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GPT

OpenAI
· 2026-06-17
OpenAI's GPT-4.1 model. Known for systematic analysis with conservative terminal growth assumptions.
~Market Pulse-0.5%
GPT is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -0.5%. Most volatile day-to-day (3.50%/day). Wins: Market Pulse. High validity rate (98.1%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:ClaudeGeminiDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

-0.5%
Avg Gap
69/100
Calibration
13%
Correction Rate
40%
Positive Bias %
High Variance
Volatility
77
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
49%
Mean Absolute Error
17.8%
Prediction Bias
-0.5%
Hit Rate (±5%)
22.6%
v6v7v80%25%50%75%100%3.3.20.3.8.4.27.4.14.5.2.6.16.6.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 1715 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+64.7%
+46.0%
+37.9%
+27.4%
+25.6%
Largest Negative Gap
-39.9%
-39.7%
-39.4%
-22.6%
-20.2%

Assumption Profile

6.9%
σ = 7.15
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
σ = 1.25
WACC
2.00%
Terminal Growth
24.7%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

98.1%
1737 / 1771 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 10.5s
Cost per Run: $0.0168
Total Cost: $29.71
~5183 + 383 tokens

Calibration Detail

69
/100
Correction Rate: 13.3%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 135
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