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Claude

Anthropic
· 2026-06-17
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet. Tends toward balanced, well-calibrated analysis with moderate assumptions.
Most Consistent1.0%/day
Lowest Correction Rate42% bullish
Claude is the most aggressive model — largest average valuation gap (0.0%). Most stable day-to-day (1.00%/day). Wins: Most Consistent, Lowest Correction Rate. High validity rate (97.9%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTGeminiDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

+0%
Avg Gap
67/100
Calibration
17%
Correction Rate
42%
Positive Bias %
Consistent
Volatility
77
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
49%
Mean Absolute Error
19%
Prediction Bias
0%
Hit Rate (±5%)
19.5%
v6v7v80%25%50%75%100%3.3.20.3.8.4.27.4.14.5.2.6.16.6.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 1711 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+64.7%
+55.6%
+52.6%
+42.3%
+26.6%
Largest Negative Gap
-39.7%
-36.5%
-33.0%
-25.5%
-23.4%

Assumption Profile

7.5%
σ = 5.86
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.3%
σ = 1.23
WACC
2.35%
σ = 0.45
Terminal Growth
24.1%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

97.9%
1734 / 1771 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 28.6s
Cost per Run: $0.0391
Total Cost: $69.16
~6563 + 1342 tokens

Calibration Detail

67
/100
Correction Rate: 17.4%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 138
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