AI Investor Barometer
Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge.
AI daily brief · 2026-07-09
Neste saw the largest estimate revision today, with AI models lifting their consensus by +7.4% (+5.6pp of gap) while the stock itself gained +3.7%, leaving the valuation gap at -19.2% — the revision and the price move each contributed independently to that gap shift. On the bearish side, Microsoft's consensus was cut -4.2% (-5.0pp of gap) despite the stock falling -1.4%, widening the gap to +14.8% in models' favor. Across the full 23-stock universe, the overall median gap widened to -14.3% (-2.0pp), reflecting a combination of estimate revisions and market price moves, with AAPL (-39.1%) and TSLA (-37.6%) remaining the most deeply negative gaps.
Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data
AI Market Pulse
AI VALUATION GAP
-21.6%
Strong Negative
Median model estimate is 21.6% below current market prices.
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
10.5%
Moderate
Moderate dispersion across model estimates.
SENTIMENT SHIFT
→ +0.0pp
Stable
AI estimates haven't shifted today.
24 tickers · All markets · pure model view — before analyst anchoring
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Estimate Changes
Biggest Estimate Changes
▼
-24.0% → -24.5%
▲
+0.2pp
-3.8% → -3.6%
▲ Largest Positive Gap
01
02
▼ Largest Negative Gap
01
02
CLAUDE most consistent · GPT most volatile · 5 models · 23 days
#1 GEMINI 75/100 · #2 CLAUDE 67/100 · 5 models scored
24 stocks · hover to compare model estimates
Where models diverge most
METAMeta Platforms Inc.σ 22.8%
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.σ 22.6%
MSFTMicrosoft Corporationσ 13.5%
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.σ 13.3%
FUM1VFortum Oyjσ 12.9%
NVDANVIDIA Corporationσ 12.2%
UPMUPM-Kymmene Oyjσ 11.7%
JNJJohnson & Johnsonσ 10.0%
ORNBVOrion Oyj Bσ 7.1%
PGProcter & Gamble Co.σ 6.0%
WRT1VWärtsilä Oyjσ 5.5%
AAPLApple Inc.σ 4.3%
TIETOTietoEVRY Oyjσ 3.1%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.σ 3.0%
NDA1VNordea Bank Abpσ 1.5%
| Ticker↕ | Spotⓘ↕ | CLAUDE Est.↕ | Δ Est.↕ | Gapⓘ↓ | Confⓘ↕ | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIETOADJ TietoEVRY Oyj | 17.78 € | 32.89 € | 85.0% | |||
| Orion Oyj B | 70.55 € | 109.94 € | 55.8% | |||
| KONE Oyj | 49.23 € | 67.82 € | 37.8% | |||
| Microsoft Corporation | $384.36 | $498.03 | 29.6% | |||
| Meta Platforms Inc. | $631.48 | $769.96 | 21.9% | |||
| Alphabet Inc. | $358.89 | $425.60 | 18.6% | |||
| Elisa Oyj | 35.72 € | 40.73 € | 14.0% | |||
BRK-BADJ Berkshire Hathaway B | $495.45 | $517.53 | 4.5% | |||
| Johnson & Johnson | $259.10 | $260.92 | 0.7% | |||
| Procter & Gamble Co. | $146.85 | $146.87 | 0.0% | |||
| Nordea Bank Abp | 16.84 € | 16.44 € | -2.4% | |||
| Wärtsilä Oyj | 30.28 € | 29.18 € | -3.6% | |||
| Metso Oyj | 15.10 € | 14.42 € | -4.5% | |||
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj | 22.85 € | 20.34 € | -11.0% | |||
AMZNTV Amazon.com Inc. | $247.04 | $219.65 | -11.1% | |||
NVDAADJ NVIDIA Corporation | $202.78 | $174.94 | -13.7% | |||
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $335.47 | $266.07 | -20.7% | |||
| ExxonMobil Corporation | $137.46 | $103.83 | -24.5% | |||
| Neste Oyj | 29.10 € | 21.40 € | -26.5% | |||
| Nokia Oyj | 11.20 € | 8.22 € | -26.6% | |||
| Fortum Oyj | 19.61 € | 13.99 € | -28.7% | |||
| Sampo Oyj | 9.62 € | 6.80 € | -29.3% | |||
TSLAADJ Tesla Inc. | $406.55 | $246.24 | -39.4% | |||
AAPLADJ Apple Inc. | $316.22 | $190.82 | -39.7% |
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok): ● positive ● negative ● invalid · ADJ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-07-10 08:51 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
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