AI Investor Barometer
Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge.
AI daily brief · 2026-07-17
KONE (KNEBV) led today's movers as AI consensus estimates were revised up 10.4%, adding 14.1pp to its valuation gap, which now stands at +49.7% — the largest estimate-driven gap expansion in the session; a 2.2% market price rise contributed an additional tailwind. Alphabet (GOOGL) moved in the opposite direction, with models cutting estimates 10.4%, reducing the gap by 13.3pp, compounded by a 4.4% share price decline, leaving the gap at +14.5%. Overall, the portfolio median gap improved 1.0pp to -6.8%, though the aggregate picture remains skewed by deep negative gaps in TSLA (-56.5%) and AAPL (-54.5%).
Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data
AI Market Pulse
AI VALUATION GAP
-6.8%
Negative
Median model estimate is 6.8% below current market prices.
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
10.0%
Moderate
Moderate dispersion across model estimates.
SENTIMENT SHIFT
↗ +14.8pp
Improving
Models turned more positive since yesterday.
24 tickers · All markets · pure model view — no analyst blending
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Estimate Changes
Biggest Estimate Changes
▲
+8.2pp
-25.6% → -17.4%
▼
-7.6pp
44.2% → 36.6%
▲ Largest Positive Gap
01
02
▼ Largest Negative Gap
01
02
03
CLAUDE most consistent · GPT most volatile · 5 models · 4 days
#1 CLAUDE 68/100 · #2 GEMINI 67/100 · 5 models scored
24 stocks · hover to compare model estimates
Where models diverge most
NVDANVIDIA Corporationσ 27.8%
FUM1VFortum Oyjσ 21.6%
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.σ 20.7%
METAMeta Platforms Inc.σ 14.2%
AAPLApple Inc.σ 13.6%
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.σ 13.4%
JNJJohnson & Johnsonσ 12.3%
ORNBVOrion Oyj Bσ 10.8%
PGProcter & Gamble Co.σ 10.0%
UPMUPM-Kymmene Oyjσ 3.6%
NDA1VNordea Bank Abpσ 3.0%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.σ 2.7%
WRT1VWärtsilä Oyjσ 2.7%
| Ticker↕ | Spotⓘ↕ | GEMINI Est.↕ | Δ Est.↕ | Gapⓘ↓ | Confⓘ↕ | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIETOADJ TietoEVRY Oyj | 17.86 € | 38.69 € | 116.6% | |||
| Orion Oyj B | 68.75 € | 135.98 € | 97.8% | |||
| KONE Oyj | 49.53 € | 79.33 € | 60.2% | |||
| Meta Platforms Inc. | $664.54 | $1029.35 | 54.9% | |||
| Alphabet Inc. | $354.46 | $484.17 | 36.6% | |||
| Elisa Oyj | 35.26 € | 47.70 € | 35.3% | |||
| Microsoft Corporation | $401.10 | $531.80 | 32.6% | |||
| Nordea Bank Abp | 17.02 € | 20.45 € | 20.2% | |||
NVDAADJ NVIDIA Corporation | $207.40 | $242.39 | 16.9% | |||
BRK-BADJ Berkshire Hathaway B | $493.12 | $516.33 | 4.7% | |||
| Wärtsilä Oyj | 29.71 € | 31.05 € | 4.5% | |||
AMZNTV Amazon.com Inc. | $249.89 | $250.56 | 0.3% | |||
| Procter & Gamble Co. | $151.50 | $151.36 | -0.1% | |||
| Nokia Oyj | 9.15 € | 9.02 € | -1.4% | |||
| Metso Oyj | 15.34 € | 14.73 € | -4.0% | |||
| Johnson & Johnson | $249.97 | $227.56 | -9.0% | |||
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $343.15 | $283.57 | -17.4% | |||
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj | 23.25 € | 18.37 € | -21.0% | |||
| Fortum Oyj | 19.57 € | 14.17 € | -27.6% | |||
| Sampo Oyj | 9.55 € | 6.64 € | -30.5% | |||
| Neste Oyj | 31.53 € | 21.52 € | -31.8% | |||
| Apple Inc. | $333.26 | $202.51 | -39.2% | |||
| ExxonMobil Corporation | $145.95 | $82.30 | -43.6% | |||
TSLAADJ Tesla Inc. | $391.06 | $170.24 | -56.5% |
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok): ● positive ● negative ● invalid · ADJ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-07-17 07:55 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
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