestä AI-mallia on positiivisia TIETO. Avaintekijä: Successful execution of strategic divestments and cost optimization programs ... AI-konsensusarvio 26.52 30.0% yli nykyhinnan. Mallien yksimielisyys on korkea (1.00). Analyytikkokonsensus: 19.64 (AI +35.0%).
gptclaudegeminideepseekgrokTIETOTietoEVRY O…20.4spot19.6analysts18.820.522.223.925.627.3
Pessimistinen (min)
29.47 €
44.4%
Perus (mediaani)
26.52 €
+30.0%
Optimistinen (max)
29.47 €
44.4%

Arvion kehitys AI-mallien arviot ja osakkeen hinta ajan yli

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Mikä muuttui tänään

Konsensusarvio:26.52→26.52(+0.0%)
no-changestable-assumptionsanchored-to-consensus

Mallien erittely

CLAUDE →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Ero
+30.0%
Conf
0.67
DCF 29.47 → Kal. 26.52
Avaintekijät
  • Revenue has contracted sharply from EUR 2,928M (2022) to EUR 1,852M (2025), p…
  • Forward P/E of 11.9x and analyst consensus TP of EUR 19.64 (slightly below sp…
  • Trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is below IT-services peer median; management cos…
Suurin riski
  • Continued revenue contraction if legacy IT-services contracts are not replaced by new s…
  • Execution risk on margin improvement: trailing EBIT margin of 8.4% is thin for a softwa…
  • High D&A burden (16.5% of revenue) from legacy M&A intangibles suppresses reported net …
Muutos
Assumptions are unchanged from the prior model run; all four key inputs (WACC 8.8%, revenue CAGR 1%, EBIT margin targ…
Ei muutosta
no-changestable-assumptionsanchored-to-consensus
DEEPSEEK →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Ero
+30.0%
Conf
0.60
DCF 29.47 → Kal. 26.52
Avaintekijät
  • Revenue decline from 2022-2025 CAGR -14.2% due to divestments and market head…
  • Analyst consensus 1-year revenue growth -4.8% indicates near-term contraction
  • EBIT margin trailing at 8.4% with potential for modest improvement from cost …
Suurin riski
  • Continued revenue contraction if legacy challenges persist
  • Margin pressure from competitive IT services market and wage inflation
  • Execution risk in cost transformation and strategic divestments
Muutos
No material change in assumptions; same model as yesterday.
Ei muutosta
no change
GEMINI →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Ero
+30.0%
Conf
0.75
DCF 29.47 → Kal. 26.52
Avaintekijät
  • Successful execution of strategic divestments and cost optimization programs …
  • Ability to stabilize and grow revenue in core segments despite legacy challen…
  • Performance and scalability of specialized platforms like Banking-as-a-Servic…
Suurin riski
  • Continued revenue decline if strategic initiatives fail to stabilize the business.
  • Intense competition in the IT services and software sectors impacting pricing power and…
  • Execution risks associated with significant divestments and restructuring efforts.
Muutos
The key valuation assumptions for Tieto Oyj remain consistent with the prior assessment, reflecting a continued perio…
Ei edellistä dataa
no significant change
GPT →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Ero
+30.0%
Conf
0.60
DCF 29.47 → Kal. 26.52
Avaintekijät
  • Focus on expanding digital services
  • Continued investment in new technology solutions
  • Diversification across multiple industry sectors
Suurin riski
  • Legacy technology challenges
  • Strong competitive pressures
  • Economic downturns affecting customer budgets
Muutos
Assumptions remain stable with no significant changes since the last report.
Ei edellistä dataa
stability
GROK →ADJ
Est.
26.52
Ero
+30.0%
Conf
0.55
DCF 29.47 → Kal. 26.52
Avaintekijät
  • Post-divestment revenue base stabilization after 2022-2025 contraction
  • IT services and software mix shift supporting modest margin recovery
  • Low beta of 0.66 supports below-sector WACC
Suurin riski
  • Legacy revenue erosion continuing beyond analyst 1Y estimate
  • Higher-than-expected capex intensity in digital transformation
  • Competitive pressure in Banktech and Caretech segments
Muutos
Assumptions held steady; minor stabilization signals in latest earnings highlights support unchanged revenue CAGR and…
Ei muutosta
stabilization

Arvostusoletukset

CLAUDEDEEPSEEKGEMINIGPTGROK
Liikevaihdon CAGR 5V1.0%2.0%-2.0%3.0%2.5%
EBIT-marginaalitavoite11.0%10.0%10.5%10.0%11.0%
WACC8.8%9.5%9.0%8.5%9.0%
Terminaalikasvu2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%

Mitä markkinahinta edellyttäisi?

OletusAI-konsensusMarkkinahinta implikoi
Liikevaihdon CAGR (5v)2.0%-8.4%-10.4pp
EBIT-marginaalitavoite10.5%-4.8%-15.3pp
WACC9.0%16.1%+7.1pp
Perustuu spot-hintaan 20.40 € ja raakaan DCF-malliin (ilman kattoja ja kalibrointia).

Tunnusluvut

EBIT-marginaali8.4%
EBITDA-marginaali14.2%
ROE6.9%
Nettovelka / EBITDA1.4x
P/E31.7x
EV / EBITDA10.5x
P/B2.2x
Analyytikkojen vaihteluväli– – –
Tieto Oyj operates as a software and digital engineering company in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tieto Tech Consulting, Tieto Banktech, Tieto Caretech, and Tieto Indtech Services. The Tieto Tech Consulting segment provides business advisory and design, data engineering, and other software research and development services. The Tieto Banktech segment offers Banking-as-a-Service platform and software products for payments, cards, wealth management, financial crime prevention, and credit domains. The Tieto Caretech segment provides modular, open, and interoperable software for customers in the health and social care sectors. The Tieto Indtech segment offers software and services to various industries, such as case management, pulp, paper, and fiber; and supports processes, including billing and invoicing and industry messaging, as well as purchase-to-pay process automation. It serves automotive, banking and financial services, education, energy and utilities, healthcare and welfare, manufacturing, public sector, pulp, paper, fibre, packaging and tissue, and telecom sectors. The company was formerly known as TietoEVRY Oyj and changed
Lähde: Yahoo Finance

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