AI Investor Barometer

Research tool — not advice

Tracking daily how 5 AI models form stock valuation estimates — and where they diverge. Start here →

5MODELS
59TRADING DAYS
6,785ESTIMATES
2026-05-22 · 08.53 EET · Mon–Fri
AI CONSENSUSAllGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROKIndicesAI vs AnalystsModelsEarningsAccuracySignalsAbout

AI daily brief · 2026-05-22

META all 5 models bullish
+63.1%
NOKIA highest model disagreement
σ 27.5%
META largest positive revision
+63.5pp
UPM sharpest estimate cut
-9.8pp

ORNBV surged to a +40.1% positive gap after AI estimates revised upward by 12.8%, while META extended its lead to +36.9% on an 8.1% estimate increase, making both the standout outliers in today's 23-stock analysis. On the downside, NOKIA holds the widest negative gap at -37.9% despite a 10.1% upward estimate revision, suggesting current market price remains deeply above AI consensus. The overall median gap tightened from -7.2% to -6.2%, a modest improvement indicating AI models are incrementally closing the distance to prevailing market valuations.

Generated by Claude · based on today's pipeline data

AI Market Pulse

Full indices
AI VALUATION GAP
-17.7%
Strong Negative
Median model estimate is 17.7% below current market prices.
MODEL DISAGREEMENT
7.8%
Moderate
Moderate dispersion across model estimates.
SENTIMENT SHIFT
↗ +0.7pp
Improving
Models turned more positive since yesterday.
23 tickers · All markets
Want these insights weekly? Subscribe to AI Signals →

Estimate Changes

Biggest Estimate Changes

-0.4% → 63.1%
0.3% → -9.5%
10.9% → 1.7%

▲ Largest Positive Gap

01
Est. $990.91 · Spot $607.38 · Conf 0.70
02
Est. 100.13 € · Spot 71.45 € · Conf 0.80
03
Est. 26.52 € · Spot 20.40 € · Conf 0.60

▼ Largest Negative Gap

01
Est. 7.51 € · Spot 12.10 € · Conf 0.60
02
Est. $310.98 · Spot $417.85 · Conf 0.70
03
Est. $233.03 · Spot $304.99 · Conf 0.75

AI Model Bias Index

Most positive: Claude (-5.2%)Most negative: DeepSeek (-11.2%)
All
v6v7-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%3.3.17.3.31.3.14.4.28.4.12.5.22.5.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT

AI Model Traits

CLAUDE most consistent · GPT most volatile · 5 models · 59 days

AI Model Calibration

#1 CLAUDE 60/100 · #2 GPT 59/100 · 5 models scored

Model Spread — all models per stock, │ = spot

23 stocks · hover to compare model estimates

All companies

TickerSpotGPT Est.Δ Est.GapConfModels
Meta Platforms Inc.$607.38$990.91 +63.8%63.1%
0.70
Orion Oyj B71.45 €100.13 €40.1%
0.80
TietoEVRY Oyj20.40 €26.52 €30.0%
0.60
KONE Oyj50.74 €59.39 €17.0%
0.70
Microsoft Corporation$419.09$476.2513.6%
0.75
Alphabet Inc.$387.66$438.9313.2%
0.70
Berkshire Hathaway B$479.98$514.067.1%
0.80
Neste Oyj28.36 €29.51 € +3.5%4.1%
0.70
Nordea Bank Abp16.25 €16.66 €2.5%
0.70
Elisa Oyj41.60 €42.30 € -8.3%1.7%
0.60
NVDAADJ
NVIDIA Corporation
$219.51$219.51INV +4.6%0.0%
0.00
Johnson & Johnson$231.73$226.52-2.2%
0.80
PGADJ
Procter & Gamble Co.
$143.40$134.45 +4.9%-6.2%
0.75
Metso Oyj15.25 €13.95 € -1.1%-8.5%
0.80
UPM-Kymmene Oyj25.22 €22.83 € -9.8%-9.5%
0.50
AMZNADJTV
Amazon.com Inc.
$268.46$236.04-12.1%
0.70
JPMADJ
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$303.00$258.45-14.7%
0.70
XOMADJ
ExxonMobil Corporation
$155.29$127.08-18.2%
0.60
Sampo Oyj9.28 €7.54 €-18.7%
0.70
Wärtsilä Oyj34.77 €27.90 €-19.8%
0.70
AAPLADJ
Apple Inc.
$304.99$233.03-23.6%
0.75
TSLAADJ
Tesla Inc.
$417.85$310.98-25.6%
0.70
Nokia Oyj12.10 €7.51 € -10.8%-37.9%
0.60
Click header to sort · dots (gpt claude gemini deepseek grok):  positive  negative  invalid  · ADJ anomaly
Subscribe to Email UpdatesFree · No spam · Unsubscribe anytime · Privacy Policy
Data updated: 2026-05-22 08.53 · Experimental AI model comparison tool — not investment advice · About
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy