GPT
OpenAI
· 2026-07-31
OpenAI's GPT-4.1 model. Known for systematic analysis with conservative terminal growth assumptions.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
GPT is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -3.3%. Most volatile day-to-day (4.60%/day). High validity rate (98.1%).
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-3.3%
Avg Gap
65/100
Calibration
17%
Correction Rate
38%
Positive Bias %
High Variance
Volatility
14
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
51.3%
Mean Absolute Error
32%
Prediction Bias
-3%
Hit Rate (±5%)
9.6%
N = 312 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
6.7%
σ = 6.49
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.4%
σ = 1.27
WACC
2.01%
σ = 0.07
Terminal Growth
24.5%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
98.1%
2479 / 2528 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 9.4s
Cost per Run: $0.0174
Total Cost: $43.88
~5330 + 404 tokens
Calibration Detail
65
/100
Correction Rate: 16.7%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 336
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