Gemini
Google
· 2026-07-31
Google's Gemini 2.0 Flash. Shows high CAGR variance and distinctive valuation perspectives.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
Gemini is the most aggressive model — largest average valuation gap (+5.3%). Moderate daily volatility (1.90%/day). High validity rate (97.3%).
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
+5.3%
Avg Gap
57/100
Calibration
13%
Correction Rate
52%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
14
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
52.3%
Mean Absolute Error
30.6%
Prediction Bias
+5.4%
Hit Rate (±5%)
15.3%
N = 308 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
9.1%
σ = 10.99
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.62
WACC
2.02%
σ = 0.10
Terminal Growth
23.6%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
97.3%
2461 / 2528 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 17.6s
Cost per Run: $0.0107
Total Cost: $27.08
~6185 + 647 tokens
Calibration Detail
57
/100
Correction Rate: 12.7%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 332
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