← Back to Models·

Gemini

Google
· 2026-05-01
Google's Gemini 2.0 Flash. Shows high CAGR variance and distinctive valuation perspectives.
Gemini is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -0.7%. Moderate daily volatility (3.20%/day). High validity rate (95.9%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTClaudeDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

-0.7%
Avg Gap
55/100
Calibration
41%
Correction Rate
39%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
44
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
47.3%
Mean Absolute Error
18.9%
Prediction Bias
-0.8%
Hit Rate (±5%)
17.2%
0%25%50%75%100%3.3.11.3.19.3.27.3.6.4.14.4.22.4.30.4.
GPT51.5%
Claude49.6%
Gemini47.3%
DeepSeek48.1%
Grok49.3%
N = 948 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+49.3%
+45.7%
+38.0%
+27.3%
+15.1%
Largest Negative Gap
-33.9%
-29.0%
-21.5%
-20.5%
-19.1%

Assumption Profile

8.8%
σ = 10.33
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.76
WACC
2.01%
σ = 0.06
Terminal Growth
23.6%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

95.9%
971 / 1012 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 17.8s
Cost per Run: $0.0103
Total Cost: $10.38
~5918 + 656 tokens

Calibration Detail

55
/100
Correction Rate: 40.5%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 971
AI Investor Barometer · Gemini← Back to Models
All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy