← Back to Models·

Gemini

Google
· 2026-06-17
Google's Gemini 2.0 Flash. Shows high CAGR variance and distinctive valuation perspectives.
Highest Calibration71 score
Gemini is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -0.7%. Moderate daily volatility (3.00%/day). Wins: Highest Calibration. High validity rate (96.7%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTClaudeDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

-0.7%
Avg Gap
71/100
Calibration
13%
Correction Rate
40%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
77
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
47.1%
Mean Absolute Error
19.5%
Prediction Bias
-0.7%
Hit Rate (±5%)
17.8%
v6v7v80%25%50%75%100%3.3.20.3.8.4.27.4.14.5.2.6.16.6.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 1689 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+64.7%
+61.5%
+60.6%
+19.9%
+16.9%
Largest Negative Gap
-39.7%
-38.4%
-30.6%
-25.6%
-25.4%

Assumption Profile

9.2%
σ = 10.81
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.68
WACC
2.00%
σ = 0.05
Terminal Growth
23.6%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

96.7%
1712 / 1771 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 18.2s
Cost per Run: $0.0105
Total Cost: $18.56
~6044 + 656 tokens

Calibration Detail

71
/100
Correction Rate: 13.0%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 138
Want these insights weekly?
Subscribe to AI Signals →
AI Investor Barometer · Gemini← Back to Models
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy