AI Investor Barometer

Research tool — not advice

Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge. Start here →

5MODELS
59TRADING DAYS
6,785ESTIMATES
2026-05-22 · 08.53 EET · Mon–Fri
AI CONSENSUSAllGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROKIndicesAI vs AnalystsModelsEarningsAccuracySignalsAbout

AI daily brief · 2026-05-22

ORNBV all 5 models bullish
+40.1%
NOKIA highest model disagreement
σ 27.5%
NOKIA largest positive revision
+45.0pp
GOOGL sharpest estimate cut
-20.7pp

ORNBV surged to a +40.1% positive gap after AI estimates revised upward by 12.8%, while META extended its lead to +36.9% on an 8.1% estimate increase, making both the standout outliers in today's 23-stock analysis. On the downside, NOKIA holds the widest negative gap at -37.9% despite a 10.1% upward estimate revision, suggesting current market price remains deeply above AI consensus. The overall median gap tightened from -7.2% to -6.2%, a modest improvement indicating AI models are incrementally closing the distance to prevailing market valuations.

Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data

AI Market Pulse

Full indices
AI VALUATION GAP
-17.7%
Strong Negative
Median model estimate is 17.7% below current market prices.
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
7.8%
Moderate
Moderate dispersion across model estimates.
SENTIMENT SHIFT
↗ +0.7pp
Improving
Models turned more positive since yesterday.
23 tickers · All markets
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Estimate Changes

Biggest Estimate Changes

-45.0% → 0.0%
-23.6% → 0.0%
20.7% → 0.0%

▲ Largest Positive Gap

01
Est. 100.13 € · Spot 71.45 € · Conf 0.75
02
Est. $831.74 · Spot $607.38 · Conf 0.77
03
Est. 26.52 € · Spot 20.40 € · Conf 0.67

▼ Largest Negative Gap

01
Est. $310.98 · Spot $417.85 · Conf 0.57
02
Est. 19.67 € · Spot 25.22 € · Conf 0.68
03
Est. 22.36 € · Spot 28.36 € · Conf 0.68

AI Model Bias Index

Most positive: Claude (-5.2%)Most negative: DeepSeek (-11.2%)
All
v6v7-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%3.3.17.3.31.3.14.4.28.4.12.5.22.5.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT

AI Model Traits

CLAUDE most consistent · GPT most volatile · 5 models · 59 days

AI Model Calibration

#1 CLAUDE 60/100 · #2 GPT 59/100 · 5 models scored

Model Spread — all models per stock, │ = spot

23 stocks · hover to compare model estimates

All companies

TickerSpotCLAUDE Est.Δ Est.GapConfModels
Orion Oyj B71.45 €100.13 €40.1%
0.75
Meta Platforms Inc.$607.38$831.7436.9%
0.77
TietoEVRY Oyj20.40 €26.52 €30.0%
0.67
Microsoft Corporation$419.09$542.6029.5%
0.75
KONE Oyj50.74 €62.53 €23.2%
0.70
Berkshire Hathaway B$479.98$514.067.1%
0.70
AAPLADJ
Apple Inc.
$304.99$304.99INV +30.9%0.0%
0.00
AMZNADJTV
Amazon.com Inc.
$268.46$268.46INV +13.7%0.0%
0.00
Alphabet Inc.$387.66$387.66INV -17.1%0.0%
0.00
Johnson & Johnson$231.73$231.73INV +2.1%0.0%
0.00
JPMADJ
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$303.00$303.00INV +17.2%0.0%
0.00
Nokia Oyj12.10 €12.10 €INV +82.0%0.0%
0.00
NVDAADJ
NVIDIA Corporation
$219.51$219.51INV +4.6%0.0%
0.00
PGADJ
Procter & Gamble Co.
$143.40$143.08-0.2%
0.75
Elisa Oyj41.60 €41.48 €-0.3%
0.73
Nordea Bank Abp16.25 €15.95 €-1.8%
0.73
Metso Oyj15.25 €13.91 €-8.8%
0.71
Wärtsilä Oyj34.77 €29.18 €-16.1%
0.72
XOMADJ
ExxonMobil Corporation
$155.29$127.08-18.2%
0.70
Sampo Oyj9.28 €7.54 €-18.7%
0.73
Neste Oyj28.36 €22.36 €-21.2%
0.68
UPM-Kymmene Oyj25.22 €19.67 €-22.0%
0.68
TSLAADJ
Tesla Inc.
$417.85$310.98-25.6%
0.57
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok):  positive  negative  invalid  · ADJ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-05-22 08.53 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy