AI Investor Barometer
Experimental AI model comparison tool.
Not investment advice, research, or recommendation.
Not investment advice, research, or recommendation.
Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge. Start here →
AI daily brief · 2026-04-09
META leads today's standout moves with AI models lifting their consensus estimate +14.2%, pushing the gap between model estimates and current price to +52.9%, while MSFT saw a +15.0% estimate revision driving its gap to +42.7% — both suggesting models see significant undervaluation at current levels. On the other side, METSO dropped into negative territory with a -11.4pp gap shift to -11.4%, and NESTE holds the deepest negative gap at -25.6%. The broader picture turned sharply bearish: the overall median gap collapsed from -0.7% to -7.4%, a -6.7pp swing across 23 stocks, indicating widespread model pessimism about current market pricing.
Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data
AI Market Pulse
AI VALUATION GAP
-10.5%
Strong Negative
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
8.2%
Moderate
SENTIMENT SHIFT
→ -0.3pp
Stable
23 tickers · All markets
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Biggest Estimate Changes
▲
+18.3pp
42.2% → 60.6%
▲
21.9% → 26.5%
▲ Largest Positive Gap
01
02
03
▼ Largest Negative Gap
02
03
AI Model Bias Index
▾Most Positive: Claude (-5.5% avg 28d)Most Negative: GPT (-12.2% avg 28d)
GPT🐻
Claude🐻
Gemini🐻
DeepSeek🐻
Grok🐻
AI Model Traits
▾Systematic bias & estimate volatility — based on all available history
GPT →
🐻 Negative bias(-3.7%)
Positive Bias Days: 32.6%
🔥 High Variance(3.9%/day)
Based on 28 days of data
DEEPSEEK →
🐻 Negative bias(-4.5%)
Positive Bias Days: 33.5%
⚡ Responsive(2.7%/day)
Based on 28 days of data
AI Model Calibration
▾Proximity to analyst consensus — lower correction need = closer alignment
Model Spread — all models per stock, │ = spot
▾Hover dot → estimate and gap %
⚡ Disagreement
▾Where models diverge most
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.σ 8.1%
TIETOTietoEVRY Oyjσ 7.1%
METAMeta Platforms Inc.σ 7.0%
UPMUPM-Kymmene Oyjσ 6.2%
AAPLApple Inc.σ 5.3%
JNJJohnson & Johnsonσ 5.0%
PGProcter & Gamble Co.σ 3.6%
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.σ 3.0%
ORNBVOrion Oyj Bσ 2.2%
NDA1VNordea Bank Abpσ 2.1%
WRT1VWärtsilä Oyjσ 1.1%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.σ 0.0%
NVDANVIDIA Corporationσ 0.0%
TSLATesla Inc.σ 0.0%
All companies
▾| Ticker↕ | Spot↕ | GEMINI Est.↕ | Δ Est.↕ | Gap↓ | Confⓘ↕ | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta Platforms Inc. | $575.05 | $923.26 | ▲ +12.9% | 60.6% | 0.75 | |
| TietoEVRY Oyj | 18.63 € | 26.52 € | – | 42.4% | 0.75 | |
| Orion Oyj B | 70.80 € | 98.55 € | – | 39.2% | 0.85 | |
| Alphabet Inc. | $305.46 | $417.00 | – | 36.5% | 0.80 | |
| Microsoft Corporation | $372.29 | $471.05 | ▲ +3.8% | 26.5% | 0.80 | |
| Nordea Bank Abp | 14.97 € | 17.09 € | – | 14.2% | 0.75 | |
NVDA⚖ NVIDIA Corporation | $178.10 | $202.51 | – | 13.7% | 0.70 | |
| Berkshire Hathaway B | $478.08 | $522.33 | – | 9.3% | 0.75 | |
| KONE Oyj | 54.88 € | 57.10 € | ▼ -2.2% | 4.0% | 0.75 | |
| Metso Oyj | 14.87 € | 15.44 € | – | 3.8% | 0.80 | |
| Sampo Oyj | 9.22 € | 9.24 € | – | 0.2% | 0.75 | |
AMZN⚖🏗 Amazon.com Inc. | $213.77 | $212.36 | – | -0.7% | 0.80 | |
| Elisa Oyj | 41.88 € | 39.94 € | – | -4.6% | 0.80 | |
| Johnson & Johnson | $238.41 | $222.73 | ▼ -2.7% | -6.6% | 0.70 | |
PG⚖ Procter & Gamble Co. | $141.30 | $130.46 | – | -7.7% | 0.80 | |
TSLA⚖ Tesla Inc. | $346.65 | $314.19 | – | -9.4% | 0.75 | |
| Wärtsilä Oyj | 32.56 € | 28.69 € | – | -11.9% | 0.75 | |
AAPL⚖ Apple Inc. | $253.50 | $222.97 | – | -12.0% | 0.80 | |
JPM⚖ JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $297.40 | $254.47 | – | -14.4% | 0.75 | |
| Nokia Oyj | 7.48 € | 6.12 € | ▼ -2.2% | -18.1% | 0.80 | |
UPM⚖ UPM-Kymmene Oyj | 26.41 € | 21.02 € | ▲ +2.5% | -20.4% | 0.75 | |
XOM⚖ ExxonMobil Corporation | $163.91 | $121.02 | – | -26.2% | 0.80 | |
| Neste Oyj | 26.75 € | 19.71 € | ▼ -4.2% | -26.3% | 0.70 |
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok): ● positive ● negative ● invalid · ⚖ anomaly
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Data updated: 2026-04-08 07.35 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
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